CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 6 · Fri Oct 9 · 9:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
WSU 43.9%56.1% USU
Projected margin
USU by 2.5
Projected total
43
80% outcome range
WSU 17 to USU 22
Win probability
USU 56.1%
FinalWSU 16 · USU 17model had +2.5, off by 1.5

Current team profiles

Washington State
Utah State

When Washington State has the ball

Passing

USU defense
Higher-ranked profile
WSU offense
#134
USU defense
#60
EPA comparison
-0.12
#134
0.11
#60
Pass EPA

Rushing

USU defense
Higher-ranked profile
WSU offense
#123
USU defense
#40
EPA comparison
-0.07
#123
-0.02
#40
Rush EPA

Drive success

USU defense
Higher-ranked profile
WSU offense
#137
USU defense
#60
Success rates
33%
#137
39%
#60
Success rate
More metrics
-0.11
#133
0.05
#59
EPA / play
1.22
#81
1.18
#46
Explosiveness
20%
#135
14%
#101
Havoc

When Utah State has the ball

Passing

WSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
WSU defense
#52
USU offense
#133
EPA comparison
0.09
#52
-0.10
#133
Pass EPA

Rushing

WSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
WSU defense
#52
USU offense
#122
EPA comparison
0.01
#52
-0.05
#122
Rush EPA

Drive success

WSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
WSU defense
#55
USU offense
#131
Success rates
39%
#55
35%
#131
Success rate
More metrics
0.01
#45
-0.08
#132
EPA / play
1.24
#77
1.39
#8
Explosiveness
14%
#107
19%
#130
Havoc

Current key players

Washington State
QBCaden Pinnick
796 yds · 3 TD · 5 INT
62.5244/729
LBIsaiah Hung
23 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
76.9
Coverage
77.0
Pressures
2
Pass-rush snaps
7
Missed tackles
3
Forced fumbles
0
78.7102/1796
STrey Ridley
4 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
71.5
Coverage
77.0
Targets allowed
2
Rec allowed
2
Yards allowed
5
Passer rating allowed
79.2
Missed tackles
0
77.6105/2969
LBGage Jones
3 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
71.7
Coverage
60.0
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
72.3283/1796
WRTank Hawkins
10 rec · 79 yds · 0 TD
72.2192/2069
RBMaxwell Woods
188 yds · 0 TD · 5.7 YPC
71.6268/1044
Availability reports · 4
  • Tony Freeman · WRout · 2026-09-14

    Freeman has been shut down for the remainder of the season with a torn ACL.

  • Hudson Cedarland · TEout · 2026-08-23

    Cedarland is bothered by a leg injury, and he will miss an extended period.

  • CJ Toney · RBQues. · 2026-10-10

    Toney is hampered by an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will suit up against the Beavers on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Ryan McKendry · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    McKendry is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will take the field against the Beavers on Saturday, Oc

Utah State
QBGrady Brosterhous
764 yds · 6 TD · 6 INT
49.1374/729
LBAsher Cunningham
34 tkl · 4.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
88.8
Coverage
74.0
Pressures
7
Pass-rush snaps
38
Missed tackles
6
Forced fumbles
1
83.455/1796
WREli Wood
30 rec · 388 yds · 4 TD
80.552/2069
SBrevin Hamblin
42 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
89.2
Coverage
65.8
Targets allowed
12
Rec allowed
8
Yards allowed
140
Passer rating allowed
71.5
Missed tackles
10
74.9198/2969
LBAdonis Jackson
14 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
77.2
Coverage
53.6
Pressures
8
Pass-rush snaps
99
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
72.9263/1796
CBD'Angelo Mayes
23 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
71.3
Coverage
71.6
Targets allowed
30
Rec allowed
17
Yards allowed
226
Passer rating allowed
77.9
Missed tackles
2
70.2435/2969
Availability reports · 8
  • J. Nelson · TEout · 2026-10-01

    Nelson is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and he is projected to miss the remainder of the season.

  • Nikko Boncore · WRout · 2026-10-07

    Boncore is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and he has been shut down for the remainder of the season.

  • Sesi Vailahi · RBQues. · 2026-10-10

    Vailahi is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will be available against the Bobcats on Saturday, October 24th.

  • Nehemiah Washington · RBQues. · 2026-10-10

    Washington is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will play against the Bobcats on Saturday, October 24th.

  • Anthony Garcia · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    Garcia is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will suit up against the Bobcats on Saturday, October 24th.

  • Rex Haynes · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    Haynes is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined whether he will play against the Bobcats on Saturday, October 24th.

  • Kache Kaio · TEQues. · 2026-10-10

    Kaio is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Bobcats on Saturday, October 24th.

  • McCae Hillstead · QBQues. · 2026-10-10

    Hillstead is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will be suit up against the Bobcats on Saturday, October 24th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

WSU
USU
vs
Offense
62.5
#127 of 138
QB
49.1
#138 of 138
68.2
#128 of 138
RB
68.3
#127 of 138
68.0
#109 of 138
WR
67.2
#118 of 138
63.9
#97 of 138
TE
59.9
#123 of 138
60.9
#129 of 138
OL
62.6
#119 of 138
Defense
73.1
#70 of 138
DL
68.5
#120 of 138
73.9
#72 of 138
LB
76.3
#50 of 138
67.8
#119 of 138
DB
69.5
#104 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Washington State
opponent
Utah State
H-20.0
FRES#69
-2.9H
A-14.0
WASH#45
-2.0A
H-9.6
BOIS#29
-19.0A
A-4.4
TXST#55
-4.7A
H+6.9
CSU#118
+6.7H
A-1.6
ORST#44
-1.8A
A-7.4
SDSU#104
-7.6A