CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 2 · Sat Sep 12 · 1:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
HC 7.6%92.4% M-OH
Projected margin
M-OH by 25.0
Projected total
56
80% outcome range
M-OH 3 to M-OH 47
Win probability
M-OH 92.4%
FinalHC 7 · M-OH 45model had +25.0, off by 13.0

Current team profiles

Holy Cross
Miami (OH)

When Holy Cross has the ball

Passing

No comparison
HC offense
—
M-OH defense
#122
EPA comparison
—
0.36
#122
Pass EPA

Rushing

No comparison
HC offense
—
M-OH defense
#41
EPA comparison
—
-0.01
#41
Rush EPA

Drive success

No comparison
HC offense
#90
M-OH defense
#108
Success rates
42%
#90
44%
#108
Success rate
More metrics
0.04
#99
0.15
#106
EPA / play
0.17
#120
1.29
#98
Explosiveness
—
13%
#123
Havoc

When Miami (OH) has the ball

Passing

No comparison
HC defense
—
M-OH offense
#24
EPA comparison
—
0.40
#24
Pass EPA

Rushing

No comparison
HC defense
—
M-OH offense
#81
EPA comparison
—
0.08
#81
Rush EPA

Drive success

No comparison
HC defense
#54
M-OH offense
#101
Success rates
43%
#54
40%
#101
Success rate
More metrics
0.14
#79
0.17
#65
EPA / play
0.23
#101
1.39
#9
Explosiveness
—
15%
#84
Havoc

Current key players

Holy Cross
LBAdam Due
52 tkl · 6.0 TFL · 3.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
79.9
Coverage
79.9
Pressures
14
Pass-rush snaps
38
Missed tackles
3
Forced fumbles
2
82.029/1054
WRMyles Abernathy
10 rec · 138 yds · 0 TD
73.489/1229
OLBradford Blattner
Player detail
Pass blocking
75.8
Run blocking
65.5
Penalties
0
71.790/1368
OLCam Nolan
Player detail
Pass blocking
70.4
Run blocking
66.9
Penalties
2
69.9140/1368
DBAmari Gardner
6 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
67.6
Coverage
69.5
Targets allowed
13
Rec allowed
8
Yards allowed
70
Passer rating allowed
101.4
Missed tackles
0
69.9392/1765
DLVin Ferrara
15 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
71.1
Pressures
7
Pass-rush snaps
140
Missed tackles
2
Forced fumbles
0
69.7338/1549
Miami (OH)
QBDavid McComb
1120 yds · 7 TD · 1 INT
84.249/729
WRScoop Smith
14 rec · 132 yds · 1 TD
83.632/2069
WRMaleek Huggins
14 rec · 262 yds · 1 TD
80.650/2069
RBLazaro Rogers
104 yds · 1 TD · 5.0 YPC
75.5169/1044
LBChristian McKinney
3 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
74.4
Coverage
63.6
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
73.3247/1796
LBGrant Lyons
14 tkl · 3.0 TFL · 2.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
66.0
Coverage
59.8
Pressures
13
Pass-rush snaps
122
Missed tackles
4
Forced fumbles
1
72.6270/1796
Availability reports · 10
  • David McComb · QBout · 2026-10-10

    McComb is nursing an upper body injury, and has been shut down for the remainder of the season.

  • Thomas Gotkowski · QBout · 2026-08-24

    Gotkowski is battling with an undisclosed injury, and he will be idle for the remainder of the season.

  • Eric Karner · TEout · 2026-09-05

    Karner is out of action due to an undisclosed injury, and has been shut down for the remainder of the season.

  • Keith Reynolds · WRout · 2026-09-05

    Reynolds has been sidelined due to an undisclosed injury, and has been shut down for the remainder of the season.

  • Devin Hyatt · WRout · 2026-10-10

    Hyatt is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.

  • Christian Ross · TEQues. · 2026-10-10

    Ross is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will face Akron on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Brayden Boeing · TEQues. · 2026-10-10

    Boeing is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will suit up against Akron on Saturday, October 17th.

  • CJ Castner · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    Castner is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will face Akron on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Noam Butbul · TEQues. · 2026-10-10

    Butbul is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will be active against Akron on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Trey Zvonar · TEQues. · 2026-10-10

    Zvonar is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will suit up against Akron on Saturday, October 17th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

HC
M-OH
vs
Offense
62.2
#99 of 125
QB
84.2
#43 of 138
68.5
#86 of 126
RB
70.0
#119 of 138
67.4
#80 of 126
WR
78.2
#16 of 138
61.5
#80 of 124
TE
65.9
#88 of 138
66.9
#40 of 125
OL
71.8
#37 of 138
Defense
67.3
#100 of 126
DL
69.8
#109 of 138
71.6
#58 of 126
LB
71.1
#96 of 138
66.3
#119 of 126
DB
67.5
#121 of 138
Common opponents