AVRCFB Model
All predictionsWeek 2 · Sat Sep 12 · 5:00 PM
Away
Holy Cross
—
18p
#91Home
Miami (OH)
0-0 · AVR 43.0
37p
HC 8%92% M-OH
Spread
M-OH -19.5
Total
55
Moneyline
HC+1082M-OH-1082
Margin σ
14.1

Key players

Top-rated players, and who is out
Miami (OH)
DBBen Minich
88.719/1427
DBAmariyun Knighten
84.451/1427
LBMalcolm McCain
82.142/878
DBJosh Ringer
81.378/1427
LBLuke Myers
76.492/878
TEChristian Ross
58.965/287

Projected margin

80% between 3 and 36
-14-7-3+3+7+14PKM-OH +19.595% interval: -3.5 to 42.580% interval: 2.8 to 36.3+3+36HC wins 8%M-OH wins 92%

Scorelines

Brighter is likelier
most likely ≈ M-OH 39–18 HCM-OH 35–42 HC neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesM-OH 39–39 HC neighborhood · ~0.8% of outcomesM-OH 42–35 HC neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesM-OH 46–32 HC neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesM-OH 49–28 HC neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesM-OH 53–25 HC neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesM-OH 56–21 HC neighborhood · ~1.2% of outcomesM-OH 60–18 HC neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesM-OH 63–14 HC neighborhood · ~0.2% of outcomesM-OH 32–39 HC neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesM-OH 35–35 HC neighborhood · ~1.1% of outcomesM-OH 39–32 HC neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesM-OH 42–28 HC neighborhood · ~2.6% of outcomesM-OH 46–25 HC neighborhood · ~2.8% of outcomesM-OH 49–21 HC neighborhood · ~2.3% of outcomesM-OH 53–18 HC neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesM-OH 56–14 HC neighborhood · ~0.8% of outcomesM-OH 60–11 HC neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesM-OH 28–35 HC neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesM-OH 32–32 HC neighborhood · ~1.3% of outcomesM-OH 35–28 HC neighborhood · ~2.2% of outcomesM-OH 39–25 HC neighborhood · ~3.1% of outcomesM-OH 42–21 HC neighborhood · ~3.3% of outcomesM-OH 46–18 HC neighborhood · ~2.8% of outcomesM-OH 49–14 HC neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesM-OH 53–11 HC neighborhood · ~0.9% of outcomesM-OH 56–7 HC neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesM-OH 25–32 HC neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesM-OH 28–28 HC neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesM-OH 32–25 HC neighborhood · ~2.4% of outcomesM-OH 35–21 HC neighborhood · ~3.3% of outcomesM-OH 39–18 HC neighborhood · ~3.5% of outcomesM-OH 42–14 HC neighborhood · ~3.0% of outcomesM-OH 46–11 HC neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesM-OH 49–7 HC neighborhood · ~1.0% of outcomesM-OH 53–4 HC neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesM-OH 21–28 HC neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesM-OH 25–25 HC neighborhood · ~1.3% of outcomesM-OH 28–21 HC neighborhood · ~2.3% of outcomesM-OH 32–18 HC neighborhood · ~3.2% of outcomesM-OH 35–14 HC neighborhood · ~3.4% of outcomesM-OH 39–11 HC neighborhood · ~2.9% of outcomesM-OH 42–7 HC neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesM-OH 46–4 HC neighborhood · ~1.0% of outcomesM-OH 49–0 HC neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesM-OH 18–25 HC neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesM-OH 21–21 HC neighborhood · ~1.1% of outcomesM-OH 25–18 HC neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesM-OH 28–14 HC neighborhood · ~2.8% of outcomesM-OH 32–11 HC neighborhood · ~3.0% of outcomesM-OH 35–7 HC neighborhood · ~2.5% of outcomesM-OH 39–4 HC neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesM-OH 42–0 HC neighborhood · ~0.8% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)M-OH 14–21 HC neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesM-OH 18–18 HC neighborhood · ~0.9% of outcomesM-OH 21–14 HC neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesM-OH 25–11 HC neighborhood · ~2.2% of outcomesM-OH 28–7 HC neighborhood · ~2.3% of outcomesM-OH 32–4 HC neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesM-OH 35–0 HC neighborhood · ~1.3% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)77706356494235totalHC +7M-OH +7M-OH +21M-OH +35M-OH +49margin →