CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 4 · Sat Sep 26 · 3:30 PM ET
Forecast win probability
STO 1.3%98.7% OHIO
Projected margin
OHIO by 34.9
Projected total
60
80% outcome range
OHIO 14 to OHIO 56
Win probability
OHIO 98.7%
FinalSTO 7 · OHIO 35model had +34.9, off by 6.9

Current team profiles

Stonehill
Ohio

When Stonehill has the ball

Passing

No comparison
STO offense
—
OHIO defense
#116
EPA comparison
—
0.33
#116
Pass EPA

Rushing

No comparison
STO offense
—
OHIO defense
#88
EPA comparison
—
0.08
#88
Rush EPA

Drive success

No comparison
STO offense
#58
OHIO defense
#88
Success rates
44%
#58
42%
#88
Success rate
More metrics
0.11
#63
0.15
#106
EPA / play
0.21
#61
1.27
#93
Explosiveness
—
16%
#70
Havoc

When Ohio has the ball

Passing

No comparison
STO defense
—
OHIO offense
#92
EPA comparison
—
0.13
#92
Pass EPA

Rushing

No comparison
STO defense
—
OHIO offense
#45
EPA comparison
—
0.16
#45
Rush EPA

Drive success

No comparison
STO defense
#38
OHIO offense
#46
Success rates
42%
#38
46%
#46
Success rate
More metrics
0.07
#43
0.15
#69
EPA / play
0.20
#52
1.11
#124
Explosiveness
—
14%
#56
Havoc

Current key players

Stonehill
QBJack O'Connell
960 yds · 8 TD · 1 INT
70.0104/370
WRKhalil Wilson
6 rec · 98 yds · 0 TD
72.6100/1229
DBEmory Sirman
— tkl · — PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
59.5
Coverage
65.9
Targets allowed
0
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Missed tackles
0
71.1331/1765
LBCaden Henritzy
33 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
72.2
Coverage
70.4
Pressures
3
Pass-rush snaps
24
Missed tackles
3
Forced fumbles
0
70.9223/1054
DBNa'Cire Christmas
2 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
66.0
Coverage
68.7
Targets allowed
3
Rec allowed
2
Yards allowed
12
Passer rating allowed
74.3
Missed tackles
0
68.8444/1765
LBVincent Busa
5 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
74.9
Coverage
55.5
Pressures
2
Pass-rush snaps
2
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
68.4313/1054
Ohio
QBLevi Davis
171 yds · 2 TD · 0 INT
81.961/729
LBAlex Brown
1 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
75.9
Coverage
60.0
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
84.051/1796
LBMichael Molnar
45 tkl · 5.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
89.3
Coverage
73.0
Pressures
5
Pass-rush snaps
31
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
1
82.858/1796
WRRiley Neer
23 rec · 337 yds · 4 TD
76.698/2069
WRZach Hackleman
1 rec · 15 yds · 0 TD
74.0149/2069
DBDarren James-Hamilton
15 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
44.9
Coverage
82.9
Targets allowed
5
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
39.6
Missed tackles
8
72.5306/2969
Availability reports · 2
  • Rashad Perry · WRout · 2026-10-10

    Perry is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and is expected to miss the remainder of the season.

  • Hype Grand · QBQues. · 2026-10-10

    Grand is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against the Hornets on Saturday, October 17th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

STO
OHIO
vs
Offense
70.0
#72 of 125
QB
81.9
#52 of 138
64.0
#115 of 126
RB
67.8
#130 of 138
67.9
#75 of 126
WR
70.3
#77 of 138
67.8
#45 of 124
TE
60.0
#122 of 138
61.4
#105 of 125
OL
67.7
#69 of 138
Defense
65.1
#118 of 126
DL
70.5
#98 of 138
68.9
#91 of 126
LB
80.7
#17 of 138
67.4
#114 of 126
DB
66.7
#130 of 138
Common opponents