CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 12 · Sat Nov 21 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
CLT 16.2%83.8% TLSA
Projected margin
TLSA by 15.3
Projected total
54
80% outcome range
CLT 3 to TLSA 34
Win probability
TLSA 83.8%

Current team profiles

Charlotte
Tulsa

When Charlotte has the ball

Passing

TLSA defense
Higher-ranked profile
CLT offense
#128
TLSA defense
#82
EPA comparison
-0.04
#128
0.18
#82
Pass EPA

Rushing

TLSA defense
Higher-ranked profile
CLT offense
#129
TLSA defense
#41
EPA comparison
-0.09
#129
-0.01
#41
Rush EPA

Drive success

TLSA defense
Higher-ranked profile
CLT offense
#132
TLSA defense
#74
Success rates
34%
#132
41%
#74
Success rate
More metrics
-0.11
#134
0.03
#54
EPA / play
1.16
#104
1.14
#29
Explosiveness
20%
#134
13%
#116
Havoc

When Tulsa has the ball

Passing

TLSA offense
Higher-ranked profile
CLT defense
#132
TLSA offense
#108
EPA comparison
0.45
#132
0.09
#108
Pass EPA

Rushing

TLSA offense
Higher-ranked profile
CLT defense
#119
TLSA offense
#21
EPA comparison
0.16
#119
0.23
#21
Rush EPA

Drive success

TLSA offense
Higher-ranked profile
CLT defense
#132
TLSA offense
#117
Success rates
49%
#132
39%
#117
Success rate
More metrics
0.24
#128
0.14
#74
EPA / play
1.21
#67
1.22
#78
Explosiveness
11%
#133
15%
#69
Havoc

Current key players

Charlotte
QBCole Gonzales
802 yds · 3 TD · 7 INT
59.4308/729
LBGavin Willis
42 tkl · 5.0 TFL · 0.5 sk
Player detail
Run defense
79.2
Coverage
67.6
Pressures
4
Pass-rush snaps
40
Missed tackles
7
Forced fumbles
1
76.7147/1796
RBChance Williams
116 yds · 0 TD · 5.8 YPC
74.7181/1044
DBDy'Lon Womack
22 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
82.2
Coverage
67.4
Targets allowed
10
Rec allowed
7
Yards allowed
123
Passer rating allowed
111.7
Missed tackles
3
73.3260/2969
TELane Wadle
— rec · — yds · — TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
73.8
Run blocking
66.9
Penalties
1
70.977/1017
DBDevon St. Clair
2 tkl · 0 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Coverage
70.2
Targets allowed
0
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Missed tackles
0
66.0758/2969
Availability reports · 1
  • Jeremiah Hoffman · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    Hoffman is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against Owls on Saturday, October 17th.

Tulsa
QBDexter Williams II
340 yds · 3 TD · 0 INT
64.2222/729
RBSeth Davis
90 yds · 1 TD · 10.0 YPC
88.714/1044
TEJackson Shockley
1 rec · 22 yds · 1 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
48.5
Run blocking
65.5
Penalties
0
87.18/1017
DBDevin Robinson
19 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
80.6
Coverage
76.0
Targets allowed
13
Rec allowed
7
Yards allowed
62
Passer rating allowed
92.5
Missed tackles
3
79.077/2969
LBDax Collins
39 tkl · 3.5 TFL · 2.5 sk
Player detail
Run defense
84.8
Coverage
58.3
Pressures
12
Pass-rush snaps
24
Missed tackles
3
Forced fumbles
0
76.7146/1796
CBCaldra Williford
16 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
73.4
Coverage
74.2
Targets allowed
5
Rec allowed
5
Yards allowed
65
Passer rating allowed
158.3
Missed tackles
2
75.4178/2969
Availability reports · 2
  • Jimmy Calloway · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Calloway is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will be available against the Owls on Saturday, Octob

  • Grayson Tempest · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Tempest is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will be available against the Owls on Saturday, Octobe

Position units

Position-unit comparison

CLT
TLSA
vs
Offense
59.4
#135 of 138
QB
64.2
#121 of 138
73.7
#89 of 138
RB
84.4
#13 of 138
63.8
#135 of 138
WR
67.0
#120 of 138
70.9
#56 of 138
TE
87.1
#8 of 138
63.5
#111 of 138
OL
68.5
#64 of 138
Defense
70.0
#107 of 138
DL
73.1
#68 of 138
65.9
#131 of 138
LB
71.4
#93 of 138
66.8
#127 of 138
DB
74.5
#41 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Charlotte
opponent
Tulsa
A-40.0
UNT#64
-1.0H
H-17.5
TULN#85
-10.1A
H-15.1
NAVY#93
-8.0A