Passing
No comparison
- MONT offense
- —
- ORST defense
- #49
EPA comparison
—
0.08
#49
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 3 · Sat Sep 19 · 11:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
MONT 12.0%88.0% ORST
- Projected margin
- ORST by 18.6
- Projected total
- 57
- 80% outcome range
- MONT 3 to ORST 39
- Win probability
- ORST 88.0%
FinalMONT 17 · ORST 52model had +18.6, off by 16.4
Current team profiles
Montana
Oregon StateWhen Montana has the ball
Rushing
No comparison
- MONT offense
- —
- ORST defense
- #52
EPA comparison
—
0.01
#52
Rush EPA
Drive success
No comparison
- MONT offense
- #3
- ORST defense
- #71
Success rates
52%
#3
40%
#71
Success rate
More metrics
0.30
#4
0.04
#55
EPA / play
0.25
#5
1.08
#18
Explosiveness
—
17%
#45
Havoc
When Oregon State has the ball
Passing
No comparison
- MONT defense
- —
- ORST offense
- #11
EPA comparison
—
0.50
#11
Pass EPA
Rushing
No comparison
- MONT defense
- —
- ORST offense
- #81
EPA comparison
—
0.08
#81
Rush EPA
Drive success
No comparison
- MONT defense
- #62
- ORST offense
- #11
Success rates
43%
#62
51%
#11
Success rate
More metrics
0.03
#23
0.32
#10
EPA / play
0.18
#16
1.26
#45
Explosiveness
—
11%
#21
Havoc
Current key players
MontanaQBKeali'i Ah Yat
1594 yds · 14 TD · 1 INT
87.711/370
DBChris Johnson II
13 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 70.9
- Coverage
- 84.7
- Targets allowed
- 9
- Rec allowed
- 3
- Yards allowed
- 10
- Passer rating allowed
- 42.4
- Missed tackles
- 0
79.154/1765
WRBrooks Davis
53 rec · 766 yds · 6 TD
79.032/1229
RBDylan Paine
218 yds · 2 TD · 7.0 YPC
78.846/631
RBEli Gillman
783 yds · 11 TD · 7.4 YPC
78.054/631
DLTyler King
20 tkl · 3.5 TFL · 3.5 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 73.2
- Pressures
- 17
- Pass-rush snaps
- 140
- Missed tackles
- 2
- Forced fumbles
- 1
77.867/1549
Oregon StateQBBraden Atkinson
1827 yds · 16 TD · 2 INT
84.947/729
WRJesse Legree
28 rec · 741 yds · 9 TD
89.68/2069
TELandon Cook
— rec · — yds · — TD
Player detail
- Run blocking
- 59.9
- Penalties
- 0
80.723/1017
LBTakari Hickle
27 tkl · 7.5 TFL · 3.5 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 77.6
- Coverage
- 60.5
- Pressures
- 17
- Pass-rush snaps
- 116
- Missed tackles
- 2
- Forced fumbles
- 1
77.2135/1796
LBKord Shaw
20 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 74.9
- Coverage
- 71.7
- Pressures
- 2
- Pass-rush snaps
- 6
- Missed tackles
- 2
- Forced fumbles
- 0
75.3174/1796
RBAJ Newberry
271 yds · 2 TD · 6.0 YPC
73.9195/1044
Position units
Position-unit comparison
MONTMontana
ORSTOregon State
vs
Offense
87.7
#11 of 125
QB
Quarterback
84.9
#41 of 138
78.4
#17 of 126
RB
Running backs
70.9
#113 of 138
71.2
#36 of 126
WR
Receivers
72.0
#60 of 138
68.3
#41 of 124
TE
Tight ends
80.7
#23 of 138
73.1
#8 of 125
OL
Offensive line
72.6
#30 of 138
Defense
68.4
#95 of 126
DL
Defensive line
65.1
#136 of 138
71.4
#60 of 126
LB
Linebackers
75.6
#56 of 138
70.7
#74 of 126
DB
Secondary
66.9
#126 of 138