CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 2 · Sat Sep 12 · 9:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
TXSO 2.6%97.4% UTEP
Projected margin
UTEP by 28.0
Projected total
56
80% outcome range
UTEP 7 to UTEP 49
Win probability
UTEP 97.4%
FinalTXSO 10 · UTEP 51model had +28.0, off by 13.0

Current team profiles

Texas Southern
UTEP

When Texas Southern has the ball

Passing

No comparison
TXSO offense
—
UTEP defense
#137
EPA comparison
—
0.48
#137
Pass EPA

Rushing

No comparison
TXSO offense
—
UTEP defense
#107
EPA comparison
—
0.14
#107
Rush EPA

Drive success

No comparison
TXSO offense
#62
UTEP defense
#127
Success rates
44%
#62
47%
#127
Success rate
More metrics
0.20
#22
0.24
#128
EPA / play
0.23
#20
1.22
#71
Explosiveness
—
13%
#117
Havoc

When UTEP has the ball

Passing

No comparison
TXSO defense
—
UTEP offense
#136
EPA comparison
—
-0.18
#136
Pass EPA

Rushing

No comparison
TXSO defense
—
UTEP offense
#132
EPA comparison
—
-0.10
#132
Rush EPA

Drive success

No comparison
TXSO defense
#95
UTEP offense
#135
Success rates
47%
#95
33%
#135
Success rate
More metrics
0.18
#94
-0.18
#138
EPA / play
0.21
#74
1.28
#39
Explosiveness
—
23%
#137
Havoc

Current key players

Texas Southern
RBAthean Renfro Jr.
449 yds · 3 TD · 5.4 YPC
78.548/631
KMiguel Arana III
6/9 FG · 0%
78.312/416
DBJoel Williams
7 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
71.9
Coverage
73.1
Targets allowed
2
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
39.6
Missed tackles
2
73.7204/1765
RBRi'Jon Hammond
45 yds · 1 TD · 5.6 YPC
73.2116/631
DLJordan Thompson
18 tkl · 3.0 TFL · 2.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
70.0
Pressures
11
Pass-rush snaps
95
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
72.7187/1549
RBJacob Washington
135 yds · 1 TD · 5.6 YPC
71.4144/631
UTEP
QBEJ Colson Jr.
541 yds · 7 TD · 3 INT
60.2270/729
SKane White-Tinsley
4 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
78.1
Coverage
72.2
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
1
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
79.2
Missed tackles
0
78.780/2969
CBTJ Tillman
2 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
70.0
Coverage
76.0
Targets allowed
4
Rec allowed
2
Yards allowed
10
Passer rating allowed
56.3
Missed tackles
0
76.7141/2969
CBDecorian Thompson
13 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
70.6
Coverage
73.5
Targets allowed
7
Rec allowed
4
Yards allowed
32
Passer rating allowed
68.8
Missed tackles
1
73.8243/2969
LBVashon Brunswick II
2 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
70.9
Coverage
61.7
Pressures
1
Pass-rush snaps
1
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
70.0370/1796
LBGarrett Hawkins
20 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
86.3
Coverage
50.9
Pressures
2
Pass-rush snaps
27
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
69.9374/1796
Availability reports · 3
  • EJ Colson Jr. · QBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Colson Jr. is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will play against Spartans on Saturday, October 17th.

  • CJ Simon · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Simon is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will suit up against Spartans on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Mason Ferguson · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Ferguson is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against Spartans on Saturday, October 17th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

TXSO
UTEP
vs
Offense
61.6
#102 of 125
QB
60.2
#131 of 138
75.8
#30 of 126
RB
63.0
#138 of 138
66.5
#91 of 126
WR
68.3
#103 of 138
65.9
#57 of 124
TE
60.0
#121 of 138
56.2
#121 of 125
OL
63.8
#106 of 138
Defense
66.4
#107 of 126
DL
71.2
#94 of 138
64.8
#115 of 126
LB
69.3
#108 of 138
67.0
#115 of 126
DB
74.1
#44 of 138
Common opponents