Passing
MASS defense
Higher-ranked profile
- BALL offense
- #92
- MASS defense
- #52
EPA comparison
0.13
#92
0.09
#52
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 10 · Wed Nov 4 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
BALL 55.7%44.3% MASS
- Projected margin
- BALL by 2.1
- Projected total
- 53
- 80% outcome range
- BALL 21 to MASS 17
- Win probability
- BALL 55.7%
Current team profiles
Ball StateMassachusettsWhen Ball State has the ball
Rushing
MASS defense
Higher-ranked profile
- BALL offense
- #100
- MASS defense
- #27
EPA comparison
0.03
#100
-0.07
#27
Rush EPA
Drive success
MASS defense
Higher-ranked profile
- BALL offense
- #128
- MASS defense
- #57
Success rates
36%
#128
39%
#57
Success rate
More metrics
0.05
#107
-0.03
#31
EPA / play
1.38
#13
1.10
#21
Explosiveness
18%
#125
15%
#89
Havoc
When Massachusetts has the ball
Passing
MASS offense
Higher-ranked profile
- BALL defense
- #132
- MASS offense
- #36
EPA comparison
0.45
#132
0.35
#36
Pass EPA
Rushing
MASS offense
Higher-ranked profile
- BALL defense
- #133
- MASS offense
- #61
EPA comparison
0.25
#133
0.13
#61
Rush EPA
Drive success
MASS offense
Higher-ranked profile
- BALL defense
- #114
- MASS offense
- #66
Success rates
45%
#114
44%
#66
Success rate
More metrics
0.32
#136
0.20
#45
EPA / play
1.44
#135
1.24
#68
Explosiveness
13%
#113
12%
#27
Havoc
Current key players
Ball StateQBKeldric Luster
662 yds · 5 TD · 3 INT
67.4185/729
RBElijah Jackson
25 yds · 0 TD · 6.2 YPC
80.668/1044
DBGabe Aramboles
5 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 70.6
- Coverage
- 71.7
- Targets allowed
- 1
- Rec allowed
- 1
- Yards allowed
- 6
- Passer rating allowed
- 91.7
- Missed tackles
- 0
74.2220/2969
LBKaleb Stewart
23 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0.5 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 80.9
- Coverage
- 60.9
- Pressures
- 4
- Pass-rush snaps
- 7
- Missed tackles
- 2
- Forced fumbles
- 0
72.9260/1796
DBQuentavius Scandrett
25 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 66.2
- Coverage
- 74.3
- Targets allowed
- 9
- Rec allowed
- 9
- Yards allowed
- 60
- Passer rating allowed
- 94.4
- Missed tackles
- 3
70.9387/2969
LBLayton Starks
12 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 0.5 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 58.6
- Coverage
- 66.6
- Pressures
- 8
- Pass-rush snaps
- 66
- Missed tackles
- 2
- Forced fumbles
- 0
68.2443/1796
Availability reports · 6
- Isaiah Thacker · WRout · 2026-10-10
Thacker is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and there is no timetable for return.
- Derion Talbert · WRout · 2026-09-26
Talbert is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and team officials have yet to provide an exact return date.
- Cole Coonrod · TEout · 2026-10-10
Coonrod is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.
- Jalen Bonds · RBQues. · 2026-10-10
Bonds is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Bowling Green on Saturday, October 17th.
- Mason Riggins · TEQues. · 2026-10-10
Riggins is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it remain to seen if he will play against the Bowling Green on Saturday, October 17th.
- Char'Rese Breveard · RBQues. · 2026-10-10
Breveard is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against Bowling Green on Saturday, October 17th.
MassachusettsQBWilliam Watson III
820 yds · 7 TD · 2 INT
85.143/729
LBTimmy Hinspeter
30 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 90.0
- Coverage
- 79.6
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 15
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
86.826/1796
RBCurtis Kimmons IV
262 yds · 3 TD · 5.8 YPC
82.156/1044
WRJabari Lewis
10 rec · 152 yds · 0 TD
78.766/2069
SJahmad Harmon
10 tkl · 1 PD · 3 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 82.3
- Coverage
- 72.0
- Targets allowed
- 15
- Rec allowed
- 9
- Yards allowed
- 71
- Passer rating allowed
- 32.2
- Missed tackles
- 1
76.5144/2969
LBDinos Drossos
5 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 74.4
- Coverage
- 64.4
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
74.2209/1796
Availability reports · 3
- J. Washington · RBout · 2026-10-10
Washington has been sidelined due to an undisclosed injury, and has been shut down for the remainder of the season.
- Joseph Griffin Jr. · WRQues. · 2026-10-10
Griffin is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Buffalo on Saturday, October 17th.
- Dallas Elliott · WRQues. · 2026-10-10
Elliott is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it remain to seen if he will Buffalo on Saturday, October 17th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
BALLBall State
MASSMassachusetts
vs
Offense
67.4
#112 of 138
QB
Quarterback
85.1
#39 of 138
80.2
#35 of 138
RB
Running backs
81.3
#29 of 138
64.8
#130 of 138
WR
Receivers
73.6
#45 of 138
58.7
#130 of 138
TE
Tight ends
66.0
#86 of 138
66.4
#86 of 138
OL
Offensive line
63.7
#107 of 138
Defense
68.0
#121 of 138
DL
Defensive line
77.1
#34 of 138
68.5
#116 of 138
LB
Linebackers
77.4
#41 of 138
67.8
#118 of 138
DB
Secondary
72.8
#59 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Ball State
opponent
Massachusetts
Hhome+6.8
SACSacramento State#187+29.0Aaway
Hhome-15.0
TOLToledo#80-25.2Aaway
Hhome-0.2
BUFBuffalo#149-10.2Aaway
Aaway-5.4
BGSUBowling Green#144-10.1Aaway