Passing
CONN offense
Higher-ranked profile
- CONN offense
- #38
- M-OH defense
- #122
EPA comparison
0.33
#38
0.36
#122
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 4 · Sat Sep 26 · 3:30 PM ET
Forecast win probability
CONN 60.8%39.2% M-OH
- Projected margin
- CONN by 4.1
- Projected total
- 58
- 80% outcome range
- CONN 25 to M-OH 15
- Win probability
- CONN 60.8%
FinalCONN 21 · M-OH 24model had -4.1, off by 7.1
Current team profiles
UConn
Miami (OH)When UConn has the ball
Rushing
CONN offense
Higher-ranked profile
- CONN offense
- #28
- M-OH defense
- #41
EPA comparison
0.21
#28
-0.01
#41
Rush EPA
Drive success
CONN offense
Higher-ranked profile
- CONN offense
- #52
- M-OH defense
- #108
Success rates
45%
#52
44%
#108
Success rate
More metrics
0.22
#38
0.15
#106
EPA / play
1.40
#7
1.29
#98
Explosiveness
13%
#39
13%
#123
Havoc
When Miami (OH) has the ball
Passing
M-OH offense
Higher-ranked profile
- CONN defense
- #84
- M-OH offense
- #24
EPA comparison
0.19
#84
0.40
#24
Pass EPA
Rushing
CONN defense
Higher-ranked profile
- CONN defense
- #41
- M-OH offense
- #81
EPA comparison
-0.01
#41
0.08
#81
Rush EPA
Drive success
CONN defense
Higher-ranked profile
- CONN defense
- #92
- M-OH offense
- #101
Success rates
42%
#92
40%
#101
Success rate
More metrics
0.08
#76
0.17
#65
EPA / play
1.20
#63
1.39
#9
Explosiveness
16%
#63
15%
#84
Havoc
Current key players
UConnQBKalieb Osborne
1164 yds · 10 TD · 2 INT
91.012/729
LBHayden Pegg
34 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 90.7
- Coverage
- 83.6
- Pressures
- 2
- Pass-rush snaps
- 15
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 0
87.024/1796
WRRaymond Liggins III
5 rec · 72 yds · 1 TD
81.345/2069
RBCyncir Bowers
349 yds · 5 TD · 7.4 YPC
80.180/1044
WRKamren Flowers
1 rec · 30 yds · 0 TD
77.778/2069
TEMatt Ragan
5 rec · 56 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
- Pass blocking
- 30.8
- Run blocking
- 71.7
- Penalties
- 2
74.152/1017
Availability reports · 2
- J. Brown · WRout · 2026-10-05
Brown is bothered by a concussion protocol, and he is without a definitive timetable for return.
- Jake Merklinger · QBQues. · 2026-10-11
Merklinger is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will face Minutemen on Friday , October 23rd.
Miami (OH)QBDavid McComb
1120 yds · 7 TD · 1 INT
84.249/729
WRScoop Smith
14 rec · 132 yds · 1 TD
83.632/2069
WRMaleek Huggins
14 rec · 262 yds · 1 TD
80.650/2069
RBLazaro Rogers
104 yds · 1 TD · 5.0 YPC
75.5169/1044
LBChristian McKinney
3 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 74.4
- Coverage
- 63.6
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 0
73.3247/1796
LBGrant Lyons
14 tkl · 3.0 TFL · 2.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 66.0
- Coverage
- 59.8
- Pressures
- 13
- Pass-rush snaps
- 122
- Missed tackles
- 4
- Forced fumbles
- 1
72.6270/1796
Availability reports · 10
- David McComb · QBout · 2026-10-10
McComb is nursing an upper body injury, and has been shut down for the remainder of the season.
- Thomas Gotkowski · QBout · 2026-08-24
Gotkowski is battling with an undisclosed injury, and he will be idle for the remainder of the season.
- Eric Karner · TEout · 2026-09-05
Karner is out of action due to an undisclosed injury, and has been shut down for the remainder of the season.
- Keith Reynolds · WRout · 2026-09-05
Reynolds has been sidelined due to an undisclosed injury, and has been shut down for the remainder of the season.
- Devin Hyatt · WRout · 2026-10-10
Hyatt is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.
- Christian Ross · TEQues. · 2026-10-10
Ross is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will face Akron on Saturday, October 17th.
- Brayden Boeing · TEQues. · 2026-10-10
Boeing is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will suit up against Akron on Saturday, October 17th.
- CJ Castner · WRQues. · 2026-10-10
Castner is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will face Akron on Saturday, October 17th.
- Noam Butbul · TEQues. · 2026-10-10
Butbul is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will be active against Akron on Saturday, October 17th.
- Trey Zvonar · TEQues. · 2026-10-10
Zvonar is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will suit up against Akron on Saturday, October 17th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
CONNUConn
M-OHMiami (OH)
vs
Offense
91.0
#12 of 138
QB
Quarterback
84.2
#43 of 138
78.8
#42 of 138
RB
Running backs
70.0
#119 of 138
77.7
#18 of 138
WR
Receivers
78.2
#16 of 138
74.1
#42 of 138
TE
Tight ends
65.9
#88 of 138
71.7
#40 of 138
OL
Offensive line
71.8
#37 of 138
Defense
71.3
#93 of 138
DL
Defensive line
69.8
#109 of 138
73.2
#78 of 138
LB
Linebackers
71.1
#96 of 138
64.0
#136 of 138
DB
Secondary
67.5
#121 of 138