AVRCFB Model
All predictionsWeek 2 · Sat Sep 12 · 11:00 PM
Away
Southern Utah
—
22p
#129Home
Colorado State
0-0 · AVR 26.9
33p
SUU 21%79% CSU
Spread
CSU -11.5
Total
55
Moneyline
SUU+381CSU-381
Margin σ
14.1

Key players

Top-rated players, and who is out
Colorado State
TEJuice Vereen
73.84/287
LBPaul Tangelo
59.0310/878
DBLemondre Joe
56.5574/1427
RBMel Brown
55.6161/514
WRTay Lanier
52.7240/777
DBJahari Rogers
51.6714/1427

Projected margin

80% between -5 and 28
-14-7-3+3+7+14PKCSU +11.595% interval: -11.5 to 34.580% interval: -5.2 to 28.3-5+28SUU wins 21%CSU wins 79%

Scorelines

Brighter is likelier
most likely ≈ CSU 35–21 SUUCSU 32–46 SUU neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesCSU 35–42 SUU neighborhood · ~0.9% of outcomesCSU 39–39 SUU neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesCSU 42–35 SUU neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesCSU 46–32 SUU neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesCSU 49–28 SUU neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesCSU 53–25 SUU neighborhood · ~1.1% of outcomesCSU 56–21 SUU neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesCSU 60–18 SUU neighborhood · ~0.2% of outcomesCSU 28–42 SUU neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesCSU 32–39 SUU neighborhood · ~1.2% of outcomesCSU 35–35 SUU neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesCSU 39–32 SUU neighborhood · ~2.7% of outcomesCSU 42–28 SUU neighborhood · ~2.8% of outcomesCSU 46–25 SUU neighborhood · ~2.2% of outcomesCSU 49–21 SUU neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesCSU 53–18 SUU neighborhood · ~0.7% of outcomesCSU 56–14 SUU neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesCSU 25–39 SUU neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesCSU 28–35 SUU neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesCSU 32–32 SUU neighborhood · ~2.4% of outcomesCSU 35–28 SUU neighborhood · ~3.1% of outcomesCSU 39–25 SUU neighborhood · ~3.3% of outcomesCSU 42–21 SUU neighborhood · ~2.6% of outcomesCSU 46–18 SUU neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesCSU 49–14 SUU neighborhood · ~0.8% of outcomesCSU 53–11 SUU neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesCSU 21–35 SUU neighborhood · ~0.7% of outcomesCSU 25–32 SUU neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesCSU 28–28 SUU neighborhood · ~2.5% of outcomesCSU 32–25 SUU neighborhood · ~3.3% of outcomesCSU 35–21 SUU neighborhood · ~3.5% of outcomesCSU 39–18 SUU neighborhood · ~2.8% of outcomesCSU 42–14 SUU neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesCSU 46–11 SUU neighborhood · ~0.9% of outcomesCSU 49–7 SUU neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesCSU 18–32 SUU neighborhood · ~0.7% of outcomesCSU 21–28 SUU neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesCSU 25–25 SUU neighborhood · ~2.4% of outcomesCSU 28–21 SUU neighborhood · ~3.2% of outcomesCSU 32–18 SUU neighborhood · ~3.3% of outcomesCSU 35–14 SUU neighborhood · ~2.7% of outcomesCSU 39–11 SUU neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesCSU 42–7 SUU neighborhood · ~0.8% of outcomesCSU 46–4 SUU neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesCSU 14–28 SUU neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesCSU 18–25 SUU neighborhood · ~1.2% of outcomesCSU 21–21 SUU neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesCSU 25–18 SUU neighborhood · ~2.8% of outcomesCSU 28–14 SUU neighborhood · ~2.9% of outcomesCSU 32–11 SUU neighborhood · ~2.3% of outcomesCSU 35–7 SUU neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesCSU 39–4 SUU neighborhood · ~0.7% of outcomesCSU 42–0 SUU neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesCSU 11–25 SUU neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesCSU 14–21 SUU neighborhood · ~1.0% of outcomesCSU 18–18 SUU neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesCSU 21–14 SUU neighborhood · ~2.2% of outcomesCSU 25–11 SUU neighborhood · ~2.3% of outcomesCSU 28–7 SUU neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesCSU 32–4 SUU neighborhood · ~1.2% of outcomesCSU 35–0 SUU neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)77706356494235totalSUU +14PKCSU +14CSU +28CSU +42margin →