CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 5 · Sat Oct 3 · 3:30 PM ET
Forecast win probability
EMU 29.5%70.5% MASS
Projected margin
MASS by 8.6
Projected total
49
80% outcome range
EMU 12 to MASS 31
Win probability
MASS 70.5%
FinalEMU 38 · MASS 14model had +8.6, off by 32.6

Current team profiles

Eastern Michigan
Massachusetts

When Eastern Michigan has the ball

Passing

MASS defense
Higher-ranked profile
EMU offense
#84
MASS defense
#52
EPA comparison
0.16
#84
0.09
#52
Pass EPA

Rushing

MASS defense
Higher-ranked profile
EMU offense
#81
MASS defense
#27
EPA comparison
0.08
#81
-0.07
#27
Rush EPA

Drive success

MASS defense
Higher-ranked profile
EMU offense
#98
MASS defense
#57
Success rates
41%
#98
39%
#57
Success rate
More metrics
0.06
#102
-0.03
#31
EPA / play
1.13
#119
1.10
#21
Explosiveness
15%
#77
15%
#89
Havoc

When Massachusetts has the ball

Passing

MASS offense
Higher-ranked profile
EMU defense
#103
MASS offense
#36
EPA comparison
0.27
#103
0.35
#36
Pass EPA

Rushing

MASS offense
Higher-ranked profile
EMU defense
#68
MASS offense
#61
EPA comparison
0.04
#68
0.13
#61
Rush EPA

Drive success

MASS offense
Higher-ranked profile
EMU defense
#91
MASS offense
#66
Success rates
42%
#91
44%
#66
Success rate
More metrics
0.13
#100
0.20
#45
EPA / play
1.23
#75
1.24
#68
Explosiveness
18%
#39
12%
#27
Havoc

Current key players

Eastern Michigan
QBNoah Kim
1187 yds · 8 TD · 3 INT
59.7298/729
DBMarty Collins
1 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
94.4
Coverage
64.2
Targets allowed
0
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Missed tackles
0
89.512/2969
DBDavion Williams
16 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
89.4
Coverage
81.0
Targets allowed
5
Rec allowed
3
Yards allowed
43
Passer rating allowed
127.5
Missed tackles
0
83.235/2969
RBBraydon Bennett
195 yds · 2 TD · 4.4 YPC
78.1106/1044
DBCaleb Dobbs
14 tkl · 6 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
Run defense
76.4
Coverage
70.4
Targets allowed
27
Rec allowed
14
Yards allowed
185
Passer rating allowed
80.0
Missed tackles
2
71.9335/2969
WRKozy Isaac
5 rec · 86 yds · 2 TD
71.1226/2069
Availability reports · 11
  • Nick Devereaux · WRout · 2026-09-21

    Devereaux is laid up with an undisclosed injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.

  • Adon Turner · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Turner is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will suit up against Rockets on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Bacori Minner · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Minner is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it is up in the air if he will take the field against Rockets on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Brady Shelton · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Shelton is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it is up in the air if he will take the field against Rockets on Saturday, October 17th.

  • CJ Miller · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Miller is hampered by an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will be active against Rockets on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Jackson Holt · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Holt is managing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Rockets on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Nate Lyman · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Lyman is hampered by an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will be active against Rockets on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Nazir Jones-Davis · RBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Jones-Davis is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will suit up against Rockets on Saturday, October 1

  • Nick Kinsey · QBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Kinsey is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will suit up against Rockets on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Payton Kokaly · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Kokaly is managing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Rockets on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Shawn Fishwick · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Fishwick is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it is up in the air if he will take the field against Rockets on Saturday, October 17th.

Massachusetts
QBWilliam Watson III
820 yds · 7 TD · 2 INT
85.143/729
LBTimmy Hinspeter
30 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
90.0
Coverage
79.6
Pressures
1
Pass-rush snaps
15
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
86.826/1796
RBCurtis Kimmons IV
262 yds · 3 TD · 5.8 YPC
82.156/1044
WRJabari Lewis
10 rec · 152 yds · 0 TD
78.766/2069
SJahmad Harmon
10 tkl · 1 PD · 3 INT
Player detail
Run defense
82.3
Coverage
72.0
Targets allowed
15
Rec allowed
9
Yards allowed
71
Passer rating allowed
32.2
Missed tackles
1
76.5144/2969
LBDinos Drossos
5 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
74.4
Coverage
64.4
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
74.2209/1796
Availability reports · 3
  • J. Washington · RBout · 2026-10-10

    Washington has been sidelined due to an undisclosed injury, and has been shut down for the remainder of the season.

  • Joseph Griffin Jr. · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    Griffin is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Buffalo on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Dallas Elliott · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    Elliott is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it remain to seen if he will Buffalo on Saturday, October 17th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

EMU
MASS
vs
Offense
59.7
#133 of 138
QB
85.1
#39 of 138
76.0
#65 of 138
RB
81.3
#29 of 138
67.4
#116 of 138
WR
73.6
#45 of 138
63.7
#99 of 138
TE
66.0
#86 of 138
62.8
#115 of 138
OL
63.7
#107 of 138
Defense
76.8
#38 of 138
DL
77.1
#34 of 138
62.8
#137 of 138
LB
77.4
#41 of 138
77.5
#11 of 138
DB
72.8
#59 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Eastern Michigan
opponent
Massachusetts
H+11.0
SAC#187
+29.0A
H-10.8
TOL#80
-25.2A
A+2.0
AKR#140
-1.3H