Passing
CONN defense
Higher-ranked profile
- ODU offense
- #138
- CONN defense
- #84
EPA comparison
-0.19
#138
0.19
#84
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 12 · Sat Nov 21 · 3:30 PM ET
Forecast win probability
ODU 33.5%66.5% CONN
- Projected margin
- CONN by 6.7
- Projected total
- 58
- 80% outcome range
- ODU 12 to CONN 25
- Win probability
- CONN 66.5%
Current team profiles
Old DominionUConnWhen Old Dominion has the ball
Rushing
CONN defense
Higher-ranked profile
- ODU offense
- #134
- CONN defense
- #41
EPA comparison
-0.11
#134
-0.01
#41
Rush EPA
Drive success
CONN defense
Higher-ranked profile
- ODU offense
- #138
- CONN defense
- #92
Success rates
31%
#138
42%
#92
Success rate
More metrics
-0.15
#137
0.08
#76
EPA / play
1.20
#90
1.20
#63
Explosiveness
25%
#138
16%
#63
Havoc
When UConn has the ball
Passing
CONN offense
Higher-ranked profile
- ODU defense
- #55
- CONN offense
- #38
EPA comparison
0.10
#55
0.33
#38
Pass EPA
Rushing
ODU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- ODU defense
- #14
- CONN offense
- #28
EPA comparison
-0.12
#14
0.21
#28
Rush EPA
Drive success
ODU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- ODU defense
- #22
- CONN offense
- #52
Success rates
35%
#22
45%
#52
Success rate
More metrics
-0.05
#23
0.22
#38
EPA / play
1.20
#60
1.40
#7
Explosiveness
18%
#34
13%
#39
Havoc
Current key players
Old DominionQBQuinn Henicle
467 yds · 3 TD · 2 INT
57.6324/729
LBJackson Forrest
30 tkl · 6.5 TFL · 3.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 79.6
- Coverage
- 88.5
- Pressures
- 11
- Pass-rush snaps
- 36
- Missed tackles
- 4
- Forced fumbles
- 1
91.85/1796
LBKoa Naotala
31 tkl · 3.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 90.0
- Coverage
- 71.3
- Pressures
- 7
- Pass-rush snaps
- 27
- Missed tackles
- 4
- Forced fumbles
- 0
84.939/1796
SLucas Struck
35 tkl · 3 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 75.9
- Coverage
- 80.8
- Targets allowed
- 16
- Rec allowed
- 13
- Yards allowed
- 122
- Passer rating allowed
- 98.4
- Missed tackles
- 4
80.854/2969
SAsher Horn
12 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 70.1
- Coverage
- 73.2
- Targets allowed
- 1
- Rec allowed
- 0
- Yards allowed
- 0
- Passer rating allowed
- 39.6
- Missed tackles
- 2
73.9239/2969
CBShaq Leaks
6 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 79.9
- Coverage
- 69.3
- Targets allowed
- 8
- Rec allowed
- 3
- Yards allowed
- 47
- Passer rating allowed
- 97.4
- Missed tackles
- 1
73.1274/2969
UConnQBKalieb Osborne
1164 yds · 10 TD · 2 INT
91.012/729
LBHayden Pegg
34 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 90.7
- Coverage
- 83.6
- Pressures
- 2
- Pass-rush snaps
- 15
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 0
87.024/1796
WRRaymond Liggins III
5 rec · 72 yds · 1 TD
81.345/2069
RBCyncir Bowers
349 yds · 5 TD · 7.4 YPC
80.180/1044
WRKamren Flowers
1 rec · 30 yds · 0 TD
77.778/2069
TEMatt Ragan
5 rec · 56 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
- Pass blocking
- 30.8
- Run blocking
- 71.7
- Penalties
- 2
74.152/1017
Availability reports · 2
- J. Brown · WRout · 2026-10-05
Brown is bothered by a concussion protocol, and he is without a definitive timetable for return.
- Jake Merklinger · QBQues. · 2026-10-11
Merklinger is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will face Minutemen on Friday , October 23rd.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
ODUOld Dominion
CONNUConn
vs
Offense
57.6
#136 of 138
QB
Quarterback
91.0
#12 of 138
67.3
#133 of 138
RB
Running backs
78.8
#42 of 138
60.7
#137 of 138
WR
Receivers
77.7
#18 of 138
67.1
#80 of 138
TE
Tight ends
74.1
#42 of 138
59.7
#132 of 138
OL
Offensive line
71.7
#40 of 138
Defense
69.9
#108 of 138
DL
Defensive line
71.3
#93 of 138
85.2
#4 of 138
LB
Linebackers
73.2
#78 of 138
73.4
#51 of 138
DB
Secondary
64.0
#136 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Old Dominion
opponent
UConn
Hhome+3.7
USMSouthern Miss#139+28.0Aaway
Hhome-26.0
JMUJames Madison#51-9.8Hhome