Passing
BALL offense
Higher-ranked profile
- BALL offense
- #92
- OHIO defense
- #116
EPA comparison
0.13
#92
0.33
#116
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 12 · Tue Nov 17 · 7:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
BALL 25.7%74.3% OHIO
- Projected margin
- OHIO by 10.2
- Projected total
- 55
- 80% outcome range
- BALL 8 to OHIO 29
- Win probability
- OHIO 74.3%
Current team profiles
Ball State
OhioWhen Ball State has the ball
Rushing
OHIO defense
Higher-ranked profile
- BALL offense
- #100
- OHIO defense
- #88
EPA comparison
0.03
#100
0.08
#88
Rush EPA
Drive success
OHIO defense
Higher-ranked profile
- BALL offense
- #128
- OHIO defense
- #88
Success rates
36%
#128
42%
#88
Success rate
More metrics
0.05
#107
0.15
#106
EPA / play
1.38
#13
1.27
#93
Explosiveness
18%
#125
16%
#70
Havoc
When Ohio has the ball
Passing
OHIO offense
Higher-ranked profile
- BALL defense
- #132
- OHIO offense
- #92
EPA comparison
0.45
#132
0.13
#92
Pass EPA
Rushing
OHIO offense
Higher-ranked profile
- BALL defense
- #133
- OHIO offense
- #45
EPA comparison
0.25
#133
0.16
#45
Rush EPA
Drive success
OHIO offense
Higher-ranked profile
- BALL defense
- #114
- OHIO offense
- #46
Success rates
45%
#114
46%
#46
Success rate
More metrics
0.32
#136
0.15
#69
EPA / play
1.44
#135
1.11
#124
Explosiveness
13%
#113
14%
#56
Havoc
Current key players
Ball StateQBKeldric Luster
662 yds · 5 TD · 3 INT
67.4185/729
RBElijah Jackson
25 yds · 0 TD · 6.2 YPC
80.668/1044
DBGabe Aramboles
5 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 70.6
- Coverage
- 71.7
- Targets allowed
- 1
- Rec allowed
- 1
- Yards allowed
- 6
- Passer rating allowed
- 91.7
- Missed tackles
- 0
74.2220/2969
LBKaleb Stewart
23 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0.5 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 80.9
- Coverage
- 60.9
- Pressures
- 4
- Pass-rush snaps
- 7
- Missed tackles
- 2
- Forced fumbles
- 0
72.9260/1796
DBQuentavius Scandrett
25 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 66.2
- Coverage
- 74.3
- Targets allowed
- 9
- Rec allowed
- 9
- Yards allowed
- 60
- Passer rating allowed
- 94.4
- Missed tackles
- 3
70.9387/2969
LBLayton Starks
12 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 0.5 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 58.6
- Coverage
- 66.6
- Pressures
- 8
- Pass-rush snaps
- 66
- Missed tackles
- 2
- Forced fumbles
- 0
68.2443/1796
Availability reports · 6
- Isaiah Thacker · WRout · 2026-10-10
Thacker is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and there is no timetable for return.
- Derion Talbert · WRout · 2026-09-26
Talbert is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and team officials have yet to provide an exact return date.
- Cole Coonrod · TEout · 2026-10-10
Coonrod is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.
- Jalen Bonds · RBQues. · 2026-10-10
Bonds is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Bowling Green on Saturday, October 17th.
- Mason Riggins · TEQues. · 2026-10-10
Riggins is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it remain to seen if he will play against the Bowling Green on Saturday, October 17th.
- Char'Rese Breveard · RBQues. · 2026-10-10
Breveard is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against Bowling Green on Saturday, October 17th.
OhioQBLevi Davis
171 yds · 2 TD · 0 INT
81.961/729
LBAlex Brown
1 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 75.9
- Coverage
- 60.0
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
84.051/1796
LBMichael Molnar
45 tkl · 5.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 89.3
- Coverage
- 73.0
- Pressures
- 5
- Pass-rush snaps
- 31
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 1
82.858/1796
WRRiley Neer
23 rec · 337 yds · 4 TD
76.698/2069
WRZach Hackleman
1 rec · 15 yds · 0 TD
74.0149/2069
DBDarren James-Hamilton
15 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 44.9
- Coverage
- 82.9
- Targets allowed
- 5
- Rec allowed
- 0
- Yards allowed
- 0
- Passer rating allowed
- 39.6
- Missed tackles
- 8
72.5306/2969
Availability reports · 2
- Rashad Perry · WRout · 2026-10-10
Perry is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and is expected to miss the remainder of the season.
- Hype Grand · QBQues. · 2026-10-10
Grand is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against the Hornets on Saturday, October 17th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
BALLBall State
OHIOOhio
vs
Offense
67.4
#112 of 138
QB
Quarterback
81.9
#52 of 138
80.2
#35 of 138
RB
Running backs
67.8
#130 of 138
64.8
#130 of 138
WR
Receivers
70.3
#77 of 138
58.7
#130 of 138
TE
Tight ends
60.0
#122 of 138
66.4
#86 of 138
OL
Offensive line
67.7
#69 of 138
Defense
68.0
#121 of 138
DL
Defensive line
70.5
#98 of 138
68.5
#116 of 138
LB
Linebackers
80.7
#17 of 138
67.8
#118 of 138
DB
Secondary
66.7
#130 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Ball State
opponent
Ohio
Hhome-4.4
CMUCentral Michigan#138+17.0Hhome
Aaway-13.0
KENTKent State#161+3.0Aaway
Hhome-15.0
TOLToledo#80-7.7Hhome
Hhome+6.8
SACSacramento State#187+8.9Aaway