CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 3 · Sat Sep 19 · 8:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
ETAM 2.6%97.4% TLSA
Projected margin
TLSA by 36.5
Projected total
55
80% outcome range
TLSA 15 to TLSA 58
Win probability
TLSA 97.4%
FinalETAM 0 · TLSA 42model had +36.5, off by 5.5

Current team profiles

East Texas A&M
Tulsa

When East Texas A&M has the ball

Passing

No comparison
ETAM offense
—
TLSA defense
#82
EPA comparison
—
0.18
#82
Pass EPA

Rushing

No comparison
ETAM offense
—
TLSA defense
#41
EPA comparison
—
-0.01
#41
Rush EPA

Drive success

No comparison
ETAM offense
#65
TLSA defense
#74
Success rates
44%
#65
41%
#74
Success rate
More metrics
0.10
#67
0.03
#54
EPA / play
0.20
#63
1.14
#29
Explosiveness
—
13%
#116
Havoc

When Tulsa has the ball

Passing

No comparison
ETAM defense
—
TLSA offense
#108
EPA comparison
—
0.09
#108
Pass EPA

Rushing

No comparison
ETAM defense
—
TLSA offense
#21
EPA comparison
—
0.23
#21
Rush EPA

Drive success

No comparison
ETAM defense
#31
TLSA offense
#117
Success rates
41%
#31
39%
#117
Success rate
More metrics
0.09
#52
0.14
#74
EPA / play
0.18
#7
1.22
#78
Explosiveness
—
15%
#69
Havoc

Current key players

East Texas A&M
RBMajor McBride
204 yds · 4 TD · 5.7 YPC
83.615/631
RBJordon Hamilton
138 yds · 1 TD · 5.3 YPC
79.738/631
WRMicah Simpson
29 rec · 391 yds · 2 TD
76.159/1229
DBElijah Hughes
16 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
82.4
Coverage
67.4
Targets allowed
7
Rec allowed
5
Yards allowed
21
Passer rating allowed
74.1
Missed tackles
2
73.4217/1765
LBWesley York Jr.
24 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
62.7
Coverage
78.5
Pressures
2
Pass-rush snaps
18
Missed tackles
2
Forced fumbles
0
72.0183/1054
DBCarmaro Mayo
4 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
67.3
Coverage
71.6
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
39.6
Missed tackles
1
71.7298/1765
Tulsa
QBDexter Williams II
340 yds · 3 TD · 0 INT
64.2222/729
RBSeth Davis
90 yds · 1 TD · 10.0 YPC
88.714/1044
TEJackson Shockley
1 rec · 22 yds · 1 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
48.5
Run blocking
65.5
Penalties
0
87.18/1017
DBDevin Robinson
19 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
80.6
Coverage
76.0
Targets allowed
13
Rec allowed
7
Yards allowed
62
Passer rating allowed
92.5
Missed tackles
3
79.077/2969
LBDax Collins
39 tkl · 3.5 TFL · 2.5 sk
Player detail
Run defense
84.8
Coverage
58.3
Pressures
12
Pass-rush snaps
24
Missed tackles
3
Forced fumbles
0
76.7146/1796
CBCaldra Williford
16 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
73.4
Coverage
74.2
Targets allowed
5
Rec allowed
5
Yards allowed
65
Passer rating allowed
158.3
Missed tackles
2
75.4178/2969
Availability reports · 2
  • Jimmy Calloway · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Calloway is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will be available against the Owls on Saturday, Octob

  • Grayson Tempest · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Tempest is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will be available against the Owls on Saturday, Octobe

Position units

Position-unit comparison

ETAM
TLSA
vs
Offense
62.0
#100 of 125
QB
64.2
#121 of 138
81.7
#7 of 126
RB
84.4
#13 of 138
65.7
#97 of 126
WR
67.0
#120 of 138
60.2
#90 of 124
TE
87.1
#8 of 138
60.1
#109 of 125
OL
68.5
#64 of 138
Defense
67.7
#98 of 126
DL
73.1
#68 of 138
67.8
#100 of 126
LB
71.4
#93 of 138
68.5
#99 of 126
DB
74.5
#41 of 138
Common opponents