AVRCFB Model
All predictionsWeek 2 · Sat Sep 12 · 10:30 PM
Away
Monmouth
—
15p
#84Home
Western Michigan
0-0 · AVR 45.6
38p
MONM 5%95% WMU
Spread
WMU -22.9
Total
53
Moneyline
MONM+1831WMU-1831
Margin σ
14.1

Key players

Top-rated players, and who is out
Western Michigan
SDaeh McCullough
78.2111/1427
CBJarvarius Sims
77.0126/1427
SJoey Pope
68.7269/1427
RBJalen Buckley
62.887/514
LBDomanick Moon
56.5363/878
QBBroc Lowry
53.1120/308

Projected margin

80% between 6 and 40
-14-7-3+3+7+14PKWMU +22.995% interval: -0.1 to 45.980% interval: 6.2 to 39.6+6+40MONM wins 5%WMU wins 95%

Scorelines

Brighter is likelier
most likely ≈ WMU 39–18 MONMWMU 35–42 MONM neighborhood · ~0.2% of outcomesWMU 39–39 MONM neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesWMU 42–35 MONM neighborhood · ~1.0% of outcomesWMU 46–32 MONM neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesWMU 49–28 MONM neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesWMU 53–25 MONM neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesWMU 56–21 MONM neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesWMU 60–18 MONM neighborhood · ~0.8% of outcomesWMU 63–14 MONM neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesWMU 32–39 MONM neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesWMU 35–35 MONM neighborhood · ~0.7% of outcomesWMU 39–32 MONM neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesWMU 42–28 MONM neighborhood · ~2.2% of outcomesWMU 46–25 MONM neighborhood · ~2.6% of outcomesWMU 49–21 MONM neighborhood · ~2.5% of outcomesWMU 53–18 MONM neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesWMU 56–14 MONM neighborhood · ~1.1% of outcomesWMU 60–11 MONM neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesWMU 28–35 MONM neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesWMU 32–32 MONM neighborhood · ~0.9% of outcomesWMU 35–28 MONM neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesWMU 39–25 MONM neighborhood · ~2.7% of outcomesWMU 42–21 MONM neighborhood · ~3.2% of outcomesWMU 46–18 MONM neighborhood · ~3.0% of outcomesWMU 49–14 MONM neighborhood · ~2.2% of outcomesWMU 53–11 MONM neighborhood · ~1.3% of outcomesWMU 56–7 MONM neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesWMU 25–32 MONM neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesWMU 28–28 MONM neighborhood · ~1.0% of outcomesWMU 32–25 MONM neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesWMU 35–21 MONM neighborhood · ~2.9% of outcomesWMU 39–18 MONM neighborhood · ~3.5% of outcomesWMU 42–14 MONM neighborhood · ~3.3% of outcomesWMU 46–11 MONM neighborhood · ~2.5% of outcomesWMU 49–7 MONM neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesWMU 53–4 MONM neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesWMU 21–28 MONM neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesWMU 25–25 MONM neighborhood · ~0.9% of outcomesWMU 28–21 MONM neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesWMU 32–18 MONM neighborhood · ~2.9% of outcomesWMU 35–14 MONM neighborhood · ~3.5% of outcomesWMU 39–11 MONM neighborhood · ~3.3% of outcomesWMU 42–7 MONM neighborhood · ~2.5% of outcomesWMU 46–4 MONM neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesWMU 49–0 MONM neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesWMU 18–25 MONM neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesWMU 21–21 MONM neighborhood · ~0.8% of outcomesWMU 25–18 MONM neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesWMU 28–14 MONM neighborhood · ~2.6% of outcomesWMU 32–11 MONM neighborhood · ~3.1% of outcomesWMU 35–7 MONM neighborhood · ~3.0% of outcomesWMU 39–4 MONM neighborhood · ~2.2% of outcomesWMU 42–0 MONM neighborhood · ~1.3% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)WMU 14–21 MONM neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesWMU 18–18 MONM neighborhood · ~0.7% of outcomesWMU 21–14 MONM neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesWMU 25–11 MONM neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesWMU 28–7 MONM neighborhood · ~2.5% of outcomesWMU 32–4 MONM neighborhood · ~2.4% of outcomesWMU 35–0 MONM neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)77706356494235totalMONM +7WMU +7WMU +21WMU +35WMU +49margin →