CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 3 · Sat Sep 19 · 1:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
WYO 49.7%50.3% CMU
Projected margin
CMU by 0.8
Projected total
38
80% outcome range
WYO 18 to CMU 21
Win probability
CMU 50.3%
FinalWYO 10 · CMU 24model had +0.8, off by 13.2

Current team profiles

Wyoming
Central Michigan

When Wyoming has the ball

Passing

CMU defense
Higher-ranked profile
WYO offense
#128
CMU defense
#71
EPA comparison
-0.04
#128
0.15
#71
Pass EPA

Rushing

WYO offense
Higher-ranked profile
WYO offense
#55
CMU defense
#107
EPA comparison
0.14
#55
0.14
#107
Rush EPA

Drive success

WYO offense
Higher-ranked profile
WYO offense
#69
CMU defense
#126
Success rates
44%
#69
47%
#126
Success rate
More metrics
0.07
#100
0.15
#108
EPA / play
1.02
#137
1.11
#24
Explosiveness
16%
#94
15%
#90
Havoc

When Central Michigan has the ball

Passing

WYO defense
Higher-ranked profile
WYO defense
#89
CMU offense
#130
EPA comparison
0.20
#89
-0.06
#130
Pass EPA

Rushing

CMU offense
Higher-ranked profile
WYO defense
#107
CMU offense
#45
EPA comparison
0.14
#107
0.16
#45
Rush EPA

Drive success

CMU offense
Higher-ranked profile
WYO defense
#121
CMU offense
#119
Success rates
46%
#121
38%
#119
Success rate
More metrics
0.14
#101
0.06
#103
EPA / play
1.04
#7
1.24
#66
Explosiveness
15%
#93
14%
#50
Havoc

Current key players

Wyoming
QBLandon Sims
— yds · — TD · — INT
67.9183/729
SJones Thomas
34 tkl · 4 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
Run defense
75.8
Coverage
79.8
Targets allowed
14
Rec allowed
8
Yards allowed
83
Passer rating allowed
74.4
Missed tackles
4
80.061/2969
RBMarkell Holman
248 yds · 3 TD · 5.6 YPC
78.0110/1044
SJaden DaCosta
6 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
52.4
Coverage
85.5
Targets allowed
3
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
39.6
Missed tackles
1
76.7139/2969
LBDash Bauman
13 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
69.1
Coverage
73.0
Pressures
1
Pass-rush snaps
1
Missed tackles
2
Forced fumbles
0
74.5199/1796
STherman Williams
14 tkl · 3 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
63.7
Coverage
73.8
Targets allowed
18
Rec allowed
10
Yards allowed
63
Passer rating allowed
63.0
Missed tackles
2
72.5307/2969
Availability reports · 5
  • Taylor Hasselbeck · QBout · 2026-08-11

    Hasselbeck has been out of commission due to knee injury, and he is likely to miss the remainder of the season.

  • Tyler Nystrom · WRout · 2026-08-11

    Nystrom has been out of lineup due to knee injury, and he is likely to miss the remainder of the season.

  • Deion DeBlanc · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    DeBlanc is dealing with a toe injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Huskies on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Ke'Lyn Washom · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    Washom is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will play against the Huskies on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Diore Hubbard · RBQues. · 2026-10-10

    Hubbard is nursing with an knee injury, and it is undetermined if he will suit up against the Huskies on Saturday, October 17th.

Central Michigan
QBAngel Flores
201 yds · 1 TD · 2 INT
76.4101/729
DBCoen Ali
10 tkl · 0 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
81.2
Coverage
88.0
Targets allowed
5
Rec allowed
4
Yards allowed
23
Passer rating allowed
46.3
Missed tackles
2
88.114/2969
DBJustin Taylor
27 tkl · 4 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
Run defense
72.6
Coverage
89.0
Targets allowed
16
Rec allowed
7
Yards allowed
27
Passer rating allowed
11.5
Missed tackles
2
84.826/2969
RBJayden Clerveaux
219 yds · 1 TD · 5.9 YPC
77.6123/1044
DBKameran Hayward
4 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
64.2
Coverage
77.3
Targets allowed
6
Rec allowed
3
Yards allowed
33
Passer rating allowed
27.1
Missed tackles
0
75.6172/2969
TEGavin Spillers
1 rec · 8 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
51.1
Run blocking
70.6
Penalties
0
71.772/1017
Availability reports · 2
  • J. Allen · TEout · 2026-09-15

    VanWetzinga is sidelined with a knee injury, and he will miss an extended period.

  • Rusty VanWetzinga IV · FBQues. · 2026-10-10

    VanWetzinga is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Broncos on Saturday, October 17

Position units

Position-unit comparison

WYO
CMU
vs
Offense
67.9
#111 of 138
QB
76.4
#76 of 138
73.8
#85 of 138
RB
73.2
#94 of 138
58.4
#138 of 138
WR
64.3
#133 of 138
68.9
#71 of 138
TE
71.7
#53 of 138
66.6
#82 of 138
OL
65.5
#92 of 138
Defense
74.6
#57 of 138
DL
70.5
#99 of 138
68.5
#117 of 138
LB
67.5
#123 of 138
74.0
#46 of 138
DB
78.4
#8 of 138
Common opponents