CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 12 · Wed Nov 18 · 12:00 AM ET
#140Away
Akron
1-5 · AVR 46.4
27p
#134Home
Massachusetts
4-2 · AVR 48.2
24p
Forecast win probability
AKR 53.2%46.8% MASS
Projected margin
AKR by 1.3
Projected total
52
80% outcome range
AKR 20 to MASS 17
Win probability
AKR 53.2%

Current team profiles

Akron
Massachusetts

When Akron has the ball

Passing

MASS defense
Higher-ranked profile
AKR offense
#101
MASS defense
#52
EPA comparison
0.11
#101
0.09
#52
Pass EPA

Rushing

MASS defense
Higher-ranked profile
AKR offense
#45
MASS defense
#27
EPA comparison
0.16
#45
-0.07
#27
Rush EPA

Drive success

MASS defense
Higher-ranked profile
AKR offense
#77
MASS defense
#57
Success rates
43%
#77
39%
#57
Success rate
More metrics
0.09
#92
-0.03
#31
EPA / play
1.08
#131
1.10
#21
Explosiveness
19%
#129
15%
#89
Havoc

When Massachusetts has the ball

Passing

MASS offense
Higher-ranked profile
AKR defense
#130
MASS offense
#36
EPA comparison
0.44
#130
0.35
#36
Pass EPA

Rushing

MASS offense
Higher-ranked profile
AKR defense
#112
MASS offense
#61
EPA comparison
0.15
#112
0.13
#61
Rush EPA

Drive success

MASS offense
Higher-ranked profile
AKR defense
#112
MASS offense
#66
Success rates
45%
#112
44%
#66
Success rate
More metrics
0.25
#132
0.20
#45
EPA / play
1.31
#108
1.24
#68
Explosiveness
13%
#117
12%
#27
Havoc

Current key players

Akron
QBCibastian Broughton
380 yds · 4 TD · 0 INT
69.0172/729
LBDonelius Johnson
41 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
83.1
Coverage
74.6
Pressures
0
Pass-rush snaps
10
Missed tackles
2
Forced fumbles
0
81.265/1796
DBCatrell White
7 tkl · 3 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
58.4
Coverage
79.9
Targets allowed
10
Rec allowed
4
Yards allowed
38
Passer rating allowed
84.6
Missed tackles
0
77.5107/2969
CBDawayne Galloway Jr.
4 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
68.7
Coverage
75.8
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
39.6
Missed tackles
0
75.8164/2969
DBKhory Moss
2 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
73.3
Coverage
70.9
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
1
Yards allowed
2
Passer rating allowed
79.2
Missed tackles
0
74.6205/2969
RBJordan Gant
289 yds · 3 TD · 4.7 YPC
72.6237/1044
Availability reports · 6
  • Paul Davis · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Davis is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will be available against RedHawks on Saturday, October

  • Cibastian Broughton · QBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Gee is dealing with a knee injury, and it is unclear if he will play against RedHawks on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Luke Sivon · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Sivon is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will be active against RedHawks on Saturday, October 17th

  • Cameron Monteiro · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Monteiro is nursing an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against RedHawks on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Chris Gee · RBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Gee is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against RedHawks on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Jaborree Riggins · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Riggins is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will be available against RedHawks on Saturday, Octobe

Massachusetts
QBWilliam Watson III
820 yds · 7 TD · 2 INT
85.143/729
LBTimmy Hinspeter
30 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
90.0
Coverage
79.6
Pressures
1
Pass-rush snaps
15
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
86.826/1796
RBCurtis Kimmons IV
262 yds · 3 TD · 5.8 YPC
82.156/1044
WRJabari Lewis
10 rec · 152 yds · 0 TD
78.766/2069
SJahmad Harmon
10 tkl · 1 PD · 3 INT
Player detail
Run defense
82.3
Coverage
72.0
Targets allowed
15
Rec allowed
9
Yards allowed
71
Passer rating allowed
32.2
Missed tackles
1
76.5144/2969
LBDinos Drossos
5 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
74.4
Coverage
64.4
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
74.2209/1796
Availability reports · 3
  • J. Washington · RBout · 2026-10-10

    Washington has been sidelined due to an undisclosed injury, and has been shut down for the remainder of the season.

  • Joseph Griffin Jr. · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    Griffin is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Buffalo on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Dallas Elliott · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    Elliott is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it remain to seen if he will Buffalo on Saturday, October 17th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

AKR
MASS
vs
Offense
69.0
#106 of 138
QB
85.1
#39 of 138
70.3
#117 of 138
RB
81.3
#29 of 138
69.5
#87 of 138
WR
73.6
#45 of 138
58.8
#129 of 138
TE
66.0
#86 of 138
68.2
#66 of 138
OL
63.7
#107 of 138
Defense
70.6
#97 of 138
DL
77.1
#34 of 138
70.2
#105 of 138
LB
77.4
#41 of 138
72.2
#68 of 138
DB
72.8
#59 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Akron
opponent
Massachusetts
H-2.0
EMU#131
-24.0H
A-12.3
M-OH#115
-1.0H
H-1.0
BUF#149
-10.2A