CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 6 · Sat Oct 10 · 3:45 PM ET
Forecast win probability
CONN 40.7%59.3% TEM
Projected margin
TEM by 3.7
Projected total
59
80% outcome range
CONN 15 to TEM 24
Win probability
TEM 59.3%
FinalCONN 34 · TEM 20model had +3.7, off by 17.7

Current team profiles

UConn
Temple

When UConn has the ball

Passing

CONN offense
Higher-ranked profile
CONN offense
#38
TEM defense
#107
EPA comparison
0.33
#38
0.28
#107
Pass EPA

Rushing

CONN offense
Higher-ranked profile
CONN offense
#28
TEM defense
#112
EPA comparison
0.21
#28
0.15
#112
Rush EPA

Drive success

CONN offense
Higher-ranked profile
CONN offense
#52
TEM defense
#122
Success rates
45%
#52
46%
#122
Success rate
More metrics
0.22
#38
0.19
#119
EPA / play
1.40
#7
1.18
#51
Explosiveness
13%
#39
10%
#137
Havoc

When Temple has the ball

Passing

TEM offense
Higher-ranked profile
CONN defense
#84
TEM offense
#47
EPA comparison
0.19
#84
0.28
#47
Pass EPA

Rushing

CONN defense
Higher-ranked profile
CONN defense
#41
TEM offense
#51
EPA comparison
-0.01
#41
0.15
#51
Rush EPA

Drive success

TEM offense
Higher-ranked profile
CONN defense
#92
TEM offense
#77
Success rates
42%
#92
43%
#77
Success rate
More metrics
0.08
#76
0.20
#48
EPA / play
1.20
#63
1.22
#80
Explosiveness
16%
#63
11%
#20
Havoc

Current key players

UConn
QBKalieb Osborne
1164 yds · 10 TD · 2 INT
91.012/729
LBHayden Pegg
34 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
90.7
Coverage
83.6
Pressures
2
Pass-rush snaps
15
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
87.024/1796
WRRaymond Liggins III
5 rec · 72 yds · 1 TD
81.345/2069
RBCyncir Bowers
349 yds · 5 TD · 7.4 YPC
80.180/1044
WRKamren Flowers
1 rec · 30 yds · 0 TD
77.778/2069
TEMatt Ragan
5 rec · 56 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
30.8
Run blocking
71.7
Penalties
2
74.152/1017
Availability reports · 2
  • J. Brown · WRout · 2026-10-05

    Brown is bothered by a concussion protocol, and he is without a definitive timetable for return.

  • Jake Merklinger · QBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Merklinger is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will face Minutemen on Friday , October 23rd.

Temple
QBAjani Sheppard
631 yds · 6 TD · 0 INT
78.583/729
LBTyree Alualu
7 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
74.3
Coverage
91.1
Pressures
0
Pass-rush snaps
1
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
90.310/1796
LBJordan Montgomery
4 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
88.6
Coverage
64.8
Pressures
0
Pass-rush snaps
1
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
1
88.418/1796
CBEarl Kulp
3 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
67.0
Coverage
72.9
Targets allowed
2
Rec allowed
2
Yards allowed
1
Passer rating allowed
79.2
Missed tackles
0
75.5175/2969
RBKeveun Mason
361 yds · 2 TD · 5.3 YPC
75.0178/1044
CBAdrian Laing
10 tkl · 3 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
59.1
Coverage
72.2
Targets allowed
18
Rec allowed
10
Yards allowed
128
Passer rating allowed
78.0
Missed tackles
1
70.5413/2969
Availability reports · 5
  • Coen Logan · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Logan is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against 49ers on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Rameir Hardy · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Hardy is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will face 49ers on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Jaxon Smolik · QBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Smolik is suffering with a foot injury, and it is undetermined if he will face 49ers on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Reis Stocksdale · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Stocksdale is dealing with a hamstring injury, and it is unclear if he will face 49ers on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Samuel Brown V · RBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Brown is suffering with a undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will face 49ers on Saturday, October 17th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

CONN
TEM
vs
Offense
91.0
#12 of 138
QB
78.5
#65 of 138
78.8
#42 of 138
RB
71.3
#109 of 138
77.7
#18 of 138
WR
64.7
#131 of 138
74.1
#42 of 138
TE
66.5
#84 of 138
71.7
#40 of 138
OL
67.6
#72 of 138
Defense
71.3
#93 of 138
DL
72.7
#75 of 138
73.2
#78 of 138
LB
84.8
#5 of 138
64.0
#136 of 138
DB
70.2
#93 of 138
Common opponents