CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 10 · Wed Nov 4 · 12:00 AM ET · neutral site
Michigan MAC Trophy
Forecast win probability
CMU 56.9%43.1% EMU
Projected margin
CMU by 2.7
Projected total
51
80% outcome range
CMU 21 to EMU 16
Win probability
CMU 56.9%

Current team profiles

Central Michigan
Eastern Michigan

When Central Michigan has the ball

Passing

EMU defense
Higher-ranked profile
CMU offense
#130
EMU defense
#103
EPA comparison
-0.06
#130
0.27
#103
Pass EPA

Rushing

CMU offense
Higher-ranked profile
CMU offense
#45
EMU defense
#68
EPA comparison
0.16
#45
0.04
#68
Rush EPA

Drive success

EMU defense
Higher-ranked profile
CMU offense
#119
EMU defense
#91
Success rates
38%
#119
42%
#91
Success rate
More metrics
0.06
#103
0.13
#100
EPA / play
1.24
#66
1.23
#75
Explosiveness
14%
#50
18%
#39
Havoc

When Eastern Michigan has the ball

Passing

CMU defense
Higher-ranked profile
CMU defense
#71
EMU offense
#84
EPA comparison
0.15
#71
0.16
#84
Pass EPA

Rushing

EMU offense
Higher-ranked profile
CMU defense
#107
EMU offense
#81
EPA comparison
0.14
#107
0.08
#81
Rush EPA

Drive success

EMU offense
Higher-ranked profile
CMU defense
#126
EMU offense
#98
Success rates
47%
#126
41%
#98
Success rate
More metrics
0.15
#108
0.06
#102
EPA / play
1.11
#24
1.13
#119
Explosiveness
15%
#90
15%
#77
Havoc

Current key players

Central Michigan
QBAngel Flores
201 yds · 1 TD · 2 INT
76.4101/729
DBCoen Ali
10 tkl · 0 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
81.2
Coverage
88.0
Targets allowed
5
Rec allowed
4
Yards allowed
23
Passer rating allowed
46.3
Missed tackles
2
88.114/2969
DBJustin Taylor
27 tkl · 4 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
Run defense
72.6
Coverage
89.0
Targets allowed
16
Rec allowed
7
Yards allowed
27
Passer rating allowed
11.5
Missed tackles
2
84.826/2969
RBJayden Clerveaux
219 yds · 1 TD · 5.9 YPC
77.6123/1044
DBKameran Hayward
4 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
64.2
Coverage
77.3
Targets allowed
6
Rec allowed
3
Yards allowed
33
Passer rating allowed
27.1
Missed tackles
0
75.6172/2969
TEGavin Spillers
1 rec · 8 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
51.1
Run blocking
70.6
Penalties
0
71.772/1017
Availability reports · 2
  • J. Allen · TEout · 2026-09-15

    VanWetzinga is sidelined with a knee injury, and he will miss an extended period.

  • Rusty VanWetzinga IV · FBQues. · 2026-10-10

    VanWetzinga is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Broncos on Saturday, October 17

Eastern Michigan
QBNoah Kim
1187 yds · 8 TD · 3 INT
59.7298/729
DBMarty Collins
1 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
94.4
Coverage
64.2
Targets allowed
0
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Missed tackles
0
89.512/2969
DBDavion Williams
16 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
89.4
Coverage
81.0
Targets allowed
5
Rec allowed
3
Yards allowed
43
Passer rating allowed
127.5
Missed tackles
0
83.235/2969
RBBraydon Bennett
195 yds · 2 TD · 4.4 YPC
78.1106/1044
DBCaleb Dobbs
14 tkl · 6 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
Run defense
76.4
Coverage
70.4
Targets allowed
27
Rec allowed
14
Yards allowed
185
Passer rating allowed
80.0
Missed tackles
2
71.9335/2969
WRKozy Isaac
5 rec · 86 yds · 2 TD
71.1226/2069
Availability reports · 11
  • Nick Devereaux · WRout · 2026-09-21

    Devereaux is laid up with an undisclosed injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.

  • Adon Turner · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Turner is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will suit up against Rockets on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Bacori Minner · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Minner is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it is up in the air if he will take the field against Rockets on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Brady Shelton · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Shelton is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it is up in the air if he will take the field against Rockets on Saturday, October 17th.

  • CJ Miller · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Miller is hampered by an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will be active against Rockets on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Jackson Holt · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Holt is managing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Rockets on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Nate Lyman · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Lyman is hampered by an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will be active against Rockets on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Nazir Jones-Davis · RBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Jones-Davis is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will suit up against Rockets on Saturday, October 1

  • Nick Kinsey · QBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Kinsey is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will suit up against Rockets on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Payton Kokaly · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Kokaly is managing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Rockets on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Shawn Fishwick · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Fishwick is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it is up in the air if he will take the field against Rockets on Saturday, October 17th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

CMU
EMU
vs
Offense
76.4
#76 of 138
QB
59.7
#133 of 138
73.2
#94 of 138
RB
76.0
#65 of 138
64.3
#133 of 138
WR
67.4
#116 of 138
71.7
#53 of 138
TE
63.7
#99 of 138
65.5
#92 of 138
OL
62.8
#115 of 138
Defense
70.5
#99 of 138
DL
76.8
#38 of 138
67.5
#123 of 138
LB
62.8
#137 of 138
78.4
#8 of 138
DB
77.5
#11 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Central Michigan
opponent
Eastern Michigan
H+24.0
AKR#140
+2.0A
A-17.0
OHIO#107
-5.8A
H-0.1
WMU#79
-8.1A
H+13.8
SAC#187
+11.0H