CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 2 · Sat Sep 12 · 3:30 PM ET
Forecast win probability
ULM 15.3%84.7% UAB
Projected margin
UAB by 17.4
Projected total
58
80% outcome range
ULM 3 to UAB 40
Win probability
UAB 84.7%
FinalULM 20 · UAB 26model had +17.4, off by 11.4

Current team profiles

UL Monroe
UAB

When UL Monroe has the ball

Passing

UAB defense
Higher-ranked profile
ULM offense
#111
UAB defense
#32
EPA comparison
0.08
#111
0.03
#32
Pass EPA

Rushing

ULM offense
Higher-ranked profile
ULM offense
#100
UAB defense
#102
EPA comparison
0.03
#100
0.13
#102
Rush EPA

Drive success

ULM offense
Higher-ranked profile
ULM offense
#88
UAB defense
#110
Success rates
42%
#88
45%
#110
Success rate
More metrics
0.00
#121
0.06
#70
EPA / play
1.16
#102
1.03
#6
Explosiveness
17%
#120
15%
#84
Havoc

When UAB has the ball

Passing

UAB offense
Higher-ranked profile
ULM defense
#132
UAB offense
#130
EPA comparison
0.45
#132
-0.06
#130
Pass EPA

Rushing

UAB offense
Higher-ranked profile
ULM defense
#136
UAB offense
#79
EPA comparison
0.27
#136
0.09
#79
Rush EPA

Drive success

UAB offense
Higher-ranked profile
ULM defense
#136
UAB offense
#81
Success rates
51%
#136
43%
#81
Success rate
More metrics
0.32
#137
0.02
#116
EPA / play
1.24
#84
1.14
#111
Explosiveness
11%
#133
16%
#88
Havoc

Current key players

UL Monroe
QBAustin Carlisle
312 yds · 3 TD · 3 INT
70.1152/729
LBBilly Pullen
8 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
69.8
Coverage
78.7
Pressures
5
Pass-rush snaps
55
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
74.3206/1796
RBZach Palmer-Smith
68 yds · 1 TD · 4.9 YPC
73.9197/1044
SLarell Howling
5 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
76.0
Coverage
67.7
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
39.6
Missed tackles
0
72.5308/2969
LBMarcus Ross
27 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
68.8
Coverage
70.5
Pressures
4
Pass-rush snaps
35
Missed tackles
4
Forced fumbles
0
71.6304/1796
WRJaiden Tucker
1 rec · 52 yds · 0 TD
70.7237/2069
Availability reports · 2
  • Jaydon Wright · RBout · 2026-10-03

    Wright is hampered by an undisclosed injury, and he is unlikely to be available against South Alabama on Saturday, October 3rd.

  • Derrick Jameson · RBQues. · 2026-10-01

    Jameson is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against the South Alabama on Saturday.

UAB
QBRyder Burton
791 yds · 4 TD · 4 INT
74.3118/729
LBMarlin Dean
21 tkl · 8.0 TFL · 5.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
66.9
Coverage
59.9
Pressures
17
Pass-rush snaps
101
Missed tackles
8
Forced fumbles
2
78.7100/1796
DBGuylijah Theodule
1 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
60.0
Coverage
69.3
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
1
Yards allowed
4
Passer rating allowed
83.3
Missed tackles
0
78.391/2969
WRTy Mims
14 rec · 223 yds · 1 TD
78.073/2069
TESean Persson
1 rec · 12 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
67.5
Run blocking
73.1
Penalties
0
75.446/1017
RBBam McReynolds
260 yds · 4 TD · 4.8 YPC
74.1190/1044
Availability reports · 1
  • Antonio Ferguson · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Ferguson is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against Pirates on Thursday, October 15th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

ULM
UAB
vs
Offense
70.1
#99 of 138
QB
74.3
#85 of 138
73.6
#91 of 138
RB
70.6
#116 of 138
69.2
#92 of 138
WR
71.2
#71 of 138
60.2
#118 of 138
TE
75.4
#37 of 138
64.2
#103 of 138
OL
63.0
#114 of 138
Defense
70.7
#96 of 138
DL
66.7
#131 of 138
71.7
#91 of 138
LB
68.9
#114 of 138
63.4
#137 of 138
DB
70.8
#86 of 138
Common opponents