CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 4 · Sat Sep 26 · 6:30 PM ET
#108Away
Louisiana
2-1 · AVR 53.5
34
Final
#142Home
Charlotte
0-3 · AVR 46.7
7
Forecast win probability
UL 73.5%26.5% CLT
Projected margin
UL by 8.3
Projected total
53
80% outcome range
UL 28 to CLT 10
Win probability
UL 73.5%
FinalUL 34 · CLT 7model had -8.3, off by 18.7

Current team profiles

Louisiana
Charlotte

When Louisiana has the ball

Passing

UL offense
Higher-ranked profile
UL offense
#62
CLT defense
#132
EPA comparison
0.25
#62
0.45
#132
Pass EPA

Rushing

UL offense
Higher-ranked profile
UL offense
#45
CLT defense
#119
EPA comparison
0.16
#45
0.16
#119
Rush EPA

Drive success

UL offense
Higher-ranked profile
UL offense
#68
CLT defense
#132
Success rates
44%
#68
49%
#132
Success rate
More metrics
0.15
#70
0.24
#128
EPA / play
1.19
#95
1.21
#67
Explosiveness
14%
#52
11%
#133
Havoc

When Charlotte has the ball

Passing

UL defense
Higher-ranked profile
UL defense
#93
CLT offense
#128
EPA comparison
0.22
#93
-0.04
#128
Pass EPA

Rushing

UL defense
Higher-ranked profile
UL defense
#7
CLT offense
#129
EPA comparison
-0.20
#7
-0.09
#129
Rush EPA

Drive success

UL defense
Higher-ranked profile
UL defense
#94
CLT offense
#132
Success rates
42%
#94
34%
#132
Success rate
More metrics
-0.04
#27
-0.11
#134
EPA / play
1.10
#20
1.16
#104
Explosiveness
18%
#39
20%
#134
Havoc

Current key players

Louisiana
QBLunch Winfield
849 yds · 2 TD · 2 INT
89.726/729
CBBrent Gordon Jr.
30 tkl · 5 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
Run defense
79.8
Coverage
90.0
Targets allowed
29
Rec allowed
16
Yards allowed
157
Passer rating allowed
64.9
Missed tackles
6
90.010/2969
CBCam Riley
0 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
60.0
Coverage
79.1
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
39.6
Missed tackles
0
79.570/2969
SLake Bates
8 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
62.6
Coverage
77.6
Targets allowed
2
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
39.6
Missed tackles
2
77.2117/2969
LBLester Jones
2 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
53.4
Coverage
48.2
Pressures
4
Pass-rush snaps
27
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
75.5169/1796
RBAnthony Reagan Jr.
160 yds · 2 TD · 4.1 YPC
75.2175/1044
Availability reports · 3
  • Darrell Smith · RBout · 2026-10-07

    Smith is fighting off an undisclosed injury, and he will be idle for the remainder of the season.

  • Ja'Corian Norris · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Norris is laid up with an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined whether he will suit up against Trojans on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Jerry Birdlow · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Birdlow is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against Trojans on Saturday, October 17th.

Charlotte
QBCole Gonzales
802 yds · 3 TD · 7 INT
59.4308/729
LBGavin Willis
42 tkl · 5.0 TFL · 0.5 sk
Player detail
Run defense
79.2
Coverage
67.6
Pressures
4
Pass-rush snaps
40
Missed tackles
7
Forced fumbles
1
76.7147/1796
RBChance Williams
116 yds · 0 TD · 5.8 YPC
74.7181/1044
DBDy'Lon Womack
22 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
82.2
Coverage
67.4
Targets allowed
10
Rec allowed
7
Yards allowed
123
Passer rating allowed
111.7
Missed tackles
3
73.3260/2969
TELane Wadle
— rec · — yds · — TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
73.8
Run blocking
66.9
Penalties
1
70.977/1017
DBDevon St. Clair
2 tkl · 0 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Coverage
70.2
Targets allowed
0
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Missed tackles
0
66.0758/2969
Availability reports · 1
  • Jeremiah Hoffman · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    Hoffman is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against Owls on Saturday, October 17th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

UL
CLT
vs
Offense
89.7
#25 of 138
QB
59.4
#135 of 138
73.6
#90 of 138
RB
73.7
#89 of 138
69.0
#93 of 138
WR
63.8
#135 of 138
71.5
#54 of 138
TE
70.9
#56 of 138
61.4
#124 of 138
OL
63.5
#111 of 138
Defense
66.1
#133 of 138
DL
70.0
#107 of 138
70.2
#104 of 138
LB
65.9
#131 of 138
78.5
#7 of 138
DB
66.8
#127 of 138
Common opponents