CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 3 · Sat Sep 19 · 8:00 PM ET
#143Away
UAB
1-1 · AVR 46.6
14
Final
#107Home
Louisiana
1-1 · AVR 53.6
21
Forecast win probability
UAB 21.5%78.5% UL
Projected margin
UL by 10.8
Projected total
59
80% outcome range
UAB 7 to UL 29
Win probability
UL 78.5%
FinalUAB 14 · UL 21model had +10.8, off by 3.8

Current team profiles

UAB
Louisiana

When UAB has the ball

Passing

UL defense
Higher-ranked profile
UAB offense
#130
UL defense
#93
EPA comparison
-0.06
#130
0.22
#93
Pass EPA

Rushing

UL defense
Higher-ranked profile
UAB offense
#79
UL defense
#7
EPA comparison
0.09
#79
-0.20
#7
Rush EPA

Drive success

UAB offense
Higher-ranked profile
UAB offense
#81
UL defense
#94
Success rates
43%
#81
42%
#94
Success rate
More metrics
0.02
#116
-0.04
#27
EPA / play
1.14
#111
1.10
#20
Explosiveness
16%
#88
18%
#39
Havoc

When Louisiana has the ball

Passing

UAB defense
Higher-ranked profile
UAB defense
#32
UL offense
#62
EPA comparison
0.03
#32
0.25
#62
Pass EPA

Rushing

UL offense
Higher-ranked profile
UAB defense
#102
UL offense
#45
EPA comparison
0.13
#102
0.16
#45
Rush EPA

Drive success

UL offense
Higher-ranked profile
UAB defense
#110
UL offense
#68
Success rates
45%
#110
44%
#68
Success rate
More metrics
0.06
#70
0.15
#70
EPA / play
1.03
#6
1.19
#95
Explosiveness
15%
#84
14%
#52
Havoc

Current key players

UAB
QBRyder Burton
791 yds · 4 TD · 4 INT
74.3118/729
LBMarlin Dean
21 tkl · 8.0 TFL · 5.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
66.9
Coverage
59.9
Pressures
17
Pass-rush snaps
101
Missed tackles
8
Forced fumbles
2
78.7100/1796
DBGuylijah Theodule
1 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
60.0
Coverage
69.3
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
1
Yards allowed
4
Passer rating allowed
83.3
Missed tackles
0
78.391/2969
WRTy Mims
14 rec · 223 yds · 1 TD
78.073/2069
TESean Persson
1 rec · 12 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
67.5
Run blocking
73.1
Penalties
0
75.446/1017
RBBam McReynolds
260 yds · 4 TD · 4.8 YPC
74.1190/1044
Availability reports · 1
  • Antonio Ferguson · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Ferguson is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against Pirates on Thursday, October 15th.

Louisiana
QBLunch Winfield
849 yds · 2 TD · 2 INT
89.726/729
CBBrent Gordon Jr.
30 tkl · 5 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
Run defense
79.8
Coverage
90.0
Targets allowed
29
Rec allowed
16
Yards allowed
157
Passer rating allowed
64.9
Missed tackles
6
90.010/2969
CBCam Riley
0 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
60.0
Coverage
79.1
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
39.6
Missed tackles
0
79.570/2969
SLake Bates
8 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
62.6
Coverage
77.6
Targets allowed
2
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
39.6
Missed tackles
2
77.2117/2969
LBLester Jones
2 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
53.4
Coverage
48.2
Pressures
4
Pass-rush snaps
27
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
75.5169/1796
RBAnthony Reagan Jr.
160 yds · 2 TD · 4.1 YPC
75.2175/1044
Availability reports · 3
  • Darrell Smith · RBout · 2026-10-07

    Smith is fighting off an undisclosed injury, and he will be idle for the remainder of the season.

  • Ja'Corian Norris · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Norris is laid up with an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined whether he will suit up against Trojans on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Jerry Birdlow · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Birdlow is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against Trojans on Saturday, October 17th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

UAB
UL
vs
Offense
74.3
#85 of 138
QB
89.7
#25 of 138
70.6
#116 of 138
RB
73.6
#90 of 138
71.2
#71 of 138
WR
69.0
#93 of 138
75.4
#37 of 138
TE
71.5
#54 of 138
63.0
#114 of 138
OL
61.4
#124 of 138
Defense
66.7
#131 of 138
DL
66.1
#133 of 138
68.9
#114 of 138
LB
70.2
#104 of 138
70.8
#86 of 138
DB
78.5
#7 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

UAB
opponent
Louisiana
H+10.2
CLT#184
+27.0A
H+6.0
ULM#163
+15.3A