CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 2 · Sat Sep 12 · 6:30 PM ET
Forecast win probability
MONM 0.4%99.6% WMU
Projected margin
WMU by 38.3
Projected total
52
80% outcome range
WMU 17 to WMU 62
Win probability
WMU 99.6%
FinalMONM 14 · WMU 49model had +38.3, off by 3.3

Current team profiles

Monmouth
Western Michigan

When Monmouth has the ball

Passing

No comparison
MONM offense
—
WMU defense
#65
EPA comparison
—
0.12
#65
Pass EPA

Rushing

No comparison
MONM offense
—
WMU defense
#47
EPA comparison
—
0.00
#47
Rush EPA

Drive success

No comparison
MONM offense
#16
WMU defense
#105
Success rates
48%
#16
44%
#105
Success rate
More metrics
0.24
#14
0.06
#64
EPA / play
0.21
#56
1.08
#16
Explosiveness
—
13%
#109
Havoc

When Western Michigan has the ball

Passing

No comparison
MONM defense
—
WMU offense
#92
EPA comparison
—
0.13
#92
Pass EPA

Rushing

No comparison
MONM defense
—
WMU offense
#51
EPA comparison
—
0.15
#51
Rush EPA

Drive success

No comparison
MONM defense
#37
WMU offense
#85
Success rates
42%
#37
42%
#85
Success rate
More metrics
0.12
#67
0.14
#73
EPA / play
0.22
#82
1.15
#108
Explosiveness
—
13%
#42
Havoc

Current key players

Monmouth
QBFrankie Weaver
1420 yds · 11 TD · 4 INT
70.899/370
DBJaeden Jones
58 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
89.1
Coverage
72.5
Targets allowed
10
Rec allowed
5
Yards allowed
26
Passer rating allowed
50.0
Missed tackles
3
82.127/1765
DLJJ Lewis
14 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 2.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
76.8
Pressures
8
Pass-rush snaps
115
Missed tackles
4
Forced fumbles
0
79.841/1549
DBMir Haskett
— tkl · — PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
81.5
Coverage
71.6
Targets allowed
12
Rec allowed
6
Yards allowed
69
Passer rating allowed
95.5
Missed tackles
2
74.8155/1765
WRKendall Dorsey
— rec · — yds · — TD
74.481/1229
DLJahide Lesaine Jr.
8 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 2.5 sk
Player detail
Run defense
67.2
Pressures
15
Pass-rush snaps
92
Missed tackles
2
Forced fumbles
0
72.0220/1549
Western Michigan
QBTrey Petty
54 yds · 1 TD · 0 INT
90.815/729
LBJustyce Betts
35 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
87.8
Coverage
78.1
Pressures
2
Pass-rush snaps
8
Missed tackles
2
Forced fumbles
0
88.121/1796
WRAveion Chenault
18 rec · 272 yds · 1 TD
82.240/2069
LBDillon Moore
28 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 1.5 sk
Player detail
Run defense
85.1
Coverage
68.3
Pressures
4
Pass-rush snaps
18
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
2
80.775/1796
RBJalen Buckley
287 yds · 5 TD · 4.6 YPC
77.6122/1044
TENate Levicki
8 rec · 112 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
63.6
Run blocking
68.3
Penalties
0
75.545/1017
Availability reports · 1
  • Michael Dersa · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Dersa is nursing an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Chippewas on Saturday, October 17th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

MONM
WMU
vs
Offense
70.8
#71 of 125
QB
90.8
#15 of 138
62.0
#119 of 126
RB
68.5
#126 of 138
66.7
#89 of 126
WR
69.5
#88 of 138
60.2
#91 of 124
TE
75.5
#36 of 138
61.9
#99 of 125
OL
60.3
#131 of 138
Defense
73.3
#38 of 126
DL
77.6
#28 of 138
64.4
#118 of 126
LB
78.8
#28 of 138
68.6
#97 of 126
DB
68.9
#112 of 138
Common opponents