Passing
MASS offense
Higher-ranked profile
- MASS offense
- #36
- CONN defense
- #84
EPA comparison
0.35
#36
0.19
#84
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 8 · Fri Oct 23 · 7:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
MASS 11.6%88.4% CONN
- Projected margin
- CONN by 18.4
- Projected total
- 56
- 80% outcome range
- MASS 0 to CONN 37
- Win probability
- CONN 88.4%
Current team profiles
Massachusetts
UConnWhen Massachusetts has the ball
Rushing
CONN defense
Higher-ranked profile
- MASS offense
- #61
- CONN defense
- #41
EPA comparison
0.13
#61
-0.01
#41
Rush EPA
Drive success
MASS offense
Higher-ranked profile
- MASS offense
- #66
- CONN defense
- #92
Success rates
44%
#66
42%
#92
Success rate
More metrics
0.20
#45
0.08
#76
EPA / play
1.24
#68
1.20
#63
Explosiveness
12%
#27
16%
#63
Havoc
When UConn has the ball
Passing
CONN offense
Higher-ranked profile
- MASS defense
- #52
- CONN offense
- #38
EPA comparison
0.09
#52
0.33
#38
Pass EPA
Rushing
MASS defense
Higher-ranked profile
- MASS defense
- #27
- CONN offense
- #28
EPA comparison
-0.07
#27
0.21
#28
Rush EPA
Drive success
CONN offense
Higher-ranked profile
- MASS defense
- #57
- CONN offense
- #52
Success rates
39%
#57
45%
#52
Success rate
More metrics
-0.03
#31
0.22
#38
EPA / play
1.10
#21
1.40
#7
Explosiveness
15%
#89
13%
#39
Havoc
Current key players
MassachusettsQBWilliam Watson III
820 yds · 7 TD · 2 INT
85.143/729
LBTimmy Hinspeter
30 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 90.0
- Coverage
- 79.6
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 15
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
86.826/1796
RBCurtis Kimmons IV
262 yds · 3 TD · 5.8 YPC
82.156/1044
WRJabari Lewis
10 rec · 152 yds · 0 TD
78.766/2069
SJahmad Harmon
10 tkl · 1 PD · 3 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 82.3
- Coverage
- 72.0
- Targets allowed
- 15
- Rec allowed
- 9
- Yards allowed
- 71
- Passer rating allowed
- 32.2
- Missed tackles
- 1
76.5144/2969
LBDinos Drossos
5 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 74.4
- Coverage
- 64.4
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
74.2209/1796
Availability reports · 3
- J. Washington · RBout · 2026-10-10
Washington has been sidelined due to an undisclosed injury, and has been shut down for the remainder of the season.
- Joseph Griffin Jr. · WRQues. · 2026-10-10
Griffin is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Buffalo on Saturday, October 17th.
- Dallas Elliott · WRQues. · 2026-10-10
Elliott is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it remain to seen if he will Buffalo on Saturday, October 17th.
UConnQBKalieb Osborne
1164 yds · 10 TD · 2 INT
91.012/729
LBHayden Pegg
34 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 90.7
- Coverage
- 83.6
- Pressures
- 2
- Pass-rush snaps
- 15
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 0
87.024/1796
WRRaymond Liggins III
5 rec · 72 yds · 1 TD
81.345/2069
RBCyncir Bowers
349 yds · 5 TD · 7.4 YPC
80.180/1044
WRKamren Flowers
1 rec · 30 yds · 0 TD
77.778/2069
TEMatt Ragan
5 rec · 56 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
- Pass blocking
- 30.8
- Run blocking
- 71.7
- Penalties
- 2
74.152/1017
Availability reports · 2
- J. Brown · WRout · 2026-10-05
Brown is bothered by a concussion protocol, and he is without a definitive timetable for return.
- Jake Merklinger · QBQues. · 2026-10-11
Merklinger is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will face Minutemen on Friday , October 23rd.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
MASSMassachusetts
CONNUConn
vs
Offense
85.1
#39 of 138
QB
Quarterback
91.0
#12 of 138
81.3
#29 of 138
RB
Running backs
78.8
#42 of 138
73.6
#45 of 138
WR
Receivers
77.7
#18 of 138
66.0
#86 of 138
TE
Tight ends
74.1
#42 of 138
63.7
#107 of 138
OL
Offensive line
71.7
#40 of 138
Defense
77.1
#34 of 138
DL
Defensive line
71.3
#93 of 138
77.4
#41 of 138
LB
Linebackers
73.2
#78 of 138
72.8
#59 of 138
DB
Secondary
64.0
#136 of 138