CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 5 · Sat Oct 3 · 3:30 PM ET
Forecast win probability
OHIO 67.6%32.4% KENT
Projected margin
OHIO by 7.8
Projected total
56
80% outcome range
OHIO 28 to KENT 12
Win probability
OHIO 67.6%
FinalOHIO 13 · KENT 10model had -7.8, off by 4.8

Current team profiles

Ohio
Kent State

When Ohio has the ball

Passing

OHIO offense
Higher-ranked profile
OHIO offense
#92
KENT defense
#113
EPA comparison
0.13
#92
0.32
#113
Pass EPA

Rushing

OHIO offense
Higher-ranked profile
OHIO offense
#45
KENT defense
#93
EPA comparison
0.16
#45
0.10
#93
Rush EPA

Drive success

OHIO offense
Higher-ranked profile
OHIO offense
#46
KENT defense
#128
Success rates
46%
#46
47%
#128
Success rate
More metrics
0.15
#69
0.18
#116
EPA / play
1.11
#124
1.20
#55
Explosiveness
14%
#56
14%
#101
Havoc

When Kent State has the ball

Passing

KENT offense
Higher-ranked profile
OHIO defense
#116
KENT offense
#114
EPA comparison
0.33
#116
0.07
#114
Pass EPA

Rushing

OHIO defense
Higher-ranked profile
OHIO defense
#88
KENT offense
#126
EPA comparison
0.08
#88
-0.08
#126
Rush EPA

Drive success

OHIO defense
Higher-ranked profile
OHIO defense
#88
KENT offense
#134
Success rates
42%
#88
33%
#134
Success rate
More metrics
0.15
#106
-0.05
#130
EPA / play
1.27
#93
1.29
#34
Explosiveness
16%
#70
18%
#122
Havoc

Current key players

Ohio
QBLevi Davis
171 yds · 2 TD · 0 INT
81.961/729
LBAlex Brown
1 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
75.9
Coverage
60.0
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
84.051/1796
LBMichael Molnar
45 tkl · 5.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
89.3
Coverage
73.0
Pressures
5
Pass-rush snaps
31
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
1
82.858/1796
WRRiley Neer
23 rec · 337 yds · 4 TD
76.698/2069
WRZach Hackleman
1 rec · 15 yds · 0 TD
74.0149/2069
DBDarren James-Hamilton
15 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
44.9
Coverage
82.9
Targets allowed
5
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
39.6
Missed tackles
8
72.5306/2969
Availability reports · 2
  • Rashad Perry · WRout · 2026-10-10

    Perry is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and is expected to miss the remainder of the season.

  • Hype Grand · QBQues. · 2026-10-10

    Grand is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against the Hornets on Saturday, October 17th.

Kent State
QBDru DeShields
752 yds · 3 TD · 5 INT
69.7156/729
DBDavion Pritchard
7 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
40.7
Coverage
81.1
Targets allowed
8
Rec allowed
5
Yards allowed
26
Passer rating allowed
67.7
Missed tackles
0
75.4181/2969
WRJay Jay Etheridge
1 rec · 16 yds · 0 TD
73.5157/2069
LBSemaj Bridgeman
4 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
60.1
Coverage
69.2
Pressures
1
Pass-rush snaps
49
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
1
71.7296/1796
WRDa'Realyst Clark
20 rec · 242 yds · 1 TD
71.6210/2069
LBHayden Dawahare
18 tkl · 4.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
65.0
Coverage
75.3
Pressures
3
Pass-rush snaps
19
Missed tackles
4
Forced fumbles
1
71.2323/1796
Availability reports · 4
  • Maurice Stephens · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Stephens is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Bulls on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Dylan Armentrout · RBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Armentrout is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Bulls on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Eli Tucker · KQues. · 2026-10-11

    Tucker is fighting off an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Bulls on Saturday, October 17th.

  • William Bierfeldt · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Bierfeldt is fighting off an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Bulls on Saturday, October 17th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

OHIO
KENT
vs
Offense
81.9
#52 of 138
QB
69.7
#101 of 138
67.8
#130 of 138
RB
63.5
#137 of 138
70.3
#77 of 138
WR
69.8
#83 of 138
60.0
#122 of 138
TE
60.2
#119 of 138
67.7
#69 of 138
OL
58.4
#138 of 138
Defense
70.5
#98 of 138
DL
67.4
#130 of 138
80.7
#17 of 138
LB
70.4
#102 of 138
66.7
#130 of 138
DB
65.1
#134 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Ohio
opponent
Kent State
H+5.8
EMU#131
-5.8A
A+8.9
SAC#187
+2.6A
H+10.2
BALL#164
+13.0H
A+5.7
AKR#140
+4.7H
A-4.0
M-OH#115
-5.0H