CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 2 · Sat Sep 12 · 7:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
SUU 7.8%92.2% CSU
Projected margin
CSU by 24.2
Projected total
56
80% outcome range
CSU 3 to CSU 45
Win probability
CSU 92.2%
FinalSUU 24 · CSU 58model had +24.2, off by 9.8

Current team profiles

Southern Utah
Colorado State

When Southern Utah has the ball

Passing

No comparison
SUU offense
—
CSU defense
#129
EPA comparison
—
0.43
#129
Pass EPA

Rushing

No comparison
SUU offense
—
CSU defense
#130
EPA comparison
—
0.22
#130
Rush EPA

Drive success

No comparison
SUU offense
#20
CSU defense
#138
Success rates
47%
#20
52%
#138
Success rate
More metrics
0.16
#40
0.23
#126
EPA / play
0.23
#17
1.15
#31
Explosiveness
—
16%
#77
Havoc

When Colorado State has the ball

Passing

No comparison
SUU defense
—
CSU offense
#55
EPA comparison
—
0.27
#55
Pass EPA

Rushing

No comparison
SUU defense
—
CSU offense
#9
EPA comparison
—
0.27
#9
Rush EPA

Drive success

No comparison
SUU defense
#48
CSU offense
#53
Success rates
43%
#48
45%
#53
Success rate
More metrics
0.17
#90
0.24
#30
EPA / play
0.24
#111
1.43
#4
Explosiveness
—
16%
#94
Havoc

Current key players

Southern Utah
DLKeenan Eck
0 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
61.9
Pressures
4
Pass-rush snaps
20
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
84.912/1549
TELogan Dunfield
4 rec · 49 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
71.1
Run blocking
63.9
Penalties
1
78.810/526
DBKaden Williams
3 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
60.8
Coverage
73.5
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
1
Yards allowed
4
Passer rating allowed
83.3
Missed tackles
0
78.666/1765
KJayden Rogers
6/8 FG · 0%
76.625/416
LBLincoln Tuioti-Mariner
16 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
75.8
Coverage
70.6
Pressures
3
Pass-rush snaps
20
Missed tackles
3
Forced fumbles
0
74.7109/1054
DBParker Vance
46 tkl · 4 PD · 4 INT
Player detail
Run defense
75.4
Coverage
71.5
Targets allowed
24
Rec allowed
12
Yards allowed
229
Passer rating allowed
83.5
Missed tackles
7
74.4172/1765
Colorado State
QBHauss Hejny
619 yds · 10 TD · 1 INT
78.781/729
RBDurell Robinson
266 yds · 4 TD · 4.3 YPC
78.897/1044
LBCaleb Otlewski
2 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
76.5
Pressures
0
Pass-rush snaps
3
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
76.4150/1796
WRRJ Vick
24 rec · 367 yds · 4 TD
74.3139/2069
WRTommy Maher
9 rec · 83 yds · 0 TD
70.7235/2069
SJace Bellah
1 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
60.8
Missed tackles
0
68.4550/2969
Availability reports · 3
  • Troy Foster · WRout · 2026-10-02

    Foster has been out of the lineup due to undisclosed injury, and he will be not available against Oregon state on Saturday.

  • Grant Houser · TEout · 2026-10-02

    Houser has been out of the lineup due to undisclosed injury, and he will be not available against Oregon state on Saturday.

  • Hauss Hejny · QBQues. · 2026-10-07

    Hejny is laid up with a hamstring injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against Texas State on Thursday, October 15th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

SUU
CSU
vs
Offense
68.0
#81 of 125
QB
78.7
#64 of 138
68.6
#84 of 126
RB
78.3
#45 of 138
67.2
#81 of 126
WR
68.9
#95 of 138
78.8
#9 of 124
TE
60.8
#113 of 138
61.9
#98 of 125
OL
67.6
#71 of 138
Defense
71.2
#54 of 126
DL
68.6
#119 of 138
70.9
#66 of 126
LB
69.1
#111 of 138
70.1
#84 of 126
DB
66.2
#132 of 138
Common opponents