AVRCFB Model
All predictionsWeek 4 · Sat Sep 26 · 7:30 PM
Away
Stonehill
—
19p
#101Home
Ohio
0-0 · AVR 39.2
38p
STO 8%92% OHIO
Spread
OHIO -19.7
Total
57
Moneyline
STO+1152OHIO-1152
Margin σ
14.1

Key players

Top-rated players, and who is out
Ohio
RBDuncan Brune
63.382/514
SDJ Morton
62.9408/1427
SDJ Walker
61.2453/1427
CBKendall Bannister
59.8489/1427
LBMichael Molnar
56.6361/878
RBVictor Rosa
56.0155/514

Projected margin

80% between 3 and 36
-14-7-3+3+7+14PKOHIO +19.795% interval: -3.3 to 42.680% interval: 2.9 to 36.4+3+36STO wins 8%OHIO wins 92%

Scorelines

Brighter is likelier
most likely ≈ OHIO 39–18 STOOHIO 35–42 STO neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesOHIO 39–39 STO neighborhood · ~0.9% of outcomesOHIO 42–35 STO neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesOHIO 46–32 STO neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesOHIO 49–28 STO neighborhood · ~2.3% of outcomesOHIO 53–25 STO neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesOHIO 56–21 STO neighborhood · ~1.3% of outcomesOHIO 60–18 STO neighborhood · ~0.7% of outcomesOHIO 63–14 STO neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesOHIO 32–39 STO neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesOHIO 35–35 STO neighborhood · ~1.1% of outcomesOHIO 39–32 STO neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesOHIO 42–28 STO neighborhood · ~2.7% of outcomesOHIO 46–25 STO neighborhood · ~2.9% of outcomesOHIO 49–21 STO neighborhood · ~2.5% of outcomesOHIO 53–18 STO neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesOHIO 56–14 STO neighborhood · ~0.8% of outcomesOHIO 60–11 STO neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesOHIO 28–35 STO neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesOHIO 32–32 STO neighborhood · ~1.3% of outcomesOHIO 35–28 STO neighborhood · ~2.3% of outcomesOHIO 39–25 STO neighborhood · ~3.1% of outcomesOHIO 42–21 STO neighborhood · ~3.4% of outcomesOHIO 46–18 STO neighborhood · ~2.9% of outcomesOHIO 49–14 STO neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesOHIO 53–11 STO neighborhood · ~1.0% of outcomesOHIO 56–7 STO neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesOHIO 25–32 STO neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesOHIO 28–28 STO neighborhood · ~1.3% of outcomesOHIO 32–25 STO neighborhood · ~2.4% of outcomesOHIO 35–21 STO neighborhood · ~3.3% of outcomesOHIO 39–18 STO neighborhood · ~3.5% of outcomesOHIO 42–14 STO neighborhood · ~3.0% of outcomesOHIO 46–11 STO neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesOHIO 49–7 STO neighborhood · ~1.0% of outcomesOHIO 53–4 STO neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesOHIO 21–28 STO neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesOHIO 25–25 STO neighborhood · ~1.3% of outcomesOHIO 28–21 STO neighborhood · ~2.2% of outcomesOHIO 32–18 STO neighborhood · ~3.1% of outcomesOHIO 35–14 STO neighborhood · ~3.3% of outcomesOHIO 39–11 STO neighborhood · ~2.8% of outcomesOHIO 42–7 STO neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesOHIO 46–4 STO neighborhood · ~1.0% of outcomesOHIO 49–0 STO neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesOHIO 18–25 STO neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesOHIO 21–21 STO neighborhood · ~1.1% of outcomesOHIO 25–18 STO neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesOHIO 28–14 STO neighborhood · ~2.6% of outcomesOHIO 32–11 STO neighborhood · ~2.8% of outcomesOHIO 35–7 STO neighborhood · ~2.4% of outcomesOHIO 39–4 STO neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesOHIO 42–0 STO neighborhood · ~0.8% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)OHIO 14–21 STO neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesOHIO 18–18 STO neighborhood · ~0.8% of outcomesOHIO 21–14 STO neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesOHIO 25–11 STO neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesOHIO 28–7 STO neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesOHIO 32–4 STO neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesOHIO 35–0 STO neighborhood · ~1.2% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)77706356494235totalSTO +7OHIO +7OHIO +21OHIO +35OHIO +49margin →