CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 5 · Sat Oct 3 · 3:30 PM ET
Forecast win probability
AKR 27.2%72.8% CMU
Projected margin
CMU by 8.8
Projected total
46
80% outcome range
AKR 10 to CMU 30
Win probability
CMU 72.8%
FinalAKR 17 · CMU 41model had +8.8, off by 15.2

Current team profiles

Akron
Central Michigan

When Akron has the ball

Passing

CMU defense
Higher-ranked profile
AKR offense
#101
CMU defense
#71
EPA comparison
0.11
#101
0.15
#71
Pass EPA

Rushing

AKR offense
Higher-ranked profile
AKR offense
#45
CMU defense
#107
EPA comparison
0.16
#45
0.14
#107
Rush EPA

Drive success

AKR offense
Higher-ranked profile
AKR offense
#77
CMU defense
#126
Success rates
43%
#77
47%
#126
Success rate
More metrics
0.09
#92
0.15
#108
EPA / play
1.08
#131
1.11
#24
Explosiveness
19%
#129
15%
#90
Havoc

When Central Michigan has the ball

Passing

Same rank
AKR defense
#130
CMU offense
#130
EPA comparison
0.44
#130
-0.06
#130
Pass EPA

Rushing

CMU offense
Higher-ranked profile
AKR defense
#112
CMU offense
#45
EPA comparison
0.15
#112
0.16
#45
Rush EPA

Drive success

AKR defense
Higher-ranked profile
AKR defense
#112
CMU offense
#119
Success rates
45%
#112
38%
#119
Success rate
More metrics
0.25
#132
0.06
#103
EPA / play
1.31
#108
1.24
#66
Explosiveness
13%
#117
14%
#50
Havoc

Current key players

Akron
QBCibastian Broughton
380 yds · 4 TD · 0 INT
69.0172/729
LBDonelius Johnson
41 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
83.1
Coverage
74.6
Pressures
0
Pass-rush snaps
10
Missed tackles
2
Forced fumbles
0
81.265/1796
DBCatrell White
7 tkl · 3 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
58.4
Coverage
79.9
Targets allowed
10
Rec allowed
4
Yards allowed
38
Passer rating allowed
84.6
Missed tackles
0
77.5107/2969
CBDawayne Galloway Jr.
4 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
68.7
Coverage
75.8
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
39.6
Missed tackles
0
75.8164/2969
DBKhory Moss
2 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
73.3
Coverage
70.9
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
1
Yards allowed
2
Passer rating allowed
79.2
Missed tackles
0
74.6205/2969
RBJordan Gant
289 yds · 3 TD · 4.7 YPC
72.6237/1044
Availability reports · 6
  • Paul Davis · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Davis is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will be available against RedHawks on Saturday, October

  • Cibastian Broughton · QBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Gee is dealing with a knee injury, and it is unclear if he will play against RedHawks on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Luke Sivon · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Sivon is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will be active against RedHawks on Saturday, October 17th

  • Cameron Monteiro · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Monteiro is nursing an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against RedHawks on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Chris Gee · RBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Gee is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against RedHawks on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Jaborree Riggins · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Riggins is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will be available against RedHawks on Saturday, Octobe

Central Michigan
QBAngel Flores
201 yds · 1 TD · 2 INT
76.4101/729
DBCoen Ali
10 tkl · 0 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
81.2
Coverage
88.0
Targets allowed
5
Rec allowed
4
Yards allowed
23
Passer rating allowed
46.3
Missed tackles
2
88.114/2969
DBJustin Taylor
27 tkl · 4 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
Run defense
72.6
Coverage
89.0
Targets allowed
16
Rec allowed
7
Yards allowed
27
Passer rating allowed
11.5
Missed tackles
2
84.826/2969
RBJayden Clerveaux
219 yds · 1 TD · 5.9 YPC
77.6123/1044
DBKameran Hayward
4 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
64.2
Coverage
77.3
Targets allowed
6
Rec allowed
3
Yards allowed
33
Passer rating allowed
27.1
Missed tackles
0
75.6172/2969
TEGavin Spillers
1 rec · 8 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
51.1
Run blocking
70.6
Penalties
0
71.772/1017
Availability reports · 2
  • J. Allen · TEout · 2026-09-15

    VanWetzinga is sidelined with a knee injury, and he will miss an extended period.

  • Rusty VanWetzinga IV · FBQues. · 2026-10-10

    VanWetzinga is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Broncos on Saturday, October 17

Position units

Position-unit comparison

AKR
CMU
vs
Offense
69.0
#106 of 138
QB
76.4
#76 of 138
70.3
#117 of 138
RB
73.2
#94 of 138
69.5
#87 of 138
WR
64.3
#133 of 138
58.8
#129 of 138
TE
71.7
#53 of 138
68.2
#66 of 138
OL
65.5
#92 of 138
Defense
70.6
#97 of 138
DL
70.5
#99 of 138
70.2
#105 of 138
LB
67.5
#123 of 138
72.2
#68 of 138
DB
78.4
#8 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Akron
opponent
Central Michigan
A-12.3
M-OH#115
+0.9H
H-5.7
OHIO#107
-17.0A
H-7.9
WMU#79
-0.1H
H-2.0
EMU#131
+2.7N
H-1.0
BUF#149
+1.6A