CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 8 · Sat Oct 24 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
EMU 35.0%65.0% OHIO
Projected margin
OHIO by 5.8
Projected total
54
80% outcome range
EMU 13 to OHIO 24
Win probability
OHIO 65.0%

Current team profiles

Eastern Michigan
Ohio

When Eastern Michigan has the ball

Passing

EMU offense
Higher-ranked profile
EMU offense
#84
OHIO defense
#116
EPA comparison
0.16
#84
0.33
#116
Pass EPA

Rushing

EMU offense
Higher-ranked profile
EMU offense
#81
OHIO defense
#88
EPA comparison
0.08
#81
0.08
#88
Rush EPA

Drive success

OHIO defense
Higher-ranked profile
EMU offense
#98
OHIO defense
#88
Success rates
41%
#98
42%
#88
Success rate
More metrics
0.06
#102
0.15
#106
EPA / play
1.13
#119
1.27
#93
Explosiveness
15%
#77
16%
#70
Havoc

When Ohio has the ball

Passing

OHIO offense
Higher-ranked profile
EMU defense
#103
OHIO offense
#92
EPA comparison
0.27
#103
0.13
#92
Pass EPA

Rushing

OHIO offense
Higher-ranked profile
EMU defense
#68
OHIO offense
#45
EPA comparison
0.04
#68
0.16
#45
Rush EPA

Drive success

OHIO offense
Higher-ranked profile
EMU defense
#91
OHIO offense
#46
Success rates
42%
#91
46%
#46
Success rate
More metrics
0.13
#100
0.15
#69
EPA / play
1.23
#75
1.11
#124
Explosiveness
18%
#39
14%
#56
Havoc

Current key players

Eastern Michigan
QBNoah Kim
1187 yds · 8 TD · 3 INT
59.7298/729
DBMarty Collins
1 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
94.4
Coverage
64.2
Targets allowed
0
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Missed tackles
0
89.512/2969
DBDavion Williams
16 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
89.4
Coverage
81.0
Targets allowed
5
Rec allowed
3
Yards allowed
43
Passer rating allowed
127.5
Missed tackles
0
83.235/2969
RBBraydon Bennett
195 yds · 2 TD · 4.4 YPC
78.1106/1044
DBCaleb Dobbs
14 tkl · 6 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
Run defense
76.4
Coverage
70.4
Targets allowed
27
Rec allowed
14
Yards allowed
185
Passer rating allowed
80.0
Missed tackles
2
71.9335/2969
WRKozy Isaac
5 rec · 86 yds · 2 TD
71.1226/2069
Availability reports · 11
  • Nick Devereaux · WRout · 2026-09-21

    Devereaux is laid up with an undisclosed injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.

  • Adon Turner · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Turner is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will suit up against Rockets on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Bacori Minner · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Minner is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it is up in the air if he will take the field against Rockets on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Brady Shelton · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Shelton is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it is up in the air if he will take the field against Rockets on Saturday, October 17th.

  • CJ Miller · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Miller is hampered by an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will be active against Rockets on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Jackson Holt · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Holt is managing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Rockets on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Nate Lyman · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Lyman is hampered by an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will be active against Rockets on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Nazir Jones-Davis · RBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Jones-Davis is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will suit up against Rockets on Saturday, October 1

  • Nick Kinsey · QBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Kinsey is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will suit up against Rockets on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Payton Kokaly · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Kokaly is managing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Rockets on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Shawn Fishwick · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Fishwick is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it is up in the air if he will take the field against Rockets on Saturday, October 17th.

Ohio
QBLevi Davis
171 yds · 2 TD · 0 INT
81.961/729
LBAlex Brown
1 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
75.9
Coverage
60.0
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
84.051/1796
LBMichael Molnar
45 tkl · 5.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
89.3
Coverage
73.0
Pressures
5
Pass-rush snaps
31
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
1
82.858/1796
WRRiley Neer
23 rec · 337 yds · 4 TD
76.698/2069
WRZach Hackleman
1 rec · 15 yds · 0 TD
74.0149/2069
DBDarren James-Hamilton
15 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
44.9
Coverage
82.9
Targets allowed
5
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
39.6
Missed tackles
8
72.5306/2969
Availability reports · 2
  • Rashad Perry · WRout · 2026-10-10

    Perry is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and is expected to miss the remainder of the season.

  • Hype Grand · QBQues. · 2026-10-10

    Grand is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against the Hornets on Saturday, October 17th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

EMU
OHIO
vs
Offense
59.7
#133 of 138
QB
81.9
#52 of 138
76.0
#65 of 138
RB
67.8
#130 of 138
67.4
#116 of 138
WR
70.3
#77 of 138
63.7
#99 of 138
TE
60.0
#122 of 138
62.8
#115 of 138
OL
67.7
#69 of 138
Defense
76.8
#38 of 138
DL
70.5
#98 of 138
62.8
#137 of 138
LB
80.7
#17 of 138
77.5
#11 of 138
DB
66.7
#130 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Eastern Michigan
opponent
Ohio
N-2.7
CMU#138
+17.0H
A+2.0
AKR#140
+5.7A
H-10.8
TOL#80
-7.7H
H+5.8
KENT#161
+3.0A
H+11.0
SAC#187
+8.9A