CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 9 · Sat Oct 31 · 3:30 PM ET
Forecast win probability
CSU 32.9%67.1% USU
Projected margin
USU by 6.7
Projected total
58
80% outcome range
CSU 12 to USU 25
Win probability
USU 67.1%

Current team profiles

Colorado State
Utah State

When Colorado State has the ball

Passing

CSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
CSU offense
#55
USU defense
#60
EPA comparison
0.27
#55
0.11
#60
Pass EPA

Rushing

CSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
CSU offense
#9
USU defense
#40
EPA comparison
0.27
#9
-0.02
#40
Rush EPA

Drive success

CSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
CSU offense
#53
USU defense
#60
Success rates
45%
#53
39%
#60
Success rate
More metrics
0.24
#30
0.05
#59
EPA / play
1.43
#4
1.18
#46
Explosiveness
16%
#94
14%
#101
Havoc

When Utah State has the ball

Passing

CSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
CSU defense
#129
USU offense
#133
EPA comparison
0.43
#129
-0.10
#133
Pass EPA

Rushing

USU offense
Higher-ranked profile
CSU defense
#130
USU offense
#122
EPA comparison
0.22
#130
-0.05
#122
Rush EPA

Drive success

USU offense
Higher-ranked profile
CSU defense
#138
USU offense
#131
Success rates
52%
#138
35%
#131
Success rate
More metrics
0.23
#126
-0.08
#132
EPA / play
1.15
#31
1.39
#8
Explosiveness
16%
#77
19%
#130
Havoc

Current key players

Colorado State
QBHauss Hejny
619 yds · 10 TD · 1 INT
78.781/729
RBDurell Robinson
266 yds · 4 TD · 4.3 YPC
78.897/1044
LBCaleb Otlewski
2 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
76.5
Pressures
0
Pass-rush snaps
3
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
76.4150/1796
WRRJ Vick
24 rec · 367 yds · 4 TD
74.3139/2069
WRTommy Maher
9 rec · 83 yds · 0 TD
70.7235/2069
SJace Bellah
1 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
60.8
Missed tackles
0
68.4550/2969
Availability reports · 3
  • Troy Foster · WRout · 2026-10-02

    Foster has been out of the lineup due to undisclosed injury, and he will be not available against Oregon state on Saturday.

  • Grant Houser · TEout · 2026-10-02

    Houser has been out of the lineup due to undisclosed injury, and he will be not available against Oregon state on Saturday.

  • Hauss Hejny · QBQues. · 2026-10-07

    Hejny is laid up with a hamstring injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against Texas State on Thursday, October 15th.

Utah State
QBGrady Brosterhous
764 yds · 6 TD · 6 INT
49.1374/729
LBAsher Cunningham
34 tkl · 4.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
88.8
Coverage
74.0
Pressures
7
Pass-rush snaps
38
Missed tackles
6
Forced fumbles
1
83.455/1796
WREli Wood
30 rec · 388 yds · 4 TD
80.552/2069
SBrevin Hamblin
42 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
89.2
Coverage
65.8
Targets allowed
12
Rec allowed
8
Yards allowed
140
Passer rating allowed
71.5
Missed tackles
10
74.9198/2969
LBAdonis Jackson
14 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
77.2
Coverage
53.6
Pressures
8
Pass-rush snaps
99
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
72.9263/1796
CBD'Angelo Mayes
23 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
71.3
Coverage
71.6
Targets allowed
30
Rec allowed
17
Yards allowed
226
Passer rating allowed
77.9
Missed tackles
2
70.2435/2969
Availability reports · 8
  • J. Nelson · TEout · 2026-10-01

    Nelson is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and he is projected to miss the remainder of the season.

  • Nikko Boncore · WRout · 2026-10-07

    Boncore is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and he has been shut down for the remainder of the season.

  • Sesi Vailahi · RBQues. · 2026-10-10

    Vailahi is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will be available against the Bobcats on Saturday, October 24th.

  • Nehemiah Washington · RBQues. · 2026-10-10

    Washington is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will play against the Bobcats on Saturday, October 24th.

  • Anthony Garcia · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    Garcia is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will suit up against the Bobcats on Saturday, October 24th.

  • Rex Haynes · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    Haynes is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined whether he will play against the Bobcats on Saturday, October 24th.

  • Kache Kaio · TEQues. · 2026-10-10

    Kaio is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Bobcats on Saturday, October 24th.

  • McCae Hillstead · QBQues. · 2026-10-10

    Hillstead is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will be suit up against the Bobcats on Saturday, October 24th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

CSU
USU
vs
Offense
78.7
#64 of 138
QB
49.1
#138 of 138
78.3
#45 of 138
RB
68.3
#127 of 138
68.9
#95 of 138
WR
67.2
#118 of 138
60.8
#113 of 138
TE
59.9
#123 of 138
67.6
#71 of 138
OL
62.6
#119 of 138
Defense
68.6
#119 of 138
DL
68.5
#120 of 138
69.1
#111 of 138
LB
76.3
#50 of 138
66.2
#132 of 138
DB
69.5
#104 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Colorado State
opponent
Utah State
H-30.0
ORST#44
-1.8A
A-12.3
FRES#69
-2.9H
A-6.9
WSU#101
+1.0H
H-13.8
BOIS#29
-19.0A
A-8.7
TXST#55
-4.7A
H-6.3
SDSU#104
-7.6A