CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 11 · Tue Nov 10 · 7:00 PM ET
#107Away
Ohio
4-2 · AVR 52.9
27p
#115Home
Miami (OH)
3-3 · AVR 50.9
31p
Forecast win probability
OHIO 39.7%60.3% M-OH
Projected margin
M-OH by 4.0
Projected total
55
80% outcome range
OHIO 15 to M-OH 23
Win probability
M-OH 60.3%

Current team profiles

Ohio
Miami (OH)

When Ohio has the ball

Passing

OHIO offense
Higher-ranked profile
OHIO offense
#92
M-OH defense
#122
EPA comparison
0.13
#92
0.36
#122
Pass EPA

Rushing

M-OH defense
Higher-ranked profile
OHIO offense
#45
M-OH defense
#41
EPA comparison
0.16
#45
-0.01
#41
Rush EPA

Drive success

OHIO offense
Higher-ranked profile
OHIO offense
#46
M-OH defense
#108
Success rates
46%
#46
44%
#108
Success rate
More metrics
0.15
#69
0.15
#106
EPA / play
1.11
#124
1.29
#98
Explosiveness
14%
#56
13%
#123
Havoc

When Miami (OH) has the ball

Passing

M-OH offense
Higher-ranked profile
OHIO defense
#116
M-OH offense
#24
EPA comparison
0.33
#116
0.40
#24
Pass EPA

Rushing

M-OH offense
Higher-ranked profile
OHIO defense
#88
M-OH offense
#81
EPA comparison
0.08
#88
0.08
#81
Rush EPA

Drive success

OHIO defense
Higher-ranked profile
OHIO defense
#88
M-OH offense
#101
Success rates
42%
#88
40%
#101
Success rate
More metrics
0.15
#106
0.17
#65
EPA / play
1.27
#93
1.39
#9
Explosiveness
16%
#70
15%
#84
Havoc

Current key players

Ohio
QBLevi Davis
171 yds · 2 TD · 0 INT
81.961/729
LBAlex Brown
1 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
75.9
Coverage
60.0
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
84.051/1796
LBMichael Molnar
45 tkl · 5.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
89.3
Coverage
73.0
Pressures
5
Pass-rush snaps
31
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
1
82.858/1796
WRRiley Neer
23 rec · 337 yds · 4 TD
76.698/2069
WRZach Hackleman
1 rec · 15 yds · 0 TD
74.0149/2069
DBDarren James-Hamilton
15 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
44.9
Coverage
82.9
Targets allowed
5
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
39.6
Missed tackles
8
72.5306/2969
Availability reports · 2
  • Rashad Perry · WRout · 2026-10-10

    Perry is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and is expected to miss the remainder of the season.

  • Hype Grand · QBQues. · 2026-10-10

    Grand is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against the Hornets on Saturday, October 17th.

Miami (OH)
QBDavid McComb
1120 yds · 7 TD · 1 INT
84.249/729
WRScoop Smith
14 rec · 132 yds · 1 TD
83.632/2069
WRMaleek Huggins
14 rec · 262 yds · 1 TD
80.650/2069
RBLazaro Rogers
104 yds · 1 TD · 5.0 YPC
75.5169/1044
LBChristian McKinney
3 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
74.4
Coverage
63.6
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
73.3247/1796
LBGrant Lyons
14 tkl · 3.0 TFL · 2.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
66.0
Coverage
59.8
Pressures
13
Pass-rush snaps
122
Missed tackles
4
Forced fumbles
1
72.6270/1796
Availability reports · 10
  • David McComb · QBout · 2026-10-10

    McComb is nursing an upper body injury, and has been shut down for the remainder of the season.

  • Thomas Gotkowski · QBout · 2026-08-24

    Gotkowski is battling with an undisclosed injury, and he will be idle for the remainder of the season.

  • Eric Karner · TEout · 2026-09-05

    Karner is out of action due to an undisclosed injury, and has been shut down for the remainder of the season.

  • Keith Reynolds · WRout · 2026-09-05

    Reynolds has been sidelined due to an undisclosed injury, and has been shut down for the remainder of the season.

  • Devin Hyatt · WRout · 2026-10-10

    Hyatt is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.

  • Christian Ross · TEQues. · 2026-10-10

    Ross is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will face Akron on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Brayden Boeing · TEQues. · 2026-10-10

    Boeing is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will suit up against Akron on Saturday, October 17th.

  • CJ Castner · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    Castner is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will face Akron on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Noam Butbul · TEQues. · 2026-10-10

    Butbul is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will be active against Akron on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Trey Zvonar · TEQues. · 2026-10-10

    Zvonar is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will suit up against Akron on Saturday, October 17th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

OHIO
M-OH
vs
Offense
81.9
#52 of 138
QB
84.2
#43 of 138
67.8
#130 of 138
RB
70.0
#119 of 138
70.3
#77 of 138
WR
78.2
#16 of 138
60.0
#122 of 138
TE
65.9
#88 of 138
67.7
#69 of 138
OL
71.8
#37 of 138
Defense
70.5
#98 of 138
DL
69.8
#109 of 138
80.7
#17 of 138
LB
71.1
#96 of 138
66.7
#130 of 138
DB
67.5
#121 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Ohio
opponent
Miami (OH)
H+17.0
CMU#138
-0.9A
A+5.7
AKR#140
+12.3H
A+3.0
KENT#161
+5.0A