Passing
No comparison
- STO offense
- —
- MASS defense
- #52
EPA comparison
—
0.09
#52
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 3 · Sat Sep 19 · 3:30 PM ET
Forecast win probability
STO 5.1%94.9% MASS
- Projected margin
- MASS by 28.5
- Projected total
- 57
- 80% outcome range
- MASS 5 to MASS 50
- Win probability
- MASS 94.9%
FinalSTO 14 · MASS 36model had +28.5, off by 6.5
Current team profiles
Stonehill
MassachusettsWhen Stonehill has the ball
Rushing
No comparison
- STO offense
- —
- MASS defense
- #27
EPA comparison
—
-0.07
#27
Rush EPA
Drive success
No comparison
- STO offense
- #58
- MASS defense
- #57
Success rates
44%
#58
39%
#57
Success rate
More metrics
0.11
#63
-0.03
#31
EPA / play
0.21
#61
1.10
#21
Explosiveness
—
15%
#89
Havoc
When Massachusetts has the ball
Passing
No comparison
- STO defense
- —
- MASS offense
- #36
EPA comparison
—
0.35
#36
Pass EPA
Rushing
No comparison
- STO defense
- —
- MASS offense
- #61
EPA comparison
—
0.13
#61
Rush EPA
Drive success
No comparison
- STO defense
- #38
- MASS offense
- #66
Success rates
42%
#38
44%
#66
Success rate
More metrics
0.07
#43
0.20
#45
EPA / play
0.20
#52
1.24
#68
Explosiveness
—
12%
#27
Havoc
Current key players
StonehillQBJack O'Connell
960 yds · 8 TD · 1 INT
70.0104/370
WRKhalil Wilson
6 rec · 98 yds · 0 TD
72.6100/1229
DBEmory Sirman
— tkl · — PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 59.5
- Coverage
- 65.9
- Targets allowed
- 0
- Rec allowed
- 0
- Yards allowed
- 0
- Missed tackles
- 0
71.1331/1765
LBCaden Henritzy
33 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 72.2
- Coverage
- 70.4
- Pressures
- 3
- Pass-rush snaps
- 24
- Missed tackles
- 3
- Forced fumbles
- 0
70.9223/1054
DBNa'Cire Christmas
2 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 66.0
- Coverage
- 68.7
- Targets allowed
- 3
- Rec allowed
- 2
- Yards allowed
- 12
- Passer rating allowed
- 74.3
- Missed tackles
- 0
68.8444/1765
LBVincent Busa
5 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 74.9
- Coverage
- 55.5
- Pressures
- 2
- Pass-rush snaps
- 2
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
68.4313/1054
MassachusettsQBWilliam Watson III
820 yds · 7 TD · 2 INT
85.143/729
LBTimmy Hinspeter
30 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 90.0
- Coverage
- 79.6
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 15
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
86.826/1796
RBCurtis Kimmons IV
262 yds · 3 TD · 5.8 YPC
82.156/1044
WRJabari Lewis
10 rec · 152 yds · 0 TD
78.766/2069
SJahmad Harmon
10 tkl · 1 PD · 3 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 82.3
- Coverage
- 72.0
- Targets allowed
- 15
- Rec allowed
- 9
- Yards allowed
- 71
- Passer rating allowed
- 32.2
- Missed tackles
- 1
76.5144/2969
LBDinos Drossos
5 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 74.4
- Coverage
- 64.4
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
74.2209/1796
Availability reports · 3
- J. Washington · RBout · 2026-10-10
Washington has been sidelined due to an undisclosed injury, and has been shut down for the remainder of the season.
- Joseph Griffin Jr. · WRQues. · 2026-10-10
Griffin is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Buffalo on Saturday, October 17th.
- Dallas Elliott · WRQues. · 2026-10-10
Elliott is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it remain to seen if he will Buffalo on Saturday, October 17th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
STOStonehill
MASSMassachusetts
vs
Offense
70.0
#72 of 125
QB
Quarterback
85.1
#39 of 138
64.0
#115 of 126
RB
Running backs
81.3
#29 of 138
67.9
#75 of 126
WR
Receivers
73.6
#45 of 138
67.8
#45 of 124
TE
Tight ends
66.0
#86 of 138
61.4
#105 of 125
OL
Offensive line
63.7
#107 of 138
Defense
65.1
#118 of 126
DL
Defensive line
77.1
#34 of 138
68.9
#91 of 126
LB
Linebackers
77.4
#41 of 138
67.4
#114 of 126
DB
Secondary
72.8
#59 of 138