CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 12 · Tue Nov 17 · 7:00 PM ET
Michigan MAC Trophy
Forecast win probability
EMU 29.8%70.2% WMU
Projected margin
WMU by 8.1
Projected total
50
80% outcome range
EMU 10 to WMU 27
Win probability
WMU 70.2%

Current team profiles

Eastern Michigan
Western Michigan

When Eastern Michigan has the ball

Passing

WMU defense
Higher-ranked profile
EMU offense
#84
WMU defense
#65
EPA comparison
0.16
#84
0.12
#65
Pass EPA

Rushing

WMU defense
Higher-ranked profile
EMU offense
#81
WMU defense
#47
EPA comparison
0.08
#81
0.00
#47
Rush EPA

Drive success

EMU offense
Higher-ranked profile
EMU offense
#98
WMU defense
#105
Success rates
41%
#98
44%
#105
Success rate
More metrics
0.06
#102
0.06
#64
EPA / play
1.13
#119
1.08
#16
Explosiveness
15%
#77
13%
#109
Havoc

When Western Michigan has the ball

Passing

WMU offense
Higher-ranked profile
EMU defense
#103
WMU offense
#92
EPA comparison
0.27
#103
0.13
#92
Pass EPA

Rushing

WMU offense
Higher-ranked profile
EMU defense
#68
WMU offense
#51
EPA comparison
0.04
#68
0.15
#51
Rush EPA

Drive success

WMU offense
Higher-ranked profile
EMU defense
#91
WMU offense
#85
Success rates
42%
#91
42%
#85
Success rate
More metrics
0.13
#100
0.14
#73
EPA / play
1.23
#75
1.15
#108
Explosiveness
18%
#39
13%
#42
Havoc

Current key players

Eastern Michigan
QBNoah Kim
1187 yds · 8 TD · 3 INT
59.7298/729
DBMarty Collins
1 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
94.4
Coverage
64.2
Targets allowed
0
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Missed tackles
0
89.512/2969
DBDavion Williams
16 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
89.4
Coverage
81.0
Targets allowed
5
Rec allowed
3
Yards allowed
43
Passer rating allowed
127.5
Missed tackles
0
83.235/2969
RBBraydon Bennett
195 yds · 2 TD · 4.4 YPC
78.1106/1044
DBCaleb Dobbs
14 tkl · 6 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
Run defense
76.4
Coverage
70.4
Targets allowed
27
Rec allowed
14
Yards allowed
185
Passer rating allowed
80.0
Missed tackles
2
71.9335/2969
WRKozy Isaac
5 rec · 86 yds · 2 TD
71.1226/2069
Availability reports · 11
  • Nick Devereaux · WRout · 2026-09-21

    Devereaux is laid up with an undisclosed injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.

  • Adon Turner · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Turner is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will suit up against Rockets on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Bacori Minner · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Minner is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it is up in the air if he will take the field against Rockets on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Brady Shelton · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Shelton is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it is up in the air if he will take the field against Rockets on Saturday, October 17th.

  • CJ Miller · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Miller is hampered by an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will be active against Rockets on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Jackson Holt · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Holt is managing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Rockets on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Nate Lyman · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Lyman is hampered by an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will be active against Rockets on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Nazir Jones-Davis · RBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Jones-Davis is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will suit up against Rockets on Saturday, October 1

  • Nick Kinsey · QBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Kinsey is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will suit up against Rockets on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Payton Kokaly · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Kokaly is managing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Rockets on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Shawn Fishwick · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Fishwick is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it is up in the air if he will take the field against Rockets on Saturday, October 17th.

Western Michigan
QBTrey Petty
54 yds · 1 TD · 0 INT
90.815/729
LBJustyce Betts
35 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
87.8
Coverage
78.1
Pressures
2
Pass-rush snaps
8
Missed tackles
2
Forced fumbles
0
88.121/1796
WRAveion Chenault
18 rec · 272 yds · 1 TD
82.240/2069
LBDillon Moore
28 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 1.5 sk
Player detail
Run defense
85.1
Coverage
68.3
Pressures
4
Pass-rush snaps
18
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
2
80.775/1796
RBJalen Buckley
287 yds · 5 TD · 4.6 YPC
77.6122/1044
TENate Levicki
8 rec · 112 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
63.6
Run blocking
68.3
Penalties
0
75.545/1017
Availability reports · 1
  • Michael Dersa · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Dersa is nursing an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Chippewas on Saturday, October 17th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

EMU
WMU
vs
Offense
59.7
#133 of 138
QB
90.8
#15 of 138
76.0
#65 of 138
RB
68.5
#126 of 138
67.4
#116 of 138
WR
69.5
#88 of 138
63.7
#99 of 138
TE
75.5
#36 of 138
62.8
#115 of 138
OL
60.3
#131 of 138
Defense
76.8
#38 of 138
DL
77.6
#28 of 138
62.8
#137 of 138
LB
78.8
#28 of 138
77.5
#11 of 138
DB
68.9
#112 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Eastern Michigan
opponent
Western Michigan
H+5.8
KENT#161
+31.0H
A+2.0
AKR#140
+7.9A
N-2.7
CMU#138
+0.1A
H-10.8
TOL#80
-10.7A