CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 12 · Sat Nov 21 · 10:30 PM ET
Forecast win probability
USU 45.4%54.6% ORST
Projected margin
ORST by 1.8
Projected total
55
80% outcome range
USU 17 to ORST 20
Win probability
ORST 54.6%

Current team profiles

Utah State
Oregon State

When Utah State has the ball

Passing

ORST defense
Higher-ranked profile
USU offense
#133
ORST defense
#49
EPA comparison
-0.10
#133
0.08
#49
Pass EPA

Rushing

ORST defense
Higher-ranked profile
USU offense
#122
ORST defense
#52
EPA comparison
-0.05
#122
0.01
#52
Rush EPA

Drive success

ORST defense
Higher-ranked profile
USU offense
#131
ORST defense
#71
Success rates
35%
#131
40%
#71
Success rate
More metrics
-0.08
#132
0.04
#55
EPA / play
1.39
#8
1.08
#18
Explosiveness
19%
#130
17%
#45
Havoc

When Oregon State has the ball

Passing

ORST offense
Higher-ranked profile
USU defense
#60
ORST offense
#11
EPA comparison
0.11
#60
0.50
#11
Pass EPA

Rushing

USU defense
Higher-ranked profile
USU defense
#40
ORST offense
#81
EPA comparison
-0.02
#40
0.08
#81
Rush EPA

Drive success

ORST offense
Higher-ranked profile
USU defense
#60
ORST offense
#11
Success rates
39%
#60
51%
#11
Success rate
More metrics
0.05
#59
0.32
#10
EPA / play
1.18
#46
1.26
#45
Explosiveness
14%
#101
11%
#21
Havoc

Current key players

Utah State
QBGrady Brosterhous
764 yds · 6 TD · 6 INT
49.1374/729
LBAsher Cunningham
34 tkl · 4.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
88.8
Coverage
74.0
Pressures
7
Pass-rush snaps
38
Missed tackles
6
Forced fumbles
1
83.455/1796
WREli Wood
30 rec · 388 yds · 4 TD
80.552/2069
SBrevin Hamblin
42 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
89.2
Coverage
65.8
Targets allowed
12
Rec allowed
8
Yards allowed
140
Passer rating allowed
71.5
Missed tackles
10
74.9198/2969
LBAdonis Jackson
14 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
77.2
Coverage
53.6
Pressures
8
Pass-rush snaps
99
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
72.9263/1796
CBD'Angelo Mayes
23 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
71.3
Coverage
71.6
Targets allowed
30
Rec allowed
17
Yards allowed
226
Passer rating allowed
77.9
Missed tackles
2
70.2435/2969
Availability reports · 8
  • J. Nelson · TEout · 2026-10-01

    Nelson is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and he is projected to miss the remainder of the season.

  • Nikko Boncore · WRout · 2026-10-07

    Boncore is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and he has been shut down for the remainder of the season.

  • Sesi Vailahi · RBQues. · 2026-10-10

    Vailahi is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will be available against the Bobcats on Saturday, October 24th.

  • Nehemiah Washington · RBQues. · 2026-10-10

    Washington is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will play against the Bobcats on Saturday, October 24th.

  • Anthony Garcia · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    Garcia is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will suit up against the Bobcats on Saturday, October 24th.

  • Rex Haynes · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    Haynes is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined whether he will play against the Bobcats on Saturday, October 24th.

  • Kache Kaio · TEQues. · 2026-10-10

    Kaio is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Bobcats on Saturday, October 24th.

  • McCae Hillstead · QBQues. · 2026-10-10

    Hillstead is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will be suit up against the Bobcats on Saturday, October 24th.

Oregon State
QBBraden Atkinson
1827 yds · 16 TD · 2 INT
84.947/729
WRJesse Legree
28 rec · 741 yds · 9 TD
89.68/2069
TELandon Cook
— rec · — yds · — TD
Player detail
Run blocking
59.9
Penalties
0
80.723/1017
LBTakari Hickle
27 tkl · 7.5 TFL · 3.5 sk
Player detail
Run defense
77.6
Coverage
60.5
Pressures
17
Pass-rush snaps
116
Missed tackles
2
Forced fumbles
1
77.2135/1796
LBKord Shaw
20 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
74.9
Coverage
71.7
Pressures
2
Pass-rush snaps
6
Missed tackles
2
Forced fumbles
0
75.3174/1796
RBAJ Newberry
271 yds · 2 TD · 6.0 YPC
73.9195/1044
Position units

Position-unit comparison

USU
ORST
vs
Offense
49.1
#138 of 138
QB
84.9
#41 of 138
68.3
#127 of 138
RB
70.9
#113 of 138
67.2
#118 of 138
WR
72.0
#60 of 138
59.9
#123 of 138
TE
80.7
#23 of 138
62.6
#119 of 138
OL
72.6
#30 of 138
Defense
68.5
#120 of 138
DL
65.1
#136 of 138
76.3
#50 of 138
LB
75.6
#56 of 138
69.5
#104 of 138
DB
66.9
#126 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Utah State
opponent
Oregon State
A-7.6
SDSU#104
+52.0H
H+6.7
CSU#118
+30.0A
H-2.9
FRES#69
-9.1A
A-4.7
TXST#55
-0.2H
A-19.0
BOIS#29
-16.0A
H+1.0
WSU#101
+1.6H