CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 10 · Tue Nov 3 · 7:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
OHIO 64.6%35.4% AKR
Projected margin
OHIO by 5.7
Projected total
54
80% outcome range
OHIO 24 to AKR 13
Win probability
OHIO 64.6%

Current team profiles

Ohio
Akron

When Ohio has the ball

Passing

OHIO offense
Higher-ranked profile
OHIO offense
#92
AKR defense
#130
EPA comparison
0.13
#92
0.44
#130
Pass EPA

Rushing

OHIO offense
Higher-ranked profile
OHIO offense
#45
AKR defense
#112
EPA comparison
0.16
#45
0.15
#112
Rush EPA

Drive success

OHIO offense
Higher-ranked profile
OHIO offense
#46
AKR defense
#112
Success rates
46%
#46
45%
#112
Success rate
More metrics
0.15
#69
0.25
#132
EPA / play
1.11
#124
1.31
#108
Explosiveness
14%
#56
13%
#117
Havoc

When Akron has the ball

Passing

AKR offense
Higher-ranked profile
OHIO defense
#116
AKR offense
#101
EPA comparison
0.33
#116
0.11
#101
Pass EPA

Rushing

AKR offense
Higher-ranked profile
OHIO defense
#88
AKR offense
#45
EPA comparison
0.08
#88
0.16
#45
Rush EPA

Drive success

AKR offense
Higher-ranked profile
OHIO defense
#88
AKR offense
#77
Success rates
42%
#88
43%
#77
Success rate
More metrics
0.15
#106
0.09
#92
EPA / play
1.27
#93
1.08
#131
Explosiveness
16%
#70
19%
#129
Havoc

Current key players

Ohio
QBLevi Davis
171 yds · 2 TD · 0 INT
81.961/729
LBAlex Brown
1 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
75.9
Coverage
60.0
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
84.051/1796
LBMichael Molnar
45 tkl · 5.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
89.3
Coverage
73.0
Pressures
5
Pass-rush snaps
31
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
1
82.858/1796
WRRiley Neer
23 rec · 337 yds · 4 TD
76.698/2069
WRZach Hackleman
1 rec · 15 yds · 0 TD
74.0149/2069
DBDarren James-Hamilton
15 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
44.9
Coverage
82.9
Targets allowed
5
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
39.6
Missed tackles
8
72.5306/2969
Availability reports · 2
  • Rashad Perry · WRout · 2026-10-10

    Perry is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and is expected to miss the remainder of the season.

  • Hype Grand · QBQues. · 2026-10-10

    Grand is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against the Hornets on Saturday, October 17th.

Akron
QBCibastian Broughton
380 yds · 4 TD · 0 INT
69.0172/729
LBDonelius Johnson
41 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
83.1
Coverage
74.6
Pressures
0
Pass-rush snaps
10
Missed tackles
2
Forced fumbles
0
81.265/1796
DBCatrell White
7 tkl · 3 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
58.4
Coverage
79.9
Targets allowed
10
Rec allowed
4
Yards allowed
38
Passer rating allowed
84.6
Missed tackles
0
77.5107/2969
CBDawayne Galloway Jr.
4 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
68.7
Coverage
75.8
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
39.6
Missed tackles
0
75.8164/2969
DBKhory Moss
2 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
73.3
Coverage
70.9
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
1
Yards allowed
2
Passer rating allowed
79.2
Missed tackles
0
74.6205/2969
RBJordan Gant
289 yds · 3 TD · 4.7 YPC
72.6237/1044
Availability reports · 6
  • Paul Davis · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Davis is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will be available against RedHawks on Saturday, October

  • Cibastian Broughton · QBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Gee is dealing with a knee injury, and it is unclear if he will play against RedHawks on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Luke Sivon · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Sivon is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will be active against RedHawks on Saturday, October 17th

  • Cameron Monteiro · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Monteiro is nursing an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against RedHawks on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Chris Gee · RBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Gee is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against RedHawks on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Jaborree Riggins · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Riggins is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will be available against RedHawks on Saturday, Octobe

Position units

Position-unit comparison

OHIO
AKR
vs
Offense
81.9
#52 of 138
QB
69.0
#106 of 138
67.8
#130 of 138
RB
70.3
#117 of 138
70.3
#77 of 138
WR
69.5
#87 of 138
60.0
#122 of 138
TE
58.8
#129 of 138
67.7
#69 of 138
OL
68.2
#66 of 138
Defense
70.5
#98 of 138
DL
70.6
#97 of 138
80.7
#17 of 138
LB
70.2
#105 of 138
66.7
#130 of 138
DB
72.2
#68 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Ohio
opponent
Akron
H+17.0
CMU#138
-24.0A
A-4.0
M-OH#115
-12.3A
H+5.8
EMU#131
-2.0H
A+3.0
KENT#161
-4.7A