Passing
No comparison
- SAM offense
- —
- UAB defense
- #32
EPA comparison
—
0.03
#32
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 5 · Sat Oct 3 · 3:30 PM ET
Forecast win probability
SAM 4.2%95.8% UAB
- Projected margin
- UAB by 29.5
- Projected total
- 57
- 80% outcome range
- UAB 7 to UAB 52
- Win probability
- UAB 95.8%
FinalSAM 14 · UAB 33model had +29.5, off by 10.5
Current team profiles
Samford
UABWhen Samford has the ball
Rushing
No comparison
- SAM offense
- —
- UAB defense
- #102
EPA comparison
—
0.13
#102
Rush EPA
Drive success
No comparison
- SAM offense
- #120
- UAB defense
- #110
Success rates
38%
#120
45%
#110
Success rate
More metrics
0.03
#107
0.06
#70
EPA / play
0.18
#103
1.03
#6
Explosiveness
—
15%
#84
Havoc
When UAB has the ball
Passing
No comparison
- SAM defense
- —
- UAB offense
- #130
EPA comparison
—
-0.06
#130
Pass EPA
Rushing
No comparison
- SAM defense
- —
- UAB offense
- #79
EPA comparison
—
0.09
#79
Rush EPA
Drive success
No comparison
- SAM defense
- #55
- UAB offense
- #81
Success rates
43%
#55
43%
#81
Success rate
More metrics
0.15
#83
0.02
#116
EPA / play
0.21
#64
1.14
#111
Explosiveness
—
16%
#88
Havoc
Current key players
SamfordQBCoulter Cleland
40 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
81.534/370
LBWalker Turner
5 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 76.6
- Coverage
- 79.7
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 1
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
90.82/1054
LBBrandon Franklin
15 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 0.5 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 78.8
- Coverage
- 67.7
- Pressures
- 8
- Pass-rush snaps
- 13
- Missed tackles
- 3
- Forced fumbles
- 0
81.036/1054
DBLawson Estes
2 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 69.6
- Coverage
- 85.9
- Targets allowed
- 1
- Rec allowed
- 0
- Yards allowed
- 0
- Passer rating allowed
- 39.6
- Missed tackles
- 0
80.243/1765
LBSpencer Conn
35 tkl · 6.0 TFL · 2.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 80.2
- Coverage
- 63.2
- Pressures
- 7
- Pass-rush snaps
- 30
- Missed tackles
- 5
- Forced fumbles
- 0
77.171/1054
RBEmerson Russell
92 yds · 1 TD · 5.1 YPC
75.480/631
UABQBRyder Burton
791 yds · 4 TD · 4 INT
74.3118/729
LBMarlin Dean
21 tkl · 8.0 TFL · 5.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 66.9
- Coverage
- 59.9
- Pressures
- 17
- Pass-rush snaps
- 101
- Missed tackles
- 8
- Forced fumbles
- 2
78.7100/1796
DBGuylijah Theodule
1 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 60.0
- Coverage
- 69.3
- Targets allowed
- 1
- Rec allowed
- 1
- Yards allowed
- 4
- Passer rating allowed
- 83.3
- Missed tackles
- 0
78.391/2969
WRTy Mims
14 rec · 223 yds · 1 TD
78.073/2069
TESean Persson
1 rec · 12 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
- Pass blocking
- 67.5
- Run blocking
- 73.1
- Penalties
- 0
75.446/1017
RBBam McReynolds
260 yds · 4 TD · 4.8 YPC
74.1190/1044
Availability reports · 1
- Antonio Ferguson · TEQues. · 2026-10-11
Ferguson is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against Pirates on Thursday, October 15th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
SAMSamford
UABUAB
vs
Offense
81.5
#30 of 125
QB
Quarterback
74.3
#85 of 138
70.7
#72 of 126
RB
Running backs
70.6
#116 of 138
70.4
#51 of 126
WR
Receivers
71.2
#71 of 138
60.1
#92 of 124
TE
Tight ends
75.4
#37 of 138
63.6
#70 of 125
OL
Offensive line
63.0
#114 of 138
Defense
65.1
#117 of 126
DL
Defensive line
66.7
#131 of 138
83.0
#2 of 126
LB
Linebackers
68.9
#114 of 138
74.7
#23 of 126
DB
Secondary
70.8
#86 of 138