AVRCFB Model
All predictionsWeek 1 · Sat Sep 5 · 12:00 PM
Away
Lafayette
—
17p
#72Home
UConn
0-0 · AVR 48.0
42p
LAF 5%95% CONN
Spread
CONN -24.7
Total
59
Moneyline
LAF+2041CONN-2041
Against the market
CONN +5.2line CONN -19.5

Key players

Top-rated players, and who is out
UConn
LBK'Von Sherman
93.35/878
DBJayden Davis
71.1209/1427
RBKenji Christian
62.788/514
WRRyder Treadway
57.0143/777
QBKalieb Osborne
56.585/308
WRShamar Porter
55.1174/777

Projected margin

80% between 6 and 42
-14-7+7+14PKCONN +24.7MKT95% interval: -4 to 5280% interval: 6 to 42+6+42LAF wins 5%CONN wins 95%

Scorelines

Brighter is likelier
most likely ≈ CONN 42–14 LAFCONN 39–39 LAF neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesCONN 42–35 LAF neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesCONN 46–32 LAF neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesCONN 49–28 LAF neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesCONN 53–25 LAF neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesCONN 56–21 LAF neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesCONN 60–18 LAF neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesCONN 63–14 LAF neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesCONN 67–11 LAF neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesCONN 35–35 LAF neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesCONN 39–32 LAF neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesCONN 42–28 LAF neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesCONN 46–25 LAF neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesCONN 49–21 LAF neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesCONN 53–18 LAF neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesCONN 56–14 LAF neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesCONN 60–11 LAF neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesCONN 63–7 LAF neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesCONN 32–32 LAF neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesCONN 35–28 LAF neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesCONN 39–25 LAF neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesCONN 42–21 LAF neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesCONN 46–18 LAF neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesCONN 49–14 LAF neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesCONN 53–11 LAF neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesCONN 56–7 LAF neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesCONN 60–4 LAF neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesCONN 28–28 LAF neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesCONN 32–25 LAF neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesCONN 35–21 LAF neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesCONN 39–18 LAF neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesCONN 42–14 LAF neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesCONN 46–11 LAF neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesCONN 49–7 LAF neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesCONN 53–4 LAF neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesCONN 56–0 LAF neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesCONN 25–25 LAF neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesCONN 28–21 LAF neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesCONN 32–18 LAF neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesCONN 35–14 LAF neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesCONN 39–11 LAF neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesCONN 42–7 LAF neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesCONN 46–4 LAF neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesCONN 49–0 LAF neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)CONN 21–21 LAF neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesCONN 25–18 LAF neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesCONN 28–14 LAF neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesCONN 32–11 LAF neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesCONN 35–7 LAF neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesCONN 39–4 LAF neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesCONN 42–0 LAF neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)CONN 18–18 LAF neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesCONN 21–14 LAF neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesCONN 25–11 LAF neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesCONN 28–7 LAF neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesCONN 32–4 LAF neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesCONN 35–0 LAF neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)77706356494235totalPKCONN +14CONN +28CONN +42CONN +56margin →