AVRCFB Model
All predictionsWeek 3 · Sun Sep 20 · 3:00 AM
Away
Montana
—
22p
#122Home
Oregon State
0-0 · AVR 30.8
34p
MONT 19%81% ORST
Spread
ORST -12.2
Total
57
Moneyline
MONT+418ORST-418
Margin σ
14.1

Key players

Top-rated players, and who is out
Oregon State
DBSailasa Vadrawale III
72.4183/1427
LBAiden Sullivan
70.3141/878
LBTakari Hickle
67.3189/878
DBZephen Walker
57.5549/1427
DBHarlem Howard
56.2585/1427
RBAJ Newberry
53.9182/514

Projected margin

80% between -5 and 29
-14-7-3+3+7+14PKORST +12.295% interval: -10.8 to 35.280% interval: -4.5 to 28.9-4+29MONT wins 19%ORST wins 81%

Scorelines

Brighter is likelier
most likely ≈ ORST 35–21 MONTORST 32–46 MONT neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesORST 35–42 MONT neighborhood · ~0.9% of outcomesORST 39–39 MONT neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesORST 42–35 MONT neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesORST 46–32 MONT neighborhood · ~2.2% of outcomesORST 49–28 MONT neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesORST 53–25 MONT neighborhood · ~1.2% of outcomesORST 56–21 MONT neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesORST 60–18 MONT neighborhood · ~0.2% of outcomesORST 28–42 MONT neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesORST 32–39 MONT neighborhood · ~1.2% of outcomesORST 35–35 MONT neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesORST 39–32 MONT neighborhood · ~2.7% of outcomesORST 42–28 MONT neighborhood · ~2.9% of outcomesORST 46–25 MONT neighborhood · ~2.4% of outcomesORST 49–21 MONT neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesORST 53–18 MONT neighborhood · ~0.8% of outcomesORST 56–14 MONT neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesORST 25–39 MONT neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesORST 28–35 MONT neighborhood · ~1.3% of outcomesORST 32–32 MONT neighborhood · ~2.3% of outcomesORST 35–28 MONT neighborhood · ~3.1% of outcomesORST 39–25 MONT neighborhood · ~3.3% of outcomesORST 42–21 MONT neighborhood · ~2.8% of outcomesORST 46–18 MONT neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesORST 49–14 MONT neighborhood · ~0.9% of outcomesORST 53–11 MONT neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesORST 21–35 MONT neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesORST 25–32 MONT neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesORST 28–28 MONT neighborhood · ~2.4% of outcomesORST 32–25 MONT neighborhood · ~3.3% of outcomesORST 35–21 MONT neighborhood · ~3.5% of outcomesORST 39–18 MONT neighborhood · ~2.9% of outcomesORST 42–14 MONT neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesORST 46–11 MONT neighborhood · ~1.0% of outcomesORST 49–7 MONT neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesORST 18–32 MONT neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesORST 21–28 MONT neighborhood · ~1.3% of outcomesORST 25–25 MONT neighborhood · ~2.3% of outcomesORST 28–21 MONT neighborhood · ~3.1% of outcomesORST 32–18 MONT neighborhood · ~3.3% of outcomesORST 35–14 MONT neighborhood · ~2.7% of outcomesORST 39–11 MONT neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesORST 42–7 MONT neighborhood · ~0.9% of outcomesORST 46–4 MONT neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesORST 14–28 MONT neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesORST 18–25 MONT neighborhood · ~1.1% of outcomesORST 21–21 MONT neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesORST 25–18 MONT neighborhood · ~2.6% of outcomesORST 28–14 MONT neighborhood · ~2.8% of outcomesORST 32–11 MONT neighborhood · ~2.3% of outcomesORST 35–7 MONT neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesORST 39–4 MONT neighborhood · ~0.8% of outcomesORST 42–0 MONT neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesORST 11–25 MONT neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesORST 14–21 MONT neighborhood · ~0.9% of outcomesORST 18–18 MONT neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesORST 21–14 MONT neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesORST 25–11 MONT neighborhood · ~2.2% of outcomesORST 28–7 MONT neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesORST 32–4 MONT neighborhood · ~1.2% of outcomesORST 35–0 MONT neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)77706356494235totalMONT +14PKORST +14ORST +28ORST +42margin →