Passing
M-OH offense
Higher-ranked profile
- M-OH offense
- #24
- MASS defense
- #52
EPA comparison
0.40
#24
0.09
#52
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 6 · Sat Oct 10 · 2:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
M-OH 54.4%45.6% MASS
- Projected margin
- M-OH by 1.7
- Projected total
- 48
- 80% outcome range
- M-OH 21 to MASS 18
- Win probability
- M-OH 54.4%
FinalM-OH 20 · MASS 19model had -1.7, off by 0.7
Current team profiles
Miami (OH)
MassachusettsWhen Miami (OH) has the ball
Rushing
MASS defense
Higher-ranked profile
- M-OH offense
- #81
- MASS defense
- #27
EPA comparison
0.08
#81
-0.07
#27
Rush EPA
Drive success
MASS defense
Higher-ranked profile
- M-OH offense
- #101
- MASS defense
- #57
Success rates
40%
#101
39%
#57
Success rate
More metrics
0.17
#65
-0.03
#31
EPA / play
1.39
#9
1.10
#21
Explosiveness
15%
#84
15%
#89
Havoc
When Massachusetts has the ball
Passing
MASS offense
Higher-ranked profile
- M-OH defense
- #122
- MASS offense
- #36
EPA comparison
0.36
#122
0.35
#36
Pass EPA
Rushing
M-OH defense
Higher-ranked profile
- M-OH defense
- #41
- MASS offense
- #61
EPA comparison
-0.01
#41
0.13
#61
Rush EPA
Drive success
MASS offense
Higher-ranked profile
- M-OH defense
- #108
- MASS offense
- #66
Success rates
44%
#108
44%
#66
Success rate
More metrics
0.15
#106
0.20
#45
EPA / play
1.29
#98
1.24
#68
Explosiveness
13%
#123
12%
#27
Havoc
Current key players
Miami (OH)QBDavid McComb
1120 yds · 7 TD · 1 INT
84.249/729
WRScoop Smith
14 rec · 132 yds · 1 TD
83.632/2069
WRMaleek Huggins
14 rec · 262 yds · 1 TD
80.650/2069
RBLazaro Rogers
104 yds · 1 TD · 5.0 YPC
75.5169/1044
LBChristian McKinney
3 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 74.4
- Coverage
- 63.6
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 0
73.3247/1796
LBGrant Lyons
14 tkl · 3.0 TFL · 2.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 66.0
- Coverage
- 59.8
- Pressures
- 13
- Pass-rush snaps
- 122
- Missed tackles
- 4
- Forced fumbles
- 1
72.6270/1796
Availability reports · 10
- David McComb · QBout · 2026-10-10
McComb is nursing an upper body injury, and has been shut down for the remainder of the season.
- Thomas Gotkowski · QBout · 2026-08-24
Gotkowski is battling with an undisclosed injury, and he will be idle for the remainder of the season.
- Eric Karner · TEout · 2026-09-05
Karner is out of action due to an undisclosed injury, and has been shut down for the remainder of the season.
- Keith Reynolds · WRout · 2026-09-05
Reynolds has been sidelined due to an undisclosed injury, and has been shut down for the remainder of the season.
- Devin Hyatt · WRout · 2026-10-10
Hyatt is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.
- Christian Ross · TEQues. · 2026-10-10
Ross is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will face Akron on Saturday, October 17th.
- Brayden Boeing · TEQues. · 2026-10-10
Boeing is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will suit up against Akron on Saturday, October 17th.
- CJ Castner · WRQues. · 2026-10-10
Castner is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will face Akron on Saturday, October 17th.
- Noam Butbul · TEQues. · 2026-10-10
Butbul is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will be active against Akron on Saturday, October 17th.
- Trey Zvonar · TEQues. · 2026-10-10
Zvonar is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will suit up against Akron on Saturday, October 17th.
MassachusettsQBWilliam Watson III
820 yds · 7 TD · 2 INT
85.143/729
LBTimmy Hinspeter
30 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 90.0
- Coverage
- 79.6
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 15
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
86.826/1796
RBCurtis Kimmons IV
262 yds · 3 TD · 5.8 YPC
82.156/1044
WRJabari Lewis
10 rec · 152 yds · 0 TD
78.766/2069
SJahmad Harmon
10 tkl · 1 PD · 3 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 82.3
- Coverage
- 72.0
- Targets allowed
- 15
- Rec allowed
- 9
- Yards allowed
- 71
- Passer rating allowed
- 32.2
- Missed tackles
- 1
76.5144/2969
LBDinos Drossos
5 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 74.4
- Coverage
- 64.4
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
74.2209/1796
Availability reports · 3
- J. Washington · RBout · 2026-10-10
Washington has been sidelined due to an undisclosed injury, and has been shut down for the remainder of the season.
- Joseph Griffin Jr. · WRQues. · 2026-10-10
Griffin is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Buffalo on Saturday, October 17th.
- Dallas Elliott · WRQues. · 2026-10-10
Elliott is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it remain to seen if he will Buffalo on Saturday, October 17th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
M-OHMiami (OH)
MASSMassachusetts
vs
Offense
84.2
#43 of 138
QB
Quarterback
85.1
#39 of 138
70.0
#119 of 138
RB
Running backs
81.3
#29 of 138
78.2
#16 of 138
WR
Receivers
73.6
#45 of 138
65.9
#88 of 138
TE
Tight ends
66.0
#86 of 138
71.8
#37 of 138
OL
Offensive line
63.7
#107 of 138
Defense
69.8
#109 of 138
DL
Defensive line
77.1
#34 of 138
71.1
#96 of 138
LB
Linebackers
77.4
#41 of 138
67.5
#121 of 138
DB
Secondary
72.8
#59 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Miami (OH)
opponent
Massachusetts
Hhome+3.0
CONNUConn#95-18.4Aaway
Hhome+8.7
BUFBuffalo#149-10.2Aaway
Hhome+12.3
AKRAkron#140-1.3Hhome
Hhome-4.0
BGSUBowling Green#144-10.1Aaway