AVRCFB Model
All predictionsWeek 1 · Sat Sep 5 · 3:30 PM
Away
The Citadel
—
18p
#135Home
Charlotte
0-0 · AVR 23.3
29p
CIT 24%76% CLT
Spread
CLT -10.9
Total
47
Moneyline
CIT+309CLT-309
Against the market
CIT +4.6line CLT -15.5

Key players

Top-rated players, and who is out
Charlotte
DBShamar McIntosh
64.5373/1427
WRJaden Barnes
56.9144/777
DBJameel Croft Jr.
53.9652/1427
RBChance Williams
51.5252/514
WRTank Boston
49.1337/777
QBCole Gonzales
48.2182/308

Projected margin

80% between -9 and 31
-14-7+7+14PKCLT +10.9MKT95% interval: -21 to 4180% interval: -9 to 31-9+31CIT wins 24%CLT wins 76%

Scorelines

Brighter is likelier
most likely ≈ CLT 32–18 CITCLT 28–42 CIT neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesCLT 32–39 CIT neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesCLT 35–35 CIT neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesCLT 39–32 CIT neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesCLT 42–28 CIT neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesCLT 46–25 CIT neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesCLT 49–21 CIT neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesCLT 53–18 CIT neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesCLT 56–14 CIT neighborhood · ~1.3% of outcomesCLT 25–39 CIT neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesCLT 28–35 CIT neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesCLT 32–32 CIT neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesCLT 35–28 CIT neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesCLT 39–25 CIT neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesCLT 42–21 CIT neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesCLT 46–18 CIT neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesCLT 49–14 CIT neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesCLT 53–11 CIT neighborhood · ~1.3% of outcomesCLT 21–35 CIT neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesCLT 25–32 CIT neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesCLT 28–28 CIT neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesCLT 32–25 CIT neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesCLT 35–21 CIT neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesCLT 39–18 CIT neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesCLT 42–14 CIT neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesCLT 46–11 CIT neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesCLT 49–7 CIT neighborhood · ~1.3% of outcomesCLT 18–32 CIT neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesCLT 21–28 CIT neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesCLT 25–25 CIT neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesCLT 28–21 CIT neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesCLT 32–18 CIT neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesCLT 35–14 CIT neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesCLT 39–11 CIT neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesCLT 42–7 CIT neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesCLT 46–4 CIT neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesCLT 14–28 CIT neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesCLT 18–25 CIT neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesCLT 21–21 CIT neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesCLT 25–18 CIT neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesCLT 28–14 CIT neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesCLT 32–11 CIT neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesCLT 35–7 CIT neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesCLT 39–4 CIT neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesCLT 42–0 CIT neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesCLT 11–25 CIT neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesCLT 14–21 CIT neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesCLT 18–18 CIT neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesCLT 21–14 CIT neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesCLT 25–11 CIT neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesCLT 28–7 CIT neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesCLT 32–4 CIT neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesCLT 35–0 CIT neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)CLT 7–21 CIT neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesCLT 11–18 CIT neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesCLT 14–14 CIT neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesCLT 18–11 CIT neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesCLT 21–7 CIT neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesCLT 25–4 CIT neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesCLT 28–0 CIT neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)70635649423528totalCIT +14PKCLT +14CLT +28CLT +42margin →