CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 4 · Sat Sep 26 · 7:00 PM ET
The Bell
#144Away
Southern Miss
1-2 · AVR 46.5
21
Final
#72Home
Tulane
1-2 · AVR 59.2
24
Forecast win probability
USM 18.0%82.0% TULN
Projected margin
TULN by 15.2
Projected total
50
80% outcome range
USM 4 to TULN 35
Win probability
TULN 82.0%
FinalUSM 21 · TULN 24model had +15.2, off by 12.2

Current team profiles

Southern Miss
Tulane

When Southern Miss has the ball

Passing

TULN defense
Higher-ranked profile
USM offense
#111
TULN defense
#109
EPA comparison
0.08
#111
0.29
#109
Pass EPA

Rushing

USM offense
Higher-ranked profile
USM offense
#30
TULN defense
#107
EPA comparison
0.20
#30
0.14
#107
Rush EPA

Drive success

USM offense
Higher-ranked profile
USM offense
#62
TULN defense
#81
Success rates
44%
#62
42%
#81
Success rate
More metrics
0.08
#95
0.17
#112
EPA / play
1.19
#94
1.20
#62
Explosiveness
15%
#73
11%
#135
Havoc

When Tulane has the ball

Passing

USM defense
Higher-ranked profile
USM defense
#103
TULN offense
#119
EPA comparison
0.27
#103
0.04
#119
Pass EPA

Rushing

TULN offense
Higher-ranked profile
USM defense
#134
TULN offense
#55
EPA comparison
0.26
#134
0.14
#55
Rush EPA

Drive success

USM defense
Higher-ranked profile
USM defense
#110
TULN offense
#133
Success rates
45%
#110
34%
#133
Success rate
More metrics
0.20
#122
0.07
#97
EPA / play
1.24
#78
1.57
#1
Explosiveness
12%
#129
20%
#132
Havoc

Current key players

Southern Miss
QBEthan Hampton
419 yds · 2 TD · 4 INT
69.3163/729
LBMelvin Spriggs
10 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
89.4
Coverage
62.7
Pressures
0
Pass-rush snaps
1
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
1
86.231/1796
WRMJ Johnson
9 rec · 120 yds · 0 TD
83.631/2069
DBKobi Albert
13 tkl · 1 PD · 3 INT
Player detail
Run defense
74.7
Coverage
83.7
Targets allowed
18
Rec allowed
9
Yards allowed
52
Passer rating allowed
16.7
Missed tackles
0
83.334/2969
DBJonah Martinez
3 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
63.5
Coverage
89.8
Targets allowed
4
Rec allowed
1
Yards allowed
25
Passer rating allowed
13.5
Missed tackles
2
83.136/2969
DBLaquan Robinson
20 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
77.5
Coverage
79.6
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
1
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
79.2
Missed tackles
2
80.160/2969
Availability reports · 3
  • Ethan Hampton · QBout · 2026-09-25

    Hampton is nursing with a hand injury, and a timetable for return has yet to be established.

  • Grant Page · WRout · 2026-09-22

    Page is sidelined due to a dislocated elbow, and team officials have yet to provide an exact return date.

  • Jaylen Himes · WRout · 2026-09-25

    Himes is out of commission due to a foot injury, and he will miss an extended period.

Tulane
QBZeon Chriss-Gremillion
64 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
72.4134/729
RBJohnnie Daniels
168 yds · 2 TD · 3.9 YPC
78.996/1044
LBMakai Williams
20 tkl · 3.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
79.2
Coverage
68.2
Pressures
5
Pass-rush snaps
21
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
76.4151/1796
LBJean Claude Joseph III
1 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
65.4
Coverage
60.0
Pressures
0
Pass-rush snaps
1
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
72.4277/1796
WRZycarl Lewis Jr.
1 rec · 28 yds · 0 TD
72.2189/2069
WRBredell Richardson
7 rec · 85 yds · 0 TD
71.9195/2069
Availability reports · 4
  • Jamauri McClure · RBout · 2026-09-27

    McClure is managing a foot injury, and there is no timetable for his return.

  • Zycarl Lewis Jr. · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    Lewis Jr. is bothered by a left injury, and his status is unknown against Memphis on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Maurice Turner · RBQues. · 2026-10-10

    Turner is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will face Memphis on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Antwaun Parham · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    Parham is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will face Memphis on Saturday, October 17th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

USM
TULN
vs
Offense
69.3
#103 of 138
QB
72.4
#94 of 138
71.1
#110 of 138
RB
75.5
#68 of 138
74.2
#40 of 138
WR
69.7
#85 of 138
70.8
#58 of 138
TE
65.0
#89 of 138
72.9
#28 of 138
OL
61.6
#122 of 138
Defense
70.4
#100 of 138
DL
78.4
#21 of 138
75.7
#55 of 138
LB
72.1
#86 of 138
76.2
#23 of 138
DB
67.8
#120 of 138
Common opponents