Passing
GAST defense
Higher-ranked profile
- NIU offense
- #123
- GAST defense
- #7
EPA comparison
0.00
#123
-0.10
#7
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 4 · Sat Sep 26 · 2:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
NIU 36.8%63.2% GAST
- Projected margin
- GAST by 5.7
- Projected total
- 53
- 80% outcome range
- NIU 14 to GAST 25
- Win probability
- GAST 63.2%
FinalNIU 14 · GAST 35model had +5.7, off by 15.3
Current team profiles
Northern IllinoisGeorgia StateWhen Northern Illinois has the ball
Rushing
GAST defense
Higher-ranked profile
- NIU offense
- #137
- GAST defense
- #73
EPA comparison
-0.13
#137
0.05
#73
Rush EPA
Drive success
GAST defense
Higher-ranked profile
- NIU offense
- #125
- GAST defense
- #30
Success rates
37%
#125
35%
#30
Success rate
More metrics
-0.12
#135
-0.05
#25
EPA / play
1.14
#110
1.20
#60
Explosiveness
17%
#112
20%
#15
Havoc
When Georgia State has the ball
Passing
GAST offense
Higher-ranked profile
- NIU defense
- #89
- GAST offense
- #12
EPA comparison
0.20
#89
0.49
#12
Pass EPA
Rushing
GAST offense
Higher-ranked profile
- NIU defense
- #131
- GAST offense
- #63
EPA comparison
0.23
#131
0.12
#63
Rush EPA
Drive success
GAST offense
Higher-ranked profile
- NIU defense
- #131
- GAST offense
- #41
Success rates
49%
#131
47%
#41
Success rate
More metrics
0.20
#121
0.24
#32
EPA / play
1.20
#54
1.29
#36
Explosiveness
10%
#136
11%
#14
Havoc
Current key players
Northern IllinoisQBBrady Davidson
27 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
69.3166/729
DBAaron Warren
13 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 80.5
- Coverage
- 82.6
- Targets allowed
- 6
- Rec allowed
- 4
- Yards allowed
- 33
- Passer rating allowed
- 80.6
- Missed tackles
- 3
82.839/2969
LBJashawn Nelson
— tkl · — TFL · — sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 73.3
- Coverage
- 74.8
- Pressures
- 2
- Pass-rush snaps
- 27
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
79.195/1796
RBJaidaun Cranford
59 yds · 0 TD · 7.4 YPC
74.6185/1044
CBYassine Falke
13 tkl · 0 PD · 3 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 86.1
- Coverage
- 65.8
- Targets allowed
- 14
- Rec allowed
- 8
- Yards allowed
- 69
- Passer rating allowed
- 30.7
- Missed tackles
- 3
70.7404/2969
WRDeAree Rogers
31 rec · 252 yds · 2 TD
69.9273/2069
Availability reports · 2
- Glen Weber · TEQues. · 2026-10-11
Weber is battling with an undisclosed injury, and his status is unknown against Cowboys on Saturday, October 17th.
- Da'sean Howard · RBQues. · 2026-10-11
Howard is suffering with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against Cowboys on Saturday, October 17th.
Georgia StateQBCameran Brown
1157 yds · 12 TD · 4 INT
90.322/729
LBXavier Esqillion
18 tkl · 8.5 TFL · 7.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 72.9
- Coverage
- 62.0
- Pressures
- 25
- Pass-rush snaps
- 93
- Missed tackles
- 4
- Forced fumbles
- 2
94.22/1796
LBKhalid Feliz
1 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 75.3
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 7
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
84.349/1796
RBDennis Murray Jr.
103 yds · 2 TD · 4.9 YPC
81.164/1044
WRIsaiah Stone
3 rec · 46 yds · 1 TD
75.4119/2069
WRRodshaun Dorsey
18 rec · 276 yds · 6 TD
75.3121/2069
Position units
Position-unit comparison
NIUNorthern Illinois
GASTGeorgia State
vs
Offense
69.3
#104 of 138
QB
Quarterback
90.3
#21 of 138
72.5
#103 of 138
RB
Running backs
77.2
#53 of 138
67.4
#117 of 138
WR
Receivers
74.1
#41 of 138
65.0
#90 of 138
TE
Tight ends
64.8
#91 of 138
64.8
#97 of 138
OL
Offensive line
72.2
#33 of 138
Defense
64.5
#137 of 138
DL
Defensive line
72.4
#78 of 138
69.3
#109 of 138
LB
Linebackers
85.7
#2 of 138
69.9
#100 of 138
DB
Secondary
69.8
#101 of 138