AVRCFB Model
All predictionsWeek 8 · Sat Oct 24 · 4:00 AM
Wagon Wheel
#115Away
Akron
0-0 · AVR 34.5
28p
#128Home
Kent State
0-0 · AVR 27.2
27p
AKR 54%46% KENT
Spread
AKR -1.6
Total
55
Moneyline
AKR-119KENT+119
Margin σ
14.6

Unit matchups

Pass game vs pass defense, run vs the front — units combined per phase
← AKR advantageevenKENT advantage →
AKR throw
AKR +10
AKR run
AKR +11
KENT throw
KENT QB #55KENT protection #112
even
KENT run
even

Matchups to watch

The individual fights most likely to decide it, biggest names first
when AKR runs
Jordan Gant
vs
Hayden Dawahare
RB · AKR
MLB · KENT
62.7
53.9
AKR +9
when KENT throws
Da'Realyst Clark
vs
Zach Hobson
X · KENT
CB1 · AKR
44.9
69.2
AKR +24
when AKR throws
Marcel Williams
vs
Davion Pritchard
X · AKR
CB1 · KENT
54.0
59.4
KENT +5
off the edge· hunting DeShields
Dustyn Morell
vs
Cyrus Durham
LT · KENT
EDGE · AKR
24.4
81.4
AKR +57
off the edge· hunting Poffenbarger
Colin Lyons
vs
Darian Blachewicz
LT · AKR
EDGE · KENT
38.0
65.9
KENT +28
over the middle
Terik Mulder
vs
Rodrick Hunter
TE · KENT
FS · AKR
47.9
55.4
AKR +7

Key players

Top-rated players, and who is out
Akron
CBZach Hobson
69.2258/1427
DBCatrell White
66.7316/1427
RBJordan Gant
62.789/514
DBIesa Jarmon
59.3500/1427
WRMarcel Williams
54.0192/777
WRKyan Mason
53.5205/777
Kent State
QBDru DeShields
64.556/308
DBDavion Pritchard
59.4498/1427
LBHayden Dawahare
53.9407/878
RBJakorion Caffey
53.3196/514
SClinton Robinson
49.2795/1427
TETerik Mulder
47.9148/287

Common opponents

4 shared opponents — margin each way, biggest disagreement first
Akron
opponent
Kent State
home+0.1
Eastern Michigan#112
-9.0away
home-5.9
Western Michigan#84
-15.0away
home-2.6
Ohio#101
-6.8home
away-7.5
Miami (OH)#91
-6.6home

Projected margin

80% between -19 and 16
-14-7-3+3+7+14PKAKR +1.695% interval: -25.5 to 22.380% interval: -19 to 15.8-19+16AKR wins 54%KENT wins 46%

Scorelines

Brighter is likelier
most likely ≈ KENT 28–28 AKRKENT 25–53 AKR neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesKENT 28–49 AKR neighborhood · ~0.9% of outcomesKENT 32–46 AKR neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesKENT 35–42 AKR neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesKENT 39–39 AKR neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesKENT 42–35 AKR neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesKENT 46–32 AKR neighborhood · ~1.2% of outcomesKENT 49–28 AKR neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesKENT 53–25 AKR neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesKENT 21–49 AKR neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesKENT 25–46 AKR neighborhood · ~1.1% of outcomesKENT 28–42 AKR neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesKENT 32–39 AKR neighborhood · ~2.5% of outcomesKENT 35–35 AKR neighborhood · ~2.7% of outcomesKENT 39–32 AKR neighborhood · ~2.3% of outcomesKENT 42–28 AKR neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesKENT 46–25 AKR neighborhood · ~0.8% of outcomesKENT 49–21 AKR neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesKENT 18–46 AKR neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesKENT 21–42 AKR neighborhood · ~1.3% of outcomesKENT 25–39 AKR neighborhood · ~2.2% of outcomesKENT 28–35 AKR neighborhood · ~2.9% of outcomesKENT 32–32 AKR neighborhood · ~3.1% of outcomesKENT 35–28 AKR neighborhood · ~2.7% of outcomesKENT 39–25 AKR neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesKENT 42–21 AKR neighborhood · ~1.0% of outcomesKENT 46–18 AKR neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesKENT 14–42 AKR neighborhood · ~0.7% of outcomesKENT 18–39 AKR neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesKENT 21–35 AKR neighborhood · ~2.3% of outcomesKENT 25–32 AKR neighborhood · ~3.1% of outcomesKENT 28–28 AKR neighborhood · ~3.3% of outcomesKENT 32–25 AKR neighborhood · ~2.8% of outcomesKENT 35–21 AKR neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesKENT 39–18 AKR neighborhood · ~1.0% of outcomesKENT 42–14 AKR neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesKENT 11–39 AKR neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesKENT 14–35 AKR neighborhood · ~1.3% of outcomesKENT 18–32 AKR neighborhood · ~2.3% of outcomesKENT 21–28 AKR neighborhood · ~3.0% of outcomesKENT 25–25 AKR neighborhood · ~3.2% of outcomesKENT 28–21 AKR neighborhood · ~2.7% of outcomesKENT 32–18 AKR neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesKENT 35–14 AKR neighborhood · ~1.0% of outcomesKENT 39–11 AKR neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesKENT 7–35 AKR neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesKENT 11–32 AKR neighborhood · ~1.2% of outcomesKENT 14–28 AKR neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesKENT 18–25 AKR neighborhood · ~2.7% of outcomesKENT 21–21 AKR neighborhood · ~2.9% of outcomesKENT 25–18 AKR neighborhood · ~2.4% of outcomesKENT 28–14 AKR neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesKENT 32–11 AKR neighborhood · ~0.9% of outcomesKENT 35–7 AKR neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesKENT 4–32 AKR neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesKENT 7–28 AKR neighborhood · ~1.0% of outcomesKENT 11–25 AKR neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesKENT 14–21 AKR neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesKENT 18–18 AKR neighborhood · ~2.3% of outcomesKENT 21–14 AKR neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesKENT 25–11 AKR neighborhood · ~1.3% of outcomesKENT 28–7 AKR neighborhood · ~0.7% of outcomesKENT 32–4 AKR neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomes77706356494235totalAKR +28AKR +14PKKENT +14KENT +28margin →