Passing
OHIO defense
Higher-ranked profile
- CMU offense
- #130
- OHIO defense
- #116
EPA comparison
-0.06
#130
0.33
#116
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 6 · Sat Oct 10 · 3:30 PM ET
Forecast win probability
CMU 35.3%64.7% OHIO
- Projected margin
- OHIO by 5.4
- Projected total
- 48
- 80% outcome range
- CMU 14 to OHIO 25
- Win probability
- OHIO 64.7%
FinalCMU 14 · OHIO 31model had +5.4, off by 11.6
Current team profiles
Central MichiganOhioWhen Central Michigan has the ball
Rushing
CMU offense
Higher-ranked profile
- CMU offense
- #45
- OHIO defense
- #88
EPA comparison
0.16
#45
0.08
#88
Rush EPA
Drive success
OHIO defense
Higher-ranked profile
- CMU offense
- #119
- OHIO defense
- #88
Success rates
38%
#119
42%
#88
Success rate
More metrics
0.06
#103
0.15
#106
EPA / play
1.24
#66
1.27
#93
Explosiveness
14%
#50
16%
#70
Havoc
When Ohio has the ball
Passing
CMU defense
Higher-ranked profile
- CMU defense
- #71
- OHIO offense
- #92
EPA comparison
0.15
#71
0.13
#92
Pass EPA
Rushing
OHIO offense
Higher-ranked profile
- CMU defense
- #107
- OHIO offense
- #45
EPA comparison
0.14
#107
0.16
#45
Rush EPA
Drive success
OHIO offense
Higher-ranked profile
- CMU defense
- #126
- OHIO offense
- #46
Success rates
47%
#126
46%
#46
Success rate
More metrics
0.15
#108
0.15
#69
EPA / play
1.11
#24
1.11
#124
Explosiveness
15%
#90
14%
#56
Havoc
Current key players
Central MichiganQBAngel Flores
201 yds · 1 TD · 2 INT
76.4101/729
DBCoen Ali
10 tkl · 0 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 81.2
- Coverage
- 88.0
- Targets allowed
- 5
- Rec allowed
- 4
- Yards allowed
- 23
- Passer rating allowed
- 46.3
- Missed tackles
- 2
88.114/2969
DBJustin Taylor
27 tkl · 4 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 72.6
- Coverage
- 89.0
- Targets allowed
- 16
- Rec allowed
- 7
- Yards allowed
- 27
- Passer rating allowed
- 11.5
- Missed tackles
- 2
84.826/2969
RBJayden Clerveaux
219 yds · 1 TD · 5.9 YPC
77.6123/1044
DBKameran Hayward
4 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 64.2
- Coverage
- 77.3
- Targets allowed
- 6
- Rec allowed
- 3
- Yards allowed
- 33
- Passer rating allowed
- 27.1
- Missed tackles
- 0
75.6172/2969
TEGavin Spillers
1 rec · 8 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
- Pass blocking
- 51.1
- Run blocking
- 70.6
- Penalties
- 0
71.772/1017
Availability reports · 2
- J. Allen · TEout · 2026-09-15
VanWetzinga is sidelined with a knee injury, and he will miss an extended period.
- Rusty VanWetzinga IV · FBQues. · 2026-10-10
VanWetzinga is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Broncos on Saturday, October 17
OhioQBLevi Davis
171 yds · 2 TD · 0 INT
81.961/729
LBAlex Brown
1 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 75.9
- Coverage
- 60.0
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
84.051/1796
LBMichael Molnar
45 tkl · 5.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 89.3
- Coverage
- 73.0
- Pressures
- 5
- Pass-rush snaps
- 31
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 1
82.858/1796
WRRiley Neer
23 rec · 337 yds · 4 TD
76.698/2069
WRZach Hackleman
1 rec · 15 yds · 0 TD
74.0149/2069
DBDarren James-Hamilton
15 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 44.9
- Coverage
- 82.9
- Targets allowed
- 5
- Rec allowed
- 0
- Yards allowed
- 0
- Passer rating allowed
- 39.6
- Missed tackles
- 8
72.5306/2969
Availability reports · 2
- Rashad Perry · WRout · 2026-10-10
Perry is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and is expected to miss the remainder of the season.
- Hype Grand · QBQues. · 2026-10-10
Grand is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against the Hornets on Saturday, October 17th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
CMUCentral Michigan
OHIOOhio
vs
Offense
76.4
#76 of 138
QB
Quarterback
81.9
#52 of 138
73.2
#94 of 138
RB
Running backs
67.8
#130 of 138
64.3
#133 of 138
WR
Receivers
70.3
#77 of 138
71.7
#53 of 138
TE
Tight ends
60.0
#122 of 138
65.5
#92 of 138
OL
Offensive line
67.7
#69 of 138
Defense
70.5
#99 of 138
DL
Defensive line
70.5
#98 of 138
67.5
#123 of 138
LB
Linebackers
80.7
#17 of 138
78.4
#8 of 138
DB
Secondary
66.7
#130 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Central Michigan
opponent
Ohio
Hhome+24.0
AKRAkron#140+5.7Aaway
Aaway+4.4
BALLBall State#164+10.2Hhome
Hhome+0.9
M-OHMiami (OH)#115-4.0Aaway
Hhome+13.8
SACSacramento State#187+8.9Aaway
Nneutral+2.7
EMUEastern Michigan#131+5.8Hhome