AVRCFB Model
All predictionsWeek 3 · Sat Sep 19 · 7:30 PM
Away
Stonehill
—
29p
#138Home
Massachusetts
0-0 · AVR 11.0
25p
STO 60%40% MASS
Spread
STO -3.9
Total
55
Moneyline
STO-150MASS+150
Margin σ
14.1

Key players

Top-rated players, and who is out
Massachusetts
SDD Snyder
61.2452/1427
CBIsaiah Reed
59.2503/1427
LBTimmy Hinspeter
56.4366/878
LBTyler Martin
53.5415/878
RBJustin Williams-Thomas
50.1283/514
QBWilliam Watson III
47.3192/308

Projected margin

80% between -21 and 13
-14-7-3+3+7+14PKSTO +3.995% interval: -26.9 to 19.180% interval: -20.6 to 12.9-21+13STO wins 60%MASS wins 40%

Scorelines

Brighter is likelier
most likely ≈ STO 32–25 MASSMASS 21–56 STO neighborhood · ~0.2% of outcomesMASS 25–53 STO neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesMASS 28–49 STO neighborhood · ~1.0% of outcomesMASS 32–46 STO neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesMASS 35–42 STO neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesMASS 39–39 STO neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesMASS 42–35 STO neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesMASS 46–32 STO neighborhood · ~0.9% of outcomesMASS 49–28 STO neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesMASS 18–53 STO neighborhood · ~0.2% of outcomesMASS 21–49 STO neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesMASS 25–46 STO neighborhood · ~1.3% of outcomesMASS 28–42 STO neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesMASS 32–39 STO neighborhood · ~2.7% of outcomesMASS 35–35 STO neighborhood · ~2.7% of outcomesMASS 39–32 STO neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesMASS 42–28 STO neighborhood · ~1.2% of outcomesMASS 46–25 STO neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesMASS 14–49 STO neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesMASS 18–46 STO neighborhood · ~0.8% of outcomesMASS 21–42 STO neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesMASS 25–39 STO neighborhood · ~2.5% of outcomesMASS 28–35 STO neighborhood · ~3.2% of outcomesMASS 32–32 STO neighborhood · ~3.2% of outcomesMASS 35–28 STO neighborhood · ~2.4% of outcomesMASS 39–25 STO neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesMASS 42–21 STO neighborhood · ~0.7% of outcomesMASS 11–46 STO neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesMASS 14–42 STO neighborhood · ~0.8% of outcomesMASS 18–39 STO neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesMASS 21–35 STO neighborhood · ~2.7% of outcomesMASS 25–32 STO neighborhood · ~3.4% of outcomesMASS 28–28 STO neighborhood · ~3.4% of outcomesMASS 32–25 STO neighborhood · ~2.6% of outcomesMASS 35–21 STO neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesMASS 39–18 STO neighborhood · ~0.7% of outcomesMASS 7–42 STO neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesMASS 11–39 STO neighborhood · ~0.8% of outcomesMASS 14–35 STO neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesMASS 18–32 STO neighborhood · ~2.6% of outcomesMASS 21–28 STO neighborhood · ~3.3% of outcomesMASS 25–25 STO neighborhood · ~3.3% of outcomesMASS 28–21 STO neighborhood · ~2.5% of outcomesMASS 32–18 STO neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesMASS 35–14 STO neighborhood · ~0.7% of outcomesMASS 4–39 STO neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesMASS 7–35 STO neighborhood · ~0.7% of outcomesMASS 11–32 STO neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesMASS 14–28 STO neighborhood · ~2.3% of outcomesMASS 18–25 STO neighborhood · ~2.9% of outcomesMASS 21–21 STO neighborhood · ~2.9% of outcomesMASS 25–18 STO neighborhood · ~2.2% of outcomesMASS 28–14 STO neighborhood · ~1.3% of outcomesMASS 32–11 STO neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesMASS 0–35 STO neighborhood · ~0.2% of outcomesMASS 4–32 STO neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesMASS 7–28 STO neighborhood · ~1.1% of outcomesMASS 11–25 STO neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesMASS 14–21 STO neighborhood · ~2.3% of outcomesMASS 18–18 STO neighborhood · ~2.3% of outcomesMASS 21–14 STO neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesMASS 25–11 STO neighborhood · ~1.0% of outcomesMASS 28–7 STO neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomes77706356494235totalSTO +35STO +21STO +7MASS +7MASS +21margin →