CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 1 · Thu Sep 3 · 7:00 PM ET
#224Away
Merrimack
0-0 · AVR 36.4
7
Final
#140Home
Delaware
0-0 · AVR 47.2
42
Forecast win probability
MRMK 5.1%94.9% DEL
Projected margin
DEL by 26.2
Projected total
58
80% outcome range
DEL 6 to DEL 47
Win probability
DEL 94.9%
FinalMRMK 7 · DEL 42model had +26.2, off by 8.8

Current team profiles

Merrimack
Delaware

When Merrimack has the ball

Passing

No comparison
MRMK offense
—
DEL defense
#89
EPA comparison
—
0.20
#89
Pass EPA

Rushing

No comparison
MRMK offense
—
DEL defense
#68
EPA comparison
—
0.04
#68
Rush EPA

Drive success

No comparison
MRMK offense
#94
DEL defense
#67
Success rates
41%
#94
40%
#67
Success rate
More metrics
0.03
#102
0.09
#84
EPA / play
0.19
#102
1.28
#97
Explosiveness
—
18%
#36
Havoc

When Delaware has the ball

Passing

No comparison
MRMK defense
—
DEL offense
#101
EPA comparison
—
0.11
#101
Pass EPA

Rushing

No comparison
MRMK defense
—
DEL offense
#110
EPA comparison
—
0.00
#110
Rush EPA

Drive success

No comparison
MRMK defense
#13
DEL offense
#124
Success rates
39%
#13
38%
#124
Success rate
More metrics
0.04
#26
0.00
#123
EPA / play
0.19
#33
1.26
#48
Explosiveness
—
21%
#136
Havoc

Current key players

Merrimack
DLTrent Taylor
4 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0.5 sk
Player detail
Run defense
71.1
Pressures
4
Pass-rush snaps
53
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
76.782/1549
DLBryce Ricks
13 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
81.5
Pressures
2
Pass-rush snaps
99
Missed tackles
2
Forced fumbles
0
75.5111/1549
LBMicah Green
36 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
83.5
Coverage
60.7
Pressures
4
Pass-rush snaps
41
Missed tackles
4
Forced fumbles
0
72.6161/1054
DBMakai Young
2 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
67.4
Coverage
70.8
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
39.6
Missed tackles
0
72.6249/1765
DBDanny Simms
36 tkl · 3 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
63.2
Coverage
77.9
Targets allowed
10
Rec allowed
6
Yards allowed
56
Passer rating allowed
69.2
Missed tackles
9
71.6301/1765
DLShaheed Armstrong
10 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
74.7
Pressures
0
Pass-rush snaps
14
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
71.4252/1549
Delaware
QBNick Minicucci
838 yds · 5 TD · 3 INT
66.4200/729
LBJalen Bell
13 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
83.8
Coverage
76.7
Pressures
9
Pass-rush snaps
21
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
80.971/1796
WRSean Wilson
21 rec · 304 yds · 3 TD
76.4104/2069
RBKaderris Roberts
86 yds · 1 TD · 4.1 YPC
75.8155/1044
SNoah Jefferson
18 tkl · 3 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
75.4
Coverage
69.9
Targets allowed
7
Rec allowed
3
Yards allowed
35
Passer rating allowed
58.6
Missed tackles
1
73.0277/2969
LBBlake Matthews
29 tkl · 6.0 TFL · 4.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
76.5
Coverage
61.8
Pressures
14
Pass-rush snaps
54
Missed tackles
4
Forced fumbles
2
71.4311/1796
Availability reports · 4
  • Nick Minicucci · QBout · 2026-10-02

    Minicucci is hampered by a leg injury, and it is not anticipated that he will suit up against Liberty on Friday, October 2nd.

  • Greg Spiller · RBout · 2026-09-13

    Spiller is managing with an undisclosed injury, and has been shut down for the remainder of the season.

  • Brandon Rehmann · WRQues. · 2026-09-27

    Rehmann is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Liberty on Friday, October 2th.

  • Ty Salazer · WRQues. · 2026-09-27

    Salazer is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will be active against Liberty on Friday, October 2th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

MRMK
DEL
vs
Offense
60.0
#112 of 125
QB
66.4
#115 of 138
67.1
#98 of 126
RB
72.7
#102 of 138
65.9
#96 of 126
WR
72.1
#58 of 138
57.2
#109 of 124
TE
68.8
#72 of 138
62.0
#94 of 125
OL
64.3
#101 of 138
Defense
73.5
#36 of 126
DL
67.8
#125 of 138
69.3
#86 of 126
LB
74.4
#66 of 138
70.5
#81 of 126
DB
69.8
#103 of 138
Common opponents