CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 8 · Fri Oct 23 · 8:30 PM ET
Forecast win probability
ARMY 57.4%42.6% TLSA
Projected margin
ARMY by 2.8
Projected total
52
80% outcome range
ARMY 21 to TLSA 16
Win probability
ARMY 57.4%

Current team profiles

Army
Tulsa

When Army has the ball

Passing

TLSA defense
Higher-ranked profile
ARMY offense
#88
TLSA defense
#82
EPA comparison
0.14
#88
0.18
#82
Pass EPA

Rushing

ARMY offense
Higher-ranked profile
ARMY offense
#1
TLSA defense
#41
EPA comparison
0.36
#1
-0.01
#41
Rush EPA

Drive success

ARMY offense
Higher-ranked profile
ARMY offense
#5
TLSA defense
#74
Success rates
53%
#5
41%
#74
Success rate
More metrics
0.30
#16
0.03
#54
EPA / play
1.04
#135
1.14
#29
Explosiveness
8%
#4
13%
#116
Havoc

When Tulsa has the ball

Passing

ARMY defense
Higher-ranked profile
ARMY defense
#98
TLSA offense
#108
EPA comparison
0.25
#98
0.09
#108
Pass EPA

Rushing

TLSA offense
Higher-ranked profile
ARMY defense
#122
TLSA offense
#21
EPA comparison
0.19
#122
0.23
#21
Rush EPA

Drive success

ARMY defense
Higher-ranked profile
ARMY defense
#92
TLSA offense
#117
Success rates
42%
#92
39%
#117
Success rate
More metrics
0.17
#113
0.14
#74
EPA / play
1.38
#124
1.22
#78
Explosiveness
13%
#111
15%
#69
Havoc

Current key players

Army
QBEthan Washington
13 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
80.369/729
WRZach Mundell
159 rush yds · 3 TD · 11 car
85.922/2069
LBKai Woolfolk
3 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
82.6
Coverage
62.1
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
80.479/1796
WRSamari Howard
293 rush yds · 1 TD · 27 car
78.369/2069
RBCarson Smith
100 yds · 1 TD · 4.8 YPC
76.6139/1044
LBRyan Wells
— tkl · — TFL · — sk
Player detail
Run defense
65.6
Coverage
61.0
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
73.9222/1796
Availability reports · 7
  • Bryson Luter · QBQues. · 2026-10-10

    Lutur is dealing with an Undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will play against the Florida Atlantic on October 17th.

  • Brady Anderson · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    Anderson is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it remain to seen if he will face Tulane on Saturday.

  • Godspower Nwawuihe · RBQues. · 2026-10-10

    Nwawuihe is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will face Florida Atlantic on October 17th.

  • Parker Poloskey · TEQues. · 2026-10-10

    Poloskey is hampered with an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will face Florida Atlantic on October 17th.

  • Ronan Boyle · TEQues. · 2026-10-10

    Boyle is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it remain to seen if he will face Florida Atlantic on October 17th.

  • Brady Mott · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    Mott is managing with a undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will face the Florida Atlantic on October 17th.

  • Noah Dolbin · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    Dolbin is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will suit up against Florida Atlantic on October 17th.

Tulsa
QBDexter Williams II
340 yds · 3 TD · 0 INT
64.2222/729
RBSeth Davis
90 yds · 1 TD · 10.0 YPC
88.714/1044
TEJackson Shockley
1 rec · 22 yds · 1 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
48.5
Run blocking
65.5
Penalties
0
87.18/1017
DBDevin Robinson
19 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
80.6
Coverage
76.0
Targets allowed
13
Rec allowed
7
Yards allowed
62
Passer rating allowed
92.5
Missed tackles
3
79.077/2969
LBDax Collins
39 tkl · 3.5 TFL · 2.5 sk
Player detail
Run defense
84.8
Coverage
58.3
Pressures
12
Pass-rush snaps
24
Missed tackles
3
Forced fumbles
0
76.7146/1796
CBCaldra Williford
16 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
73.4
Coverage
74.2
Targets allowed
5
Rec allowed
5
Yards allowed
65
Passer rating allowed
158.3
Missed tackles
2
75.4178/2969
Availability reports · 2
  • Jimmy Calloway · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Calloway is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will be available against the Owls on Saturday, Octob

  • Grayson Tempest · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Tempest is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will be available against the Owls on Saturday, Octobe

Position units

Position-unit comparison

ARMY
TLSA
vs
Offense
80.3
#55 of 138
QB
64.2
#121 of 138
74.4
#79 of 138
RB
84.4
#13 of 138
80.5
#10 of 138
WR
67.0
#120 of 138
67.1
#81 of 138
TE
87.1
#8 of 138
82.0
#1 of 138
OL
68.5
#64 of 138
Defense
69.7
#110 of 138
DL
73.1
#68 of 138
73.4
#76 of 138
LB
71.4
#93 of 138
68.9
#113 of 138
DB
74.5
#41 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Army
opponent
Tulsa
H+3.0
TULN#85
-10.1A
N+0.4
NAVY#93
-8.0A
H+8.8
FAU#88
+3.3H
A+5.7
RICE#133
+0.2A