CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 7 · Sat Oct 17 · 3:30 PM ET
Forecast win probability
NIU 25.5%74.5% WYO
Projected margin
WYO by 10.0
Projected total
46
80% outcome range
NIU 9 to WYO 29
Win probability
WYO 74.5%

Current team profiles

Northern Illinois
Wyoming

When Northern Illinois has the ball

Passing

WYO defense
Higher-ranked profile
NIU offense
#123
WYO defense
#89
EPA comparison
0.00
#123
0.20
#89
Pass EPA

Rushing

WYO defense
Higher-ranked profile
NIU offense
#137
WYO defense
#107
EPA comparison
-0.13
#137
0.14
#107
Rush EPA

Drive success

WYO defense
Higher-ranked profile
NIU offense
#125
WYO defense
#121
Success rates
37%
#125
46%
#121
Success rate
More metrics
-0.12
#135
0.14
#101
EPA / play
1.14
#110
1.04
#7
Explosiveness
17%
#112
15%
#93
Havoc

When Wyoming has the ball

Passing

NIU defense
Higher-ranked profile
NIU defense
#89
WYO offense
#128
EPA comparison
0.20
#89
-0.04
#128
Pass EPA

Rushing

WYO offense
Higher-ranked profile
NIU defense
#131
WYO offense
#55
EPA comparison
0.23
#131
0.14
#55
Rush EPA

Drive success

WYO offense
Higher-ranked profile
NIU defense
#131
WYO offense
#69
Success rates
49%
#131
44%
#69
Success rate
More metrics
0.20
#121
0.07
#100
EPA / play
1.20
#54
1.02
#137
Explosiveness
10%
#136
16%
#94
Havoc

Current key players

Northern Illinois
QBBrady Davidson
27 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
69.3166/729
DBAaron Warren
13 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
80.5
Coverage
82.6
Targets allowed
6
Rec allowed
4
Yards allowed
33
Passer rating allowed
80.6
Missed tackles
3
82.839/2969
LBJashawn Nelson
— tkl · — TFL · — sk
Player detail
Run defense
73.3
Coverage
74.8
Pressures
2
Pass-rush snaps
27
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
79.195/1796
RBJaidaun Cranford
59 yds · 0 TD · 7.4 YPC
74.6185/1044
CBYassine Falke
13 tkl · 0 PD · 3 INT
Player detail
Run defense
86.1
Coverage
65.8
Targets allowed
14
Rec allowed
8
Yards allowed
69
Passer rating allowed
30.7
Missed tackles
3
70.7404/2969
WRDeAree Rogers
31 rec · 252 yds · 2 TD
69.9273/2069
Availability reports · 2
  • Glen Weber · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Weber is battling with an undisclosed injury, and his status is unknown against Cowboys on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Da'sean Howard · RBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Howard is suffering with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against Cowboys on Saturday, October 17th.

Wyoming
QBLandon Sims
— yds · — TD · — INT
67.9183/729
SJones Thomas
34 tkl · 4 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
Run defense
75.8
Coverage
79.8
Targets allowed
14
Rec allowed
8
Yards allowed
83
Passer rating allowed
74.4
Missed tackles
4
80.061/2969
RBMarkell Holman
248 yds · 3 TD · 5.6 YPC
78.0110/1044
SJaden DaCosta
6 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
52.4
Coverage
85.5
Targets allowed
3
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
39.6
Missed tackles
1
76.7139/2969
LBDash Bauman
13 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
69.1
Coverage
73.0
Pressures
1
Pass-rush snaps
1
Missed tackles
2
Forced fumbles
0
74.5199/1796
STherman Williams
14 tkl · 3 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
63.7
Coverage
73.8
Targets allowed
18
Rec allowed
10
Yards allowed
63
Passer rating allowed
63.0
Missed tackles
2
72.5307/2969
Availability reports · 5
  • Taylor Hasselbeck · QBout · 2026-08-11

    Hasselbeck has been out of commission due to knee injury, and he is likely to miss the remainder of the season.

  • Tyler Nystrom · WRout · 2026-08-11

    Nystrom has been out of lineup due to knee injury, and he is likely to miss the remainder of the season.

  • Deion DeBlanc · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    DeBlanc is dealing with a toe injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Huskies on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Ke'Lyn Washom · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    Washom is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will play against the Huskies on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Diore Hubbard · RBQues. · 2026-10-10

    Hubbard is nursing with an knee injury, and it is undetermined if he will suit up against the Huskies on Saturday, October 17th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

NIU
WYO
vs
Offense
69.3
#104 of 138
QB
67.9
#111 of 138
72.5
#103 of 138
RB
73.8
#85 of 138
67.4
#117 of 138
WR
58.4
#138 of 138
65.0
#90 of 138
TE
68.9
#71 of 138
64.8
#97 of 138
OL
66.6
#82 of 138
Defense
64.5
#137 of 138
DL
74.6
#57 of 138
69.3
#109 of 138
LB
68.5
#117 of 138
69.9
#100 of 138
DB
74.0
#46 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Northern Illinois
opponent
Wyoming
H-6.7
HAW#135
+17.0H
H-21.0
AF#74
-1.5H
A-9.6
SJSU#123
+3.0A
A-20.1
UNLV#83
-12.8A
A-22.6
NDSU#61
-28.0A
H0.0
UTEP#170
+2.1A