CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 5 · Sat Oct 3 · 6:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
ORST 65.5%34.5% CSU
Projected margin
ORST by 6.1
Projected total
58
80% outcome range
ORST 28 to CSU 15
Win probability
ORST 65.5%
FinalORST 56 · CSU 26model had -6.1, off by 23.9

Current team profiles

Oregon State
Colorado State

When Oregon State has the ball

Passing

ORST offense
Higher-ranked profile
ORST offense
#11
CSU defense
#129
EPA comparison
0.50
#11
0.43
#129
Pass EPA

Rushing

ORST offense
Higher-ranked profile
ORST offense
#81
CSU defense
#130
EPA comparison
0.08
#81
0.22
#130
Rush EPA

Drive success

ORST offense
Higher-ranked profile
ORST offense
#11
CSU defense
#138
Success rates
51%
#11
52%
#138
Success rate
More metrics
0.32
#10
0.23
#126
EPA / play
1.26
#45
1.15
#31
Explosiveness
11%
#21
16%
#77
Havoc

When Colorado State has the ball

Passing

ORST defense
Higher-ranked profile
ORST defense
#49
CSU offense
#55
EPA comparison
0.08
#49
0.27
#55
Pass EPA

Rushing

CSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
ORST defense
#52
CSU offense
#9
EPA comparison
0.01
#52
0.27
#9
Rush EPA

Drive success

CSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
ORST defense
#71
CSU offense
#53
Success rates
40%
#71
45%
#53
Success rate
More metrics
0.04
#55
0.24
#30
EPA / play
1.08
#18
1.43
#4
Explosiveness
17%
#45
16%
#94
Havoc

Current key players

Oregon State
QBBraden Atkinson
1827 yds · 16 TD · 2 INT
84.947/729
WRJesse Legree
28 rec · 741 yds · 9 TD
89.68/2069
TELandon Cook
— rec · — yds · — TD
Player detail
Run blocking
59.9
Penalties
0
80.723/1017
LBTakari Hickle
27 tkl · 7.5 TFL · 3.5 sk
Player detail
Run defense
77.6
Coverage
60.5
Pressures
17
Pass-rush snaps
116
Missed tackles
2
Forced fumbles
1
77.2135/1796
LBKord Shaw
20 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
74.9
Coverage
71.7
Pressures
2
Pass-rush snaps
6
Missed tackles
2
Forced fumbles
0
75.3174/1796
RBAJ Newberry
271 yds · 2 TD · 6.0 YPC
73.9195/1044
Colorado State
QBHauss Hejny
619 yds · 10 TD · 1 INT
78.781/729
RBDurell Robinson
266 yds · 4 TD · 4.3 YPC
78.897/1044
LBCaleb Otlewski
2 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
76.5
Pressures
0
Pass-rush snaps
3
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
76.4150/1796
WRRJ Vick
24 rec · 367 yds · 4 TD
74.3139/2069
WRTommy Maher
9 rec · 83 yds · 0 TD
70.7235/2069
SJace Bellah
1 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
60.8
Missed tackles
0
68.4550/2969
Availability reports · 3
  • Troy Foster · WRout · 2026-10-02

    Foster has been out of the lineup due to undisclosed injury, and he will be not available against Oregon state on Saturday.

  • Grant Houser · TEout · 2026-10-02

    Houser has been out of the lineup due to undisclosed injury, and he will be not available against Oregon state on Saturday.

  • Hauss Hejny · QBQues. · 2026-10-07

    Hejny is laid up with a hamstring injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against Texas State on Thursday, October 15th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

ORST
CSU
vs
Offense
84.9
#41 of 138
QB
78.7
#64 of 138
70.9
#113 of 138
RB
78.3
#45 of 138
72.0
#60 of 138
WR
68.9
#95 of 138
80.7
#23 of 138
TE
60.8
#113 of 138
72.6
#30 of 138
OL
67.6
#71 of 138
Defense
65.1
#136 of 138
DL
68.6
#119 of 138
75.6
#56 of 138
LB
69.1
#111 of 138
66.9
#126 of 138
DB
66.2
#132 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Oregon State
opponent
Colorado State
H+52.0
SDSU#104
-6.3H
H+1.6
WSU#101
-6.9A
H-0.2
TXST#55
-8.7A
H+1.8
USU#97
-6.7A
A-9.1
FRES#69
-12.3A
A-16.0
BOIS#29
-13.8H