AVRCFB Model
All predictionsWeek 3 · Sun Sep 20
Away
East Texas A&M
—
20p
#110Home
Tulsa
0-0 · AVR 35.4
36p
ETAM 13%87% TLSA
Spread
TLSA -16.0
Total
55
Moneyline
ETAM+660TLSA-660
Margin σ
14.1

Key players

Top-rated players, and who is out
Tulsa
LBChris Thompson Jr.
78.374/878
CBElijah Green
72.9178/1427
RBTrequan Jones
69.059/514
SZach Williams
62.2422/1427
DBDevin Robinson
62.1425/1427
LBDevin Hightower
58.9313/878

Projected margin

80% between -1 and 33
-14-7-3+3+7+14PKTLSA +16.095% interval: -6.9 to 3980% interval: -0.7 to 32.8-1+33ETAM wins 13%TLSA wins 87%

Scorelines

Brighter is likelier
most likely ≈ TLSA 35–21 ETAMTLSA 32–46 ETAM neighborhood · ~0.2% of outcomesTLSA 35–42 ETAM neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesTLSA 39–39 ETAM neighborhood · ~1.1% of outcomesTLSA 42–35 ETAM neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesTLSA 46–32 ETAM neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesTLSA 49–28 ETAM neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesTLSA 53–25 ETAM neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesTLSA 56–21 ETAM neighborhood · ~0.9% of outcomesTLSA 60–18 ETAM neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesTLSA 28–42 ETAM neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesTLSA 32–39 ETAM neighborhood · ~0.7% of outcomesTLSA 35–35 ETAM neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesTLSA 39–32 ETAM neighborhood · ~2.3% of outcomesTLSA 42–28 ETAM neighborhood · ~2.8% of outcomesTLSA 46–25 ETAM neighborhood · ~2.6% of outcomesTLSA 49–21 ETAM neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesTLSA 53–18 ETAM neighborhood · ~1.1% of outcomesTLSA 56–14 ETAM neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesTLSA 25–39 ETAM neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesTLSA 28–35 ETAM neighborhood · ~0.9% of outcomesTLSA 32–32 ETAM neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesTLSA 35–28 ETAM neighborhood · ~2.7% of outcomesTLSA 39–25 ETAM neighborhood · ~3.3% of outcomesTLSA 42–21 ETAM neighborhood · ~3.1% of outcomesTLSA 46–18 ETAM neighborhood · ~2.3% of outcomesTLSA 49–14 ETAM neighborhood · ~1.3% of outcomesTLSA 53–11 ETAM neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesTLSA 21–35 ETAM neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesTLSA 25–32 ETAM neighborhood · ~0.9% of outcomesTLSA 28–28 ETAM neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesTLSA 32–25 ETAM neighborhood · ~2.9% of outcomesTLSA 35–21 ETAM neighborhood · ~3.5% of outcomesTLSA 39–18 ETAM neighborhood · ~3.3% of outcomesTLSA 42–14 ETAM neighborhood · ~2.5% of outcomesTLSA 46–11 ETAM neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesTLSA 49–7 ETAM neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesTLSA 18–32 ETAM neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesTLSA 21–28 ETAM neighborhood · ~0.9% of outcomesTLSA 25–25 ETAM neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesTLSA 28–21 ETAM neighborhood · ~2.8% of outcomesTLSA 32–18 ETAM neighborhood · ~3.4% of outcomesTLSA 35–14 ETAM neighborhood · ~3.2% of outcomesTLSA 39–11 ETAM neighborhood · ~2.4% of outcomesTLSA 42–7 ETAM neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesTLSA 46–4 ETAM neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesTLSA 14–28 ETAM neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesTLSA 18–25 ETAM neighborhood · ~0.8% of outcomesTLSA 21–21 ETAM neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesTLSA 25–18 ETAM neighborhood · ~2.4% of outcomesTLSA 28–14 ETAM neighborhood · ~2.9% of outcomesTLSA 32–11 ETAM neighborhood · ~2.8% of outcomesTLSA 35–7 ETAM neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesTLSA 39–4 ETAM neighborhood · ~1.2% of outcomesTLSA 42–0 ETAM neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesTLSA 11–25 ETAM neighborhood · ~0.2% of outcomesTLSA 14–21 ETAM neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesTLSA 18–18 ETAM neighborhood · ~1.2% of outcomesTLSA 21–14 ETAM neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesTLSA 25–11 ETAM neighborhood · ~2.3% of outcomesTLSA 28–7 ETAM neighborhood · ~2.2% of outcomesTLSA 32–4 ETAM neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesTLSA 35–0 ETAM neighborhood · ~0.9% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)77706356494235totalETAM +14PKTLSA +14TLSA +28TLSA +42margin →