AVRCFB Model
All predictionsWeek 2 · Sat Sep 12 · 5:00 PM
Away
Colgate
—
20p
#107Home
Central Michigan
0-0 · AVR 37.6
36p
COLG 12%88% CMU
Spread
CMU -16.1
Total
55
Moneyline
COLG+705CMU-705
Margin σ
14.1

Key players

Top-rated players, and who is out
Central Michigan
DBJaion Jackson
76.0140/1427
DBKyle Krebs
68.1278/1427
DBKeyton Jones
64.4377/1427
DBTysen Campbell
63.1404/1427
RBBrock Townsend
57.2138/514
WRLangston Lewis
53.7198/777

Projected margin

80% between -1 and 33
-14-7-3+3+7+14PKCMU +16.195% interval: -6.9 to 39.180% interval: -0.6 to 32.8-1+33COLG wins 12%CMU wins 88%

Scorelines

Brighter is likelier
most likely ≈ CMU 35–21 COLGCMU 32–46 COLG neighborhood · ~0.2% of outcomesCMU 35–42 COLG neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesCMU 39–39 COLG neighborhood · ~1.1% of outcomesCMU 42–35 COLG neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesCMU 46–32 COLG neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesCMU 49–28 COLG neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesCMU 53–25 COLG neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesCMU 56–21 COLG neighborhood · ~0.9% of outcomesCMU 60–18 COLG neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesCMU 28–42 COLG neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesCMU 32–39 COLG neighborhood · ~0.7% of outcomesCMU 35–35 COLG neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesCMU 39–32 COLG neighborhood · ~2.3% of outcomesCMU 42–28 COLG neighborhood · ~2.8% of outcomesCMU 46–25 COLG neighborhood · ~2.6% of outcomesCMU 49–21 COLG neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesCMU 53–18 COLG neighborhood · ~1.1% of outcomesCMU 56–14 COLG neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesCMU 25–39 COLG neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesCMU 28–35 COLG neighborhood · ~0.9% of outcomesCMU 32–32 COLG neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesCMU 35–28 COLG neighborhood · ~2.7% of outcomesCMU 39–25 COLG neighborhood · ~3.3% of outcomesCMU 42–21 COLG neighborhood · ~3.1% of outcomesCMU 46–18 COLG neighborhood · ~2.3% of outcomesCMU 49–14 COLG neighborhood · ~1.3% of outcomesCMU 53–11 COLG neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesCMU 21–35 COLG neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesCMU 25–32 COLG neighborhood · ~0.9% of outcomesCMU 28–28 COLG neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesCMU 32–25 COLG neighborhood · ~2.9% of outcomesCMU 35–21 COLG neighborhood · ~3.5% of outcomesCMU 39–18 COLG neighborhood · ~3.3% of outcomesCMU 42–14 COLG neighborhood · ~2.5% of outcomesCMU 46–11 COLG neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesCMU 49–7 COLG neighborhood · ~0.7% of outcomesCMU 18–32 COLG neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesCMU 21–28 COLG neighborhood · ~0.9% of outcomesCMU 25–25 COLG neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesCMU 28–21 COLG neighborhood · ~2.8% of outcomesCMU 32–18 COLG neighborhood · ~3.4% of outcomesCMU 35–14 COLG neighborhood · ~3.2% of outcomesCMU 39–11 COLG neighborhood · ~2.4% of outcomesCMU 42–7 COLG neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesCMU 46–4 COLG neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesCMU 14–28 COLG neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesCMU 18–25 COLG neighborhood · ~0.8% of outcomesCMU 21–21 COLG neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesCMU 25–18 COLG neighborhood · ~2.4% of outcomesCMU 28–14 COLG neighborhood · ~2.9% of outcomesCMU 32–11 COLG neighborhood · ~2.8% of outcomesCMU 35–7 COLG neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesCMU 39–4 COLG neighborhood · ~1.2% of outcomesCMU 42–0 COLG neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesCMU 11–25 COLG neighborhood · ~0.2% of outcomesCMU 14–21 COLG neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesCMU 18–18 COLG neighborhood · ~1.2% of outcomesCMU 21–14 COLG neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesCMU 25–11 COLG neighborhood · ~2.3% of outcomesCMU 28–7 COLG neighborhood · ~2.2% of outcomesCMU 32–4 COLG neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesCMU 35–0 COLG neighborhood · ~0.9% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)77706356494235totalCOLG +14PKCMU +14CMU +28CMU +42margin →