Passing
BALL offense
Higher-ranked profile
- BALL offense
- #92
- KENT defense
- #113
EPA comparison
0.13
#92
0.32
#113
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 4 · Sat Sep 26 · 12:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
BALL 47.5%52.5% KENT
- Projected margin
- KENT by 1.4
- Projected total
- 55
- 80% outcome range
- BALL 19 to KENT 21
- Win probability
- KENT 52.5%
FinalBALL 13 · KENT 26model had +1.4, off by 11.6
Current team profiles
Ball State
Kent StateWhen Ball State has the ball
Rushing
KENT defense
Higher-ranked profile
- BALL offense
- #100
- KENT defense
- #93
EPA comparison
0.03
#100
0.10
#93
Rush EPA
Drive success
Same rank
- BALL offense
- #128
- KENT defense
- #128
Success rates
36%
#128
47%
#128
Success rate
More metrics
0.05
#107
0.18
#116
EPA / play
1.38
#13
1.20
#55
Explosiveness
18%
#125
14%
#101
Havoc
When Kent State has the ball
Passing
KENT offense
Higher-ranked profile
- BALL defense
- #132
- KENT offense
- #114
EPA comparison
0.45
#132
0.07
#114
Pass EPA
Rushing
KENT offense
Higher-ranked profile
- BALL defense
- #133
- KENT offense
- #126
EPA comparison
0.25
#133
-0.08
#126
Rush EPA
Drive success
BALL defense
Higher-ranked profile
- BALL defense
- #114
- KENT offense
- #134
Success rates
45%
#114
33%
#134
Success rate
More metrics
0.32
#136
-0.05
#130
EPA / play
1.44
#135
1.29
#34
Explosiveness
13%
#113
18%
#122
Havoc
Current key players
Ball StateQBKeldric Luster
662 yds · 5 TD · 3 INT
67.4185/729
RBElijah Jackson
25 yds · 0 TD · 6.2 YPC
80.668/1044
DBGabe Aramboles
5 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 70.6
- Coverage
- 71.7
- Targets allowed
- 1
- Rec allowed
- 1
- Yards allowed
- 6
- Passer rating allowed
- 91.7
- Missed tackles
- 0
74.2220/2969
LBKaleb Stewart
23 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0.5 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 80.9
- Coverage
- 60.9
- Pressures
- 4
- Pass-rush snaps
- 7
- Missed tackles
- 2
- Forced fumbles
- 0
72.9260/1796
DBQuentavius Scandrett
25 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 66.2
- Coverage
- 74.3
- Targets allowed
- 9
- Rec allowed
- 9
- Yards allowed
- 60
- Passer rating allowed
- 94.4
- Missed tackles
- 3
70.9387/2969
LBLayton Starks
12 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 0.5 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 58.6
- Coverage
- 66.6
- Pressures
- 8
- Pass-rush snaps
- 66
- Missed tackles
- 2
- Forced fumbles
- 0
68.2443/1796
Availability reports · 6
- Isaiah Thacker · WRout · 2026-10-10
Thacker is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and there is no timetable for return.
- Derion Talbert · WRout · 2026-09-26
Talbert is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and team officials have yet to provide an exact return date.
- Cole Coonrod · TEout · 2026-10-10
Coonrod is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.
- Jalen Bonds · RBQues. · 2026-10-10
Bonds is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Bowling Green on Saturday, October 17th.
- Mason Riggins · TEQues. · 2026-10-10
Riggins is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it remain to seen if he will play against the Bowling Green on Saturday, October 17th.
- Char'Rese Breveard · RBQues. · 2026-10-10
Breveard is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against Bowling Green on Saturday, October 17th.
Kent StateQBDru DeShields
752 yds · 3 TD · 5 INT
69.7156/729
DBDavion Pritchard
7 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 40.7
- Coverage
- 81.1
- Targets allowed
- 8
- Rec allowed
- 5
- Yards allowed
- 26
- Passer rating allowed
- 67.7
- Missed tackles
- 0
75.4181/2969
WRJay Jay Etheridge
1 rec · 16 yds · 0 TD
73.5157/2069
LBSemaj Bridgeman
4 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 60.1
- Coverage
- 69.2
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 49
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 1
71.7296/1796
WRDa'Realyst Clark
20 rec · 242 yds · 1 TD
71.6210/2069
LBHayden Dawahare
18 tkl · 4.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 65.0
- Coverage
- 75.3
- Pressures
- 3
- Pass-rush snaps
- 19
- Missed tackles
- 4
- Forced fumbles
- 1
71.2323/1796
Availability reports · 4
- Maurice Stephens · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Stephens is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Bulls on Saturday, October 17th.
- Dylan Armentrout · RBQues. · 2026-10-11
Armentrout is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Bulls on Saturday, October 17th.
- Eli Tucker · KQues. · 2026-10-11
Tucker is fighting off an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Bulls on Saturday, October 17th.
- William Bierfeldt · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Bierfeldt is fighting off an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Bulls on Saturday, October 17th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
BALLBall State
KENTKent State
vs
Offense
67.4
#112 of 138
QB
Quarterback
69.7
#101 of 138
80.2
#35 of 138
RB
Running backs
63.5
#137 of 138
64.8
#130 of 138
WR
Receivers
69.8
#83 of 138
58.7
#130 of 138
TE
Tight ends
60.2
#119 of 138
66.4
#86 of 138
OL
Offensive line
58.4
#138 of 138
Defense
68.0
#121 of 138
DL
Defensive line
67.4
#130 of 138
68.5
#116 of 138
LB
Linebackers
70.4
#102 of 138
67.8
#118 of 138
DB
Secondary
65.1
#134 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Ball State
opponent
Kent State
Aaway-10.2
OHIOOhio#107-3.0Hhome
Hhome+6.8
SACSacramento State#187+2.6Aaway
Aaway-53.0
OSUOhio State#2-56.0Aaway
Aaway-5.4
BGSUBowling Green#144-4.2Aaway