CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 1 · Sat Sep 5 · 3:30 PM ET
Forecast win probability
CIT 14.6%85.4% CLT
Projected margin
CLT by 16.9
Projected total
54
80% outcome range
CIT 4 to CLT 37
Win probability
CLT 85.4%
FinalCIT 43 · CLT 41model had +16.9, off by 18.9

Current team profiles

The Citadel
Charlotte

When The Citadel has the ball

Passing

No comparison
CIT offense
—
CLT defense
#132
EPA comparison
—
0.45
#132
Pass EPA

Rushing

No comparison
CIT offense
—
CLT defense
#119
EPA comparison
—
0.16
#119
Rush EPA

Drive success

No comparison
CIT offense
#77
CLT defense
#132
Success rates
43%
#77
49%
#132
Success rate
More metrics
0.07
#83
0.24
#128
EPA / play
0.20
#69
1.21
#67
Explosiveness
—
11%
#133
Havoc

When Charlotte has the ball

Passing

No comparison
CIT defense
—
CLT offense
#128
EPA comparison
—
-0.04
#128
Pass EPA

Rushing

No comparison
CIT defense
—
CLT offense
#129
EPA comparison
—
-0.09
#129
Rush EPA

Drive success

No comparison
CIT defense
#95
CLT offense
#132
Success rates
47%
#95
34%
#132
Success rate
More metrics
0.15
#84
-0.11
#134
EPA / play
0.21
#68
1.16
#104
Explosiveness
—
20%
#134
Havoc

Current key players

The Citadel
QBNick Billoups
244 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
83.127/370
RBGavin Garcia
516 yds · 6 TD · 5.6 YPC
78.451/631
DLDavid Alexander
12 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
82.6
Pressures
2
Pass-rush snaps
61
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
76.099/1549
LBJoshua Saddler
1 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
67.5
Coverage
73.5
Pressures
0
Pass-rush snaps
6
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
75.892/1054
DBKhaleb Bridges
15 tkl · 4 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
70.7
Coverage
77.6
Targets allowed
14
Rec allowed
7
Yards allowed
93
Passer rating allowed
95.2
Missed tackles
3
75.8120/1765
DLMaurice Bonneau Jr.
14 tkl · 4.0 TFL · 2.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
70.6
Pressures
7
Pass-rush snaps
94
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
70.6291/1549
Charlotte
QBCole Gonzales
802 yds · 3 TD · 7 INT
59.4308/729
LBGavin Willis
42 tkl · 5.0 TFL · 0.5 sk
Player detail
Run defense
79.2
Coverage
67.6
Pressures
4
Pass-rush snaps
40
Missed tackles
7
Forced fumbles
1
76.7147/1796
RBChance Williams
116 yds · 0 TD · 5.8 YPC
74.7181/1044
DBDy'Lon Womack
22 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
82.2
Coverage
67.4
Targets allowed
10
Rec allowed
7
Yards allowed
123
Passer rating allowed
111.7
Missed tackles
3
73.3260/2969
TELane Wadle
— rec · — yds · — TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
73.8
Run blocking
66.9
Penalties
1
70.977/1017
DBDevon St. Clair
2 tkl · 0 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Coverage
70.2
Targets allowed
0
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Missed tackles
0
66.0758/2969
Availability reports · 1
  • Jeremiah Hoffman · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    Hoffman is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against Owls on Saturday, October 17th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

CIT
CLT
vs
Offense
83.1
#25 of 125
QB
59.4
#135 of 138
72.5
#58 of 126
RB
73.7
#89 of 138
62.9
#117 of 126
WR
63.8
#135 of 138
51.5
#123 of 124
TE
70.9
#56 of 138
59.1
#115 of 125
OL
63.5
#111 of 138
Defense
70.2
#70 of 126
DL
70.0
#107 of 138
71.0
#65 of 126
LB
65.9
#131 of 138
68.6
#96 of 126
DB
66.8
#127 of 138
Common opponents