AVRCFB Model
All predictionsWeek 3 · Sat Sep 19 · 7:30 PM
Away
Duquesne
—
16p
#85Home
Washington State
0-0 · AVR 45.3
39p
DUQ 6%94% WSU
Spread
WSU -22.0
Total
55
Moneyline
DUQ+1654WSU-1654
Margin σ
14.1

Key players

Top-rated players, and who is out
Washington State
LBDJ Warner
69.6153/878
RBKirby Vorhees
63.283/514
SJack Bal
62.4420/1427
CBJalil Tucker
54.9627/1427
CBJamarey Smith
53.0678/1427
WRTony Freeman
50.2307/777

also out — T. Leckner (TE), Hudson Cedarland (TE), J. Dugger (QB)

Projected margin

80% between 5 and 39
-14-7-3+3+7+14PKWSU +22.095% interval: -1 to 4580% interval: 5.3 to 38.8+5+39DUQ wins 6%WSU wins 94%

Scorelines

Brighter is likelier
most likely ≈ WSU 39–18 DUQWSU 35–42 DUQ neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesWSU 39–39 DUQ neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesWSU 42–35 DUQ neighborhood · ~1.2% of outcomesWSU 46–32 DUQ neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesWSU 49–28 DUQ neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesWSU 53–25 DUQ neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesWSU 56–21 DUQ neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesWSU 60–18 DUQ neighborhood · ~0.8% of outcomesWSU 63–14 DUQ neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesWSU 32–39 DUQ neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesWSU 35–35 DUQ neighborhood · ~0.8% of outcomesWSU 39–32 DUQ neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesWSU 42–28 DUQ neighborhood · ~2.4% of outcomesWSU 46–25 DUQ neighborhood · ~2.8% of outcomesWSU 49–21 DUQ neighborhood · ~2.6% of outcomesWSU 53–18 DUQ neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesWSU 56–14 DUQ neighborhood · ~1.0% of outcomesWSU 60–11 DUQ neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesWSU 28–35 DUQ neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesWSU 32–32 DUQ neighborhood · ~1.0% of outcomesWSU 35–28 DUQ neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesWSU 39–25 DUQ neighborhood · ~2.8% of outcomesWSU 42–21 DUQ neighborhood · ~3.3% of outcomesWSU 46–18 DUQ neighborhood · ~3.0% of outcomesWSU 49–14 DUQ neighborhood · ~2.2% of outcomesWSU 53–11 DUQ neighborhood · ~1.2% of outcomesWSU 56–7 DUQ neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesWSU 25–32 DUQ neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesWSU 28–28 DUQ neighborhood · ~1.1% of outcomesWSU 32–25 DUQ neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesWSU 35–21 DUQ neighborhood · ~3.0% of outcomesWSU 39–18 DUQ neighborhood · ~3.6% of outcomesWSU 42–14 DUQ neighborhood · ~3.3% of outcomesWSU 46–11 DUQ neighborhood · ~2.3% of outcomesWSU 49–7 DUQ neighborhood · ~1.3% of outcomesWSU 53–4 DUQ neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesWSU 21–28 DUQ neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesWSU 25–25 DUQ neighborhood · ~1.0% of outcomesWSU 28–21 DUQ neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesWSU 32–18 DUQ neighborhood · ~2.9% of outcomesWSU 35–14 DUQ neighborhood · ~3.4% of outcomesWSU 39–11 DUQ neighborhood · ~3.1% of outcomesWSU 42–7 DUQ neighborhood · ~2.3% of outcomesWSU 46–4 DUQ neighborhood · ~1.3% of outcomesWSU 49–0 DUQ neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesWSU 18–25 DUQ neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesWSU 21–21 DUQ neighborhood · ~0.9% of outcomesWSU 25–18 DUQ neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesWSU 28–14 DUQ neighborhood · ~2.6% of outcomesWSU 32–11 DUQ neighborhood · ~3.0% of outcomesWSU 35–7 DUQ neighborhood · ~2.7% of outcomesWSU 39–4 DUQ neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesWSU 42–0 DUQ neighborhood · ~1.1% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)WSU 14–21 DUQ neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesWSU 18–18 DUQ neighborhood · ~0.7% of outcomesWSU 21–14 DUQ neighborhood · ~1.3% of outcomesWSU 25–11 DUQ neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesWSU 28–7 DUQ neighborhood · ~2.4% of outcomesWSU 32–4 DUQ neighborhood · ~2.2% of outcomesWSU 35–0 DUQ neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)77706356494235totalDUQ +7WSU +7WSU +21WSU +35WSU +49margin →