CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 11 · Tue Nov 10 · 7:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
WMU 69.7%30.3% AKR
Projected margin
WMU by 7.9
Projected total
50
80% outcome range
WMU 27 to AKR 11
Win probability
WMU 69.7%

Current team profiles

Western Michigan
Akron

When Western Michigan has the ball

Passing

WMU offense
Higher-ranked profile
WMU offense
#92
AKR defense
#130
EPA comparison
0.13
#92
0.44
#130
Pass EPA

Rushing

WMU offense
Higher-ranked profile
WMU offense
#51
AKR defense
#112
EPA comparison
0.15
#51
0.15
#112
Rush EPA

Drive success

WMU offense
Higher-ranked profile
WMU offense
#85
AKR defense
#112
Success rates
42%
#85
45%
#112
Success rate
More metrics
0.14
#73
0.25
#132
EPA / play
1.15
#108
1.31
#108
Explosiveness
13%
#42
13%
#117
Havoc

When Akron has the ball

Passing

WMU defense
Higher-ranked profile
WMU defense
#65
AKR offense
#101
EPA comparison
0.12
#65
0.11
#101
Pass EPA

Rushing

AKR offense
Higher-ranked profile
WMU defense
#47
AKR offense
#45
EPA comparison
0.00
#47
0.16
#45
Rush EPA

Drive success

AKR offense
Higher-ranked profile
WMU defense
#105
AKR offense
#77
Success rates
44%
#105
43%
#77
Success rate
More metrics
0.06
#64
0.09
#92
EPA / play
1.08
#16
1.08
#131
Explosiveness
13%
#109
19%
#129
Havoc

Current key players

Western Michigan
QBTrey Petty
54 yds · 1 TD · 0 INT
90.815/729
LBJustyce Betts
35 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
87.8
Coverage
78.1
Pressures
2
Pass-rush snaps
8
Missed tackles
2
Forced fumbles
0
88.121/1796
WRAveion Chenault
18 rec · 272 yds · 1 TD
82.240/2069
LBDillon Moore
28 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 1.5 sk
Player detail
Run defense
85.1
Coverage
68.3
Pressures
4
Pass-rush snaps
18
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
2
80.775/1796
RBJalen Buckley
287 yds · 5 TD · 4.6 YPC
77.6122/1044
TENate Levicki
8 rec · 112 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
63.6
Run blocking
68.3
Penalties
0
75.545/1017
Availability reports · 1
  • Michael Dersa · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Dersa is nursing an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Chippewas on Saturday, October 17th.

Akron
QBCibastian Broughton
380 yds · 4 TD · 0 INT
69.0172/729
LBDonelius Johnson
41 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
83.1
Coverage
74.6
Pressures
0
Pass-rush snaps
10
Missed tackles
2
Forced fumbles
0
81.265/1796
DBCatrell White
7 tkl · 3 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
58.4
Coverage
79.9
Targets allowed
10
Rec allowed
4
Yards allowed
38
Passer rating allowed
84.6
Missed tackles
0
77.5107/2969
CBDawayne Galloway Jr.
4 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
68.7
Coverage
75.8
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
39.6
Missed tackles
0
75.8164/2969
DBKhory Moss
2 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
73.3
Coverage
70.9
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
1
Yards allowed
2
Passer rating allowed
79.2
Missed tackles
0
74.6205/2969
RBJordan Gant
289 yds · 3 TD · 4.7 YPC
72.6237/1044
Availability reports · 6
  • Paul Davis · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Davis is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will be available against RedHawks on Saturday, October

  • Cibastian Broughton · QBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Gee is dealing with a knee injury, and it is unclear if he will play against RedHawks on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Luke Sivon · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Sivon is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will be active against RedHawks on Saturday, October 17th

  • Cameron Monteiro · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Monteiro is nursing an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against RedHawks on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Chris Gee · RBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Gee is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against RedHawks on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Jaborree Riggins · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Riggins is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will be available against RedHawks on Saturday, Octobe

Position units

Position-unit comparison

WMU
AKR
vs
Offense
90.8
#15 of 138
QB
69.0
#106 of 138
68.5
#126 of 138
RB
70.3
#117 of 138
69.5
#88 of 138
WR
69.5
#87 of 138
75.5
#36 of 138
TE
58.8
#129 of 138
60.3
#131 of 138
OL
68.2
#66 of 138
Defense
77.6
#28 of 138
DL
70.6
#97 of 138
78.8
#28 of 138
LB
70.2
#105 of 138
68.9
#112 of 138
DB
72.2
#68 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Western Michigan
opponent
Akron
H+31.0
KENT#161
-4.7A
A+0.1
CMU#138
-24.0A
H+3.6
M-OH#115
-12.3A
H+8.1
EMU#131
-2.0H
A+3.0
BUF#149
-1.0H