AVRCFB Model
All predictionsWeek 2 · Sat Sep 12 · 6:00 PM
Away
Stony Brook
—
24p
#136Home
Ball State
0-0 · AVR 22.6
32p
STBK 29%71% BALL
Spread
BALL -7.7
Total
55
Moneyline
STBK+241BALL-241
Margin σ
14.1

Key players

Top-rated players, and who is out
Ball State
LBJared Badie
60.1282/878
DBQuentavius Scandrett
55.4609/1427
DBWillizhuan Yates
53.6666/1427
QBKeldric Luster
53.0122/308
RBJohnny Thompson Jr.
49.3310/514
WRJabari Smith Jr.
47.0410/777

Projected margin

80% between -9 and 24
-14-7-3+3+7+14PKBALL +7.795% interval: -15.3 to 30.780% interval: -9 to 24.4-9+24STBK wins 29%BALL wins 71%

Scorelines

Brighter is likelier
most likely ≈ BALL 32–25 STBKBALL 28–49 STBK neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesBALL 32–46 STBK neighborhood · ~0.7% of outcomesBALL 35–42 STBK neighborhood · ~1.2% of outcomesBALL 39–39 STBK neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesBALL 42–35 STBK neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesBALL 46–32 STBK neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesBALL 49–28 STBK neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesBALL 53–25 STBK neighborhood · ~0.8% of outcomesBALL 56–21 STBK neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesBALL 25–46 STBK neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesBALL 28–42 STBK neighborhood · ~0.9% of outcomesBALL 32–39 STBK neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesBALL 35–35 STBK neighborhood · ~2.4% of outcomesBALL 39–32 STBK neighborhood · ~2.8% of outcomesBALL 42–28 STBK neighborhood · ~2.5% of outcomesBALL 46–25 STBK neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesBALL 49–21 STBK neighborhood · ~1.0% of outcomesBALL 53–18 STBK neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesBALL 21–42 STBK neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesBALL 25–39 STBK neighborhood · ~1.0% of outcomesBALL 28–35 STBK neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesBALL 32–32 STBK neighborhood · ~2.8% of outcomesBALL 35–28 STBK neighborhood · ~3.3% of outcomesBALL 39–25 STBK neighborhood · ~3.0% of outcomesBALL 42–21 STBK neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesBALL 46–18 STBK neighborhood · ~1.2% of outcomesBALL 49–14 STBK neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesBALL 18–39 STBK neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesBALL 21–35 STBK neighborhood · ~1.1% of outcomesBALL 25–32 STBK neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesBALL 28–28 STBK neighborhood · ~3.0% of outcomesBALL 32–25 STBK neighborhood · ~3.5% of outcomesBALL 35–21 STBK neighborhood · ~3.2% of outcomesBALL 39–18 STBK neighborhood · ~2.2% of outcomesBALL 42–14 STBK neighborhood · ~1.2% of outcomesBALL 46–11 STBK neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesBALL 14–35 STBK neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesBALL 18–32 STBK neighborhood · ~1.0% of outcomesBALL 21–28 STBK neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesBALL 25–25 STBK neighborhood · ~2.9% of outcomesBALL 28–21 STBK neighborhood · ~3.4% of outcomesBALL 32–18 STBK neighborhood · ~3.0% of outcomesBALL 35–14 STBK neighborhood · ~2.2% of outcomesBALL 39–11 STBK neighborhood · ~1.2% of outcomesBALL 42–7 STBK neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesBALL 11–32 STBK neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesBALL 14–28 STBK neighborhood · ~0.9% of outcomesBALL 18–25 STBK neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesBALL 21–21 STBK neighborhood · ~2.5% of outcomesBALL 25–18 STBK neighborhood · ~2.9% of outcomesBALL 28–14 STBK neighborhood · ~2.6% of outcomesBALL 32–11 STBK neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesBALL 35–7 STBK neighborhood · ~1.0% of outcomesBALL 39–4 STBK neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesBALL 7–28 STBK neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesBALL 11–25 STBK neighborhood · ~0.7% of outcomesBALL 14–21 STBK neighborhood · ~1.3% of outcomesBALL 18–18 STBK neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesBALL 21–14 STBK neighborhood · ~2.3% of outcomesBALL 25–11 STBK neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesBALL 28–7 STBK neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesBALL 32–4 STBK neighborhood · ~0.8% of outcomesBALL 35–0 STBK neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomes77706356494235totalSTBK +21STBK +7BALL +7BALL +21BALL +35margin →