CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 10 · Sat Nov 7 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
CLT 25.1%74.9% UAB
Projected margin
UAB by 10.2
Projected total
57
80% outcome range
CLT 8 to UAB 29
Win probability
UAB 74.9%

Current team profiles

Charlotte
UAB

When Charlotte has the ball

Passing

UAB defense
Higher-ranked profile
CLT offense
#128
UAB defense
#32
EPA comparison
-0.04
#128
0.03
#32
Pass EPA

Rushing

UAB defense
Higher-ranked profile
CLT offense
#129
UAB defense
#102
EPA comparison
-0.09
#129
0.13
#102
Rush EPA

Drive success

UAB defense
Higher-ranked profile
CLT offense
#132
UAB defense
#110
Success rates
34%
#132
45%
#110
Success rate
More metrics
-0.11
#134
0.06
#70
EPA / play
1.16
#104
1.03
#6
Explosiveness
20%
#134
15%
#84
Havoc

When UAB has the ball

Passing

UAB offense
Higher-ranked profile
CLT defense
#132
UAB offense
#130
EPA comparison
0.45
#132
-0.06
#130
Pass EPA

Rushing

UAB offense
Higher-ranked profile
CLT defense
#119
UAB offense
#79
EPA comparison
0.16
#119
0.09
#79
Rush EPA

Drive success

UAB offense
Higher-ranked profile
CLT defense
#132
UAB offense
#81
Success rates
49%
#132
43%
#81
Success rate
More metrics
0.24
#128
0.02
#116
EPA / play
1.21
#67
1.14
#111
Explosiveness
11%
#133
16%
#88
Havoc

Current key players

Charlotte
QBCole Gonzales
802 yds · 3 TD · 7 INT
59.4308/729
LBGavin Willis
42 tkl · 5.0 TFL · 0.5 sk
Player detail
Run defense
79.2
Coverage
67.6
Pressures
4
Pass-rush snaps
40
Missed tackles
7
Forced fumbles
1
76.7147/1796
RBChance Williams
116 yds · 0 TD · 5.8 YPC
74.7181/1044
DBDy'Lon Womack
22 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
82.2
Coverage
67.4
Targets allowed
10
Rec allowed
7
Yards allowed
123
Passer rating allowed
111.7
Missed tackles
3
73.3260/2969
TELane Wadle
— rec · — yds · — TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
73.8
Run blocking
66.9
Penalties
1
70.977/1017
DBDevon St. Clair
2 tkl · 0 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Coverage
70.2
Targets allowed
0
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Missed tackles
0
66.0758/2969
Availability reports · 1
  • Jeremiah Hoffman · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    Hoffman is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against Owls on Saturday, October 17th.

UAB
QBRyder Burton
791 yds · 4 TD · 4 INT
74.3118/729
LBMarlin Dean
21 tkl · 8.0 TFL · 5.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
66.9
Coverage
59.9
Pressures
17
Pass-rush snaps
101
Missed tackles
8
Forced fumbles
2
78.7100/1796
DBGuylijah Theodule
1 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
60.0
Coverage
69.3
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
1
Yards allowed
4
Passer rating allowed
83.3
Missed tackles
0
78.391/2969
WRTy Mims
14 rec · 223 yds · 1 TD
78.073/2069
TESean Persson
1 rec · 12 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
67.5
Run blocking
73.1
Penalties
0
75.446/1017
RBBam McReynolds
260 yds · 4 TD · 4.8 YPC
74.1190/1044
Availability reports · 1
  • Antonio Ferguson · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Ferguson is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against Pirates on Thursday, October 15th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

CLT
UAB
vs
Offense
59.4
#135 of 138
QB
74.3
#85 of 138
73.7
#89 of 138
RB
70.6
#116 of 138
63.8
#135 of 138
WR
71.2
#71 of 138
70.9
#56 of 138
TE
75.4
#37 of 138
63.5
#111 of 138
OL
63.0
#114 of 138
Defense
70.0
#107 of 138
DL
66.7
#131 of 138
65.9
#131 of 138
LB
68.9
#114 of 138
66.8
#127 of 138
DB
70.8
#86 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Charlotte
opponent
UAB
H-51.0
MEM#70
-25.0A
A-40.0
UNT#64
-15.4A
H-27.0
UL#92
-7.0A
H-15.1
NAVY#93
+4.0H
H-13.8
ECU#94
-6.3H
A-16.7
TEM#108
-9.2A