CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 7 · Sat Oct 17 · 1:30 PM ET
Michigan MAC Trophy
Away
Western Michigan
4-2
24p
Home
Central Michigan
3-3
23p
Forecast win probability
WMU 50.1%49.9% CMU
Projected margin
WMU by 0.1
Projected total
48
80% outcome range
WMU 19 to CMU 19
Win probability
WMU 50.1%

Current team profiles

Western Michigan
Central Michigan

When Western Michigan has the ball

Passing

CMU defense
Higher-ranked profile
WMU offense
#92
CMU defense
#71
EPA comparison
0.13
#92
0.15
#71
Pass EPA

Rushing

WMU offense
Higher-ranked profile
WMU offense
#51
CMU defense
#107
EPA comparison
0.15
#51
0.14
#107
Rush EPA

Drive success

WMU offense
Higher-ranked profile
WMU offense
#85
CMU defense
#126
Success rates
42%
#85
47%
#126
Success rate
More metrics
0.14
#73
0.15
#108
EPA / play
1.15
#108
1.11
#24
Explosiveness
13%
#42
15%
#90
Havoc

When Central Michigan has the ball

Passing

WMU defense
Higher-ranked profile
WMU defense
#65
CMU offense
#130
EPA comparison
0.12
#65
-0.06
#130
Pass EPA

Rushing

CMU offense
Higher-ranked profile
WMU defense
#47
CMU offense
#45
EPA comparison
0.00
#47
0.16
#45
Rush EPA

Drive success

WMU defense
Higher-ranked profile
WMU defense
#105
CMU offense
#119
Success rates
44%
#105
38%
#119
Success rate
More metrics
0.06
#64
0.06
#103
EPA / play
1.08
#16
1.24
#66
Explosiveness
13%
#109
14%
#50
Havoc

Current key players

Western Michigan
QBTrey Petty
54 yds · 1 TD · 0 INT
90.815/729
LBJustyce Betts
35 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
87.8
Coverage
78.1
Pressures
2
Pass-rush snaps
8
Missed tackles
2
Forced fumbles
0
88.121/1796
WRAveion Chenault
18 rec · 272 yds · 1 TD
82.240/2069
LBDillon Moore
28 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 1.5 sk
Player detail
Run defense
85.1
Coverage
68.3
Pressures
4
Pass-rush snaps
18
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
2
80.775/1796
RBJalen Buckley
287 yds · 5 TD · 4.6 YPC
77.6122/1044
TENate Levicki
8 rec · 112 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
63.6
Run blocking
68.3
Penalties
0
75.545/1017
Availability reports · 1
  • Michael Dersa · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Dersa is nursing an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Chippewas on Saturday, October 17th.

Central Michigan
QBAngel Flores
201 yds · 1 TD · 2 INT
76.4101/729
DBCoen Ali
10 tkl · 0 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
81.2
Coverage
88.0
Targets allowed
5
Rec allowed
4
Yards allowed
23
Passer rating allowed
46.3
Missed tackles
2
88.114/2969
DBJustin Taylor
27 tkl · 4 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
Run defense
72.6
Coverage
89.0
Targets allowed
16
Rec allowed
7
Yards allowed
27
Passer rating allowed
11.5
Missed tackles
2
84.826/2969
RBJayden Clerveaux
219 yds · 1 TD · 5.9 YPC
77.6123/1044
DBKameran Hayward
4 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
64.2
Coverage
77.3
Targets allowed
6
Rec allowed
3
Yards allowed
33
Passer rating allowed
27.1
Missed tackles
0
75.6172/2969
TEGavin Spillers
1 rec · 8 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
51.1
Run blocking
70.6
Penalties
0
71.772/1017
Availability reports · 2
  • J. Allen · TEout · 2026-09-15

    VanWetzinga is sidelined with a knee injury, and he will miss an extended period.

  • Rusty VanWetzinga IV · FBQues. · 2026-10-10

    VanWetzinga is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Broncos on Saturday, October 17

Position units

Position-unit comparison

WMU
CMU
vs
Offense
90.8
#15 of 138
QB
76.4
#76 of 138
68.5
#126 of 138
RB
73.2
#94 of 138
69.5
#88 of 138
WR
64.3
#133 of 138
75.5
#36 of 138
TE
71.7
#53 of 138
60.3
#131 of 138
OL
65.5
#92 of 138
Defense
77.6
#28 of 138
DL
70.5
#99 of 138
78.8
#28 of 138
LB
67.5
#123 of 138
68.9
#112 of 138
DB
78.4
#8 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Western Michigan
opponent
Central Michigan
A+7.9
AKR#140
+24.0H
H+8.1
EMU#131
+2.7N
H+3.6
M-OH#115
+0.9H
A+3.0
BUF#149
+1.6A